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Gallup Final Pre-Election Poll: Near-Deadlock

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Poll: Bush, Kerry in near-deadlock (USA Today) President Bush and John Kerry are in a near-tie in the final USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup poll before the 2004 election — a strong sign that this race, which has stayed close since Kerry became the likely Democratic nominee in March, will remain that way when voters go to the […]

The Full Osama Tape

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FULL TAPE AN OSAMA A WOE SHOW (Niles Latham, NY Post) Osama bin Laden doesn’t seem nearly so cocky in the unedited version of a videotape aired on al-Jazeera, complaining that the manhunt against him has hampered al Qaeda. AFP/Getty ImagesBin Laden the impotent / Opinion: Page 27 Osama bin Laden’s newest tape may have […]

Beheaded Body of Japanese Hostage Found

military-soldier-sunset

Body found confirmed to be the Japanese hostage The headless corpse found Saturday in Baghdad has turned out to be the Japanese hostage Shosei Koda, who was kidnapped in Iraq last week, Japan’s Foreign Minister Nobutaka Machimura said on Sunday. On Tuesday, a group kidnapped Koda in Iraq and threatened to execute him unless Japan […]

Race Breaking to Bush?

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MSNBC – Breaking to Bush? It’s still a statistical dead heat, but a new Newsweek poll gives Bush a boost (Newsweek) After months of the tightest presidential election contest in recent memory, a new NEWSWEEK poll suggests momentum may be moving toward President George W. Bush. As the bitter campaign enters its final days, against […]

Bin Laden Issues New Video: October Surprise?

us-politics

In Video Message, Bin Laden Issues Warning to U.S. (NYT) In a new videotape televised Friday, Osama bin Laden made a direct, formal address to the American people, saying that the best way for Americans to avoid a repeat of the attacks on Sept. 11, 2001, was to stop threatening Muslims’ security. The videotape of […]

ISSS-ISAC Conference

I’m off to attend a conference in DC. It’s the joint annual meeting of the International Security Studies Section of the American Political Science Association and the International Security & Arms Control Section of the International Studies Association. I’ll be tied up with it through tomorrow afternoon and have social obligations Saturday evening, so blogging […]

Report: 100,000 Iraqi Civilians Dead Since Invasion

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100,000 Iraqi civilians dead, says study (Guardian) About 100,000 Iraqi civilians – half of them women and children – have died in Iraq since the invasion, mostly as a result of airstrikes by coalition forces, according to the first reliable study of the death toll from Iraqi and US public health experts. The study, which […]

Video: Explosives Went Missing After War

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Report: Video Shows Explosives Went Missing After War (Reuters) ABC News on Thursday showed video that appeared to confirm that explosives that went missing in Iraq did not disappear until after the United States had taken control of the facility where they were stored. The disappearance of the hundreds of tons of explosives from the […]

CIA Can’t Authenticate Alleged al Qaeda Tape

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Contrary to yesterday’s report by Matt Drudge, the CIA can’t authenticate alleged al Qaeda tape, according to CNN. After a technical analysis, the CIA cannot determine whether a videotape obtained by ABC News in Pakistan featuring a man claiming to be affiliated with al Qaeda is authentic, a U.S. intelligence official said Thursday. “We have […]

Kerry’s Afghan Amnesia

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Charles Krauthammer issues a historical reality check this morning: In the 1990s, Afghanistan was allowed to fall to the Taliban and become the global center for the training, indoctrination and seeding of jihadists around the world — including the mass murderers of Sept. 11, 2001. This week, just three years after a two-month war that […]

Caption Contest

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I couldn’t resist using this one for an OTB Caption ContestTM: Photo Courtesy AP/Palestinian Authority Write your caption in the comments below. Winners will be announced early next week.

Getting Out the White Vote

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Peter Kirsanow has an interesting analysis of the racial breakdown of the vote this season: Kerry’s late-summer poll numbers among blacks hovered around 84 percent. By early October, that percentage had fallen to 74 percent. In the last several days, the percentages have slipped further. The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies poll puts […]

Caption Contest Winners

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The John and Tuhraysuh Edition, OTB Caption ContestTM has concluded. The winners: Yahoo! News – Top Stories Photos – AP 1st – Sgt Fluffy: The Gin and Raisins did that? 2nd – Pat: Now Scotty! Beam me up NOW! 3rd – IR: Damn it, still there…It worked on “I Dream of Jeannie.” What am I […]

Zogby: Thune Ahead of Daschle

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Poll: Republicans inch ahead (Rapid City Journal) Republicans John Thune and Larry Diedrich have overcome double-digit deficits to draw ahead of their Democratic rivals, Sen. Tom Daschle and Rep. Stephanie Herseth, according to an independent poll. The Republicans’ leads were between about 1 and 2.5 percentage points – within the poll’s 3.5 percent margin of […]

Drudge: ABC Withheld Parts of Video from CIA

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Drudge has the siren out again: ABC withheld the final 15 minutes of the tape from the CIA, where the alleged terrorist warns about Bush, Cheney, federal sources tell DRUDGE… Update (1707): The link is now up. TERROR TAPE WARN OF BUSH, CHENEY CONSEQUENCE; ABC WITHHELD PORTIONS FROM CIA ABCNEWS withheld portions of an alarming […]

Beltway Traffic Jam

The daily linkfest: Tim Cavanaugh tells of the Marine who liked President Bush more than his girlfriend. Eugene Volokh and Rick Hasen reflect on stupid Ohio Electors. Spoons has the latest from the world of collegiate fascism. King of Fools has a Carnival of Carnivals. John Little reports on Yasir Arafat going to a place […]

Swing Voters Slow to Decide, Still Cross-Pressured

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Summary of Findings: Swing Voters Slow to Decide, Still Cross-Pressured (Pew Center) With less than a week to go before the election, many swing voters have yet to commit to a candidate, but over the past month there has been some movement among this group toward Sen. John Kerry. A Pew Research Center follow-up survey […]

Bush, Kerry Split in 3 Key Swing States

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Bush, Kerry Split in 3 Key Swing States (Ron Brownstein, LAT) Diverging trends in the three largest battleground states point toward a volatile and tense finish in the presidential race, new Times polls show. The surveys find President Bush holding an 8-percentage-point lead among likely voters in Florida, Sen. John F. Kerry opening a 6-percentage-point […]

Polls Coming Under Scrutiny

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Don’t Ask Me: As Fewer Cooperate on Polls, Criticism and Questions Mount (WaPo) It’s tough being a pollster these days, even in Minnesota. “It’s the rhetoric of mean-spiritedness, and it’s just gotten worse and worse and worse,” says Daves, a mild-mannered North Carolina native. Across the country, other pollsters are hearing similarly smash-mouth attacks. “The […]

Myth of the Missing Explosives

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Ralph Peters outlines a dozen reasons why the “400 tons” of explosives could not plausibly have gone missing once U.S. troops arrived, and lambasts the UN, the US media, and John Kerry for what he terms “A shameless lie.” Eight: If the Iraqis had used military transport vehicles of five-ton capacity, it would have required […]

Thomas Friedman: A Hole in the Head

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Thomas Friedman‘s latest column, “A Hole in the Heart,” argues that the nation and the world are exceedingly polarized and that it’s largely President Bush’s fault. I have been struck by how many foreign dignitaries have begged me lately for news that Bush will lose. This Bush team has made itself so radioactive it glows […]

CIA, FBI Authenticate New Al Qaeda Video

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CIA, FBI AUTHENTICATE NEW QAEDA TERROR TAPE; ABCNEWS EXECUTIVES CONSIDER POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF AIRING (Drudge Report) The CIA and FBI late Wednesday authenticated a disturbing new al Qaeda videotape which warns the next terror attack will dwarf 9/11. “The streets will run with blood,” and “America will mourn in silence” because they will be unable […]

Video: Polish Woman Hostage in Iraq

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Video shows Polish woman hostage in Iraq (Seattle Post-Intelligencer/AP) Iraqi extremists in videotape aired Thursday by Al-Jazeera television showed what they said was a Polish woman hostage held in Iraq and demanded that Poland remove all its troops from Iraq. The group, which called itself the Abu Bakr al-Siddiq Fundamentalist Brigades, said the woman, who […]

Curt Schilling Endorses President Bush

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Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling got in a plug for President Bush at the end of his appearance on ABC’s Good Morning America with Charlie Gibson. ShadowTV has video.

Cat Bloggers of the World Unite

On Fridays, Bloggers Sometimes Retract Their Claws (NYT) In the vitriolic world of political Web logs, two polar extremes are Eschaton (atrios.blogspot.com), a liberal, often anti-Bush site with a passionate following, and Instapundit (www.instapundit.com), where an equally fervent readership goes for hearty praise of the Administration. It would seem unlikely that the two blogs’ authors […]

Republicans Challenge Registrations in Ohio, Nevada, and Wisconsin

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Judge Rebuffs GOP Effort To Contest Voters in Ohio (WaPo, Ao1) A U.S. District Court judge yesterday effectively ended efforts by Republicans in Ohio to challenge the eligibility of tens of thousands of voters in one of the most closely contested states in this year’s presidential race. Judge Susan J. Dlott in Cincinnati issued an […]

Assault in Falluja Is Likely, U.S. Officers Say

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Military Assault in Falluja Is Likely, U.S. Officers Say (NYT) A military offensive by American and Iraqi forces to reclaim rebel-held Falluja is probably inevitable and would be the largest and potentially the riskiest since the end of major combat in May 2003, senior American officers say. It would also involve major operations to seize […]

Short History of Jihad

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Donald Sensing, who apparently came off his blogging hiatus during my reunion trip, has an essay condensing the history of jihad from Muhammad to Osama bin Laden into a few paragraphs. Don’s son, Stephen, graduated from boot camp at Paris Island over the weekend and is officially a U.S. jarhead Marine. Ooh-Rah.

Ving Rhames New Kojak

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USA Loves Rhames for New ‘Kojak’ (Reuters) Who loves you, Ving Rhames? USA Network, that’s who. The cable channel will roll out its remake of the 1970s CBS detective drama “Kojak,” starring Rhames in the role made famous by Telly Savalas, as a regular series set to debut in March. USA had initially envisioned doing […]

Video: Hostage Margaret Hassan Begs for Release

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Tearful Hassan begs for release of all female prisoners in Iraq in new video (Guardian) Margaret Hassan, the British aid worker being held hostage in Iraq, was seen pleading for the release of all female prisoners in Iraq, in a new video released through al-Jazeera last night. The screening came within hours of the first […]

Political Bohemian Rhapsody

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In the tradition of Jib-Jab, Political Bohemian Rhapsody by FLOWGO.com is fairly entertaining. I found it somewhere between “This Land” and “Good to be in DC” on the amusement scale. Via California Yankee

Yasser Arafat Dying?

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Arafat ‘Very Sick,’ Medics Arrive (Reuters) Palestinian President Yasser Arafat’s health worsened sharply on Wednesday and an ambulance rushed to his beleaguered West Bank headquarters, officials, medics and witnesses said. The veteran leader was “very, very sick,” a Palestinian cabinet minister told Reuters, speaking anonymously. A senior Palestinian official denied a report on Israel Radio […]

Beltway Traffic Jam

The daily linkfest: Robert Cox provides reason # 4128 you can’t trust the NYT. Eugene Volokh reports that the butterfly ballot in Ohio is actually quite readable. McQ observes that some voting blocs are less bloc-ish than usual. Venomous Kate traces her geneology back to a Hobbit. Dean Esmay ponders brain replacement surgery. To join […]

Florida Contacts Spurrier

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Florida contacts Spurrier (ESPN) University of Florida officials have contacted Steve Spurrier to gauge his interest in returning to coach the school’s football team, a source told ESPN college football analyst Jim Donnan on Tuesday. School officials want to know within the next few days whether Spurrier is interested in returning to Gainesville to replace […]

SSG Rob Thornton, R.I.P.

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I just found out that Rob Thornton, the brother of one of my ROTC buddies (Scott Thornton) was killed in action in Iraq recently. Three Comrades Remember Brother-in-Arms, Born Tanker (Defend America News) Staff Sgt. Robert “Robbie” Thornton, a tanker and platoon sergeant in Troop C, 1st Squadron, 7th Cavalry Regiment, who died Aug. 25 […]

Hip-Hop Debate

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This Hip-Hop Debate is mildly amusing.

Man Tries to Run Over Katherine Harris

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Man Arrested After Allegedly Trying To Run Over Katherine Harris Sarasota man was arrested on an aggravated assault charge Wednesday after he was accused of trying to run down U.S. Rep. Katherine Harris and a group of supporters with his car. A silver Cadillac sped toward the group at a Sarasota intersection Tuesday evening, then […]

Controversy Over New Video

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Matt Drudge has the siren out again. World Exclusive Developing… CONTROVERSY OVER NEW VIDEO Hmm. Update (1250): New headline: ABCNEWS HOLDS TERROR WARNING VIDEO In the last week before the election, ABCNEWS is holding on a videotaped message from a purported al Qaeda terrorist warning of a new attack on America, the DRUDGE REPORT has […]

Florida: 58,000 Missing Ballots and 9 Lawsuits

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Long lines, busy signals fuel voting frustration in Broward (Sun-Sentinel) The Broward County Supervisor of Elections Office pointed a finger at the U.S. Postal Service on Tuesday for nearly 60,000 missing absentee ballots, but took the blame for having a phone system that was being overwhelmed by calls from frustrated voters. While the post office […]

Apple Launches New iPod

intellectual-invention

Apple launches new iPod; rolls out download stores in Europe & Canada (soundgenerator.com) Apple has unveiled a new addition to the hugely successful iPod range, giving users more hard disc space and a colour screen for picture viewing. Available mid November, the iPod photo will come in 40gb and 60gb versions, holding up to 25,000 […]

Video: Japanese Hostage Threatened with Beheading

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Video: Japanese hostage to be beheaded (AP-USA Today) Video posted Tuesday on a militant Islamic Web site showed what it claimed was a Japanese captive kidnapped by Abu Musab al-Zarqawi’s group and threatened to behead him within 48 hours unless Japan pulls its troops from Iraq. Japanese Hostage in Iraq Threatened with Beheading (VOA) A […]

Daily Election Roundup

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With less than a week to go before the election, the race is still far too close to call, both in the popular vote numbers and in the Electoral College. Moreover, if an ABC News poll is accurate, nine percent of the electorate has already cast its vote, which means that the campaign from here […]

Media Resurrecting Bush Guard Story–Again

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AP: New Bush Guard Papers Leave Questions Unearthed under legal pressure, three-decade-old documents portray President Bush as a capable and well-liked Air National Guard pilot who stopped flying and attending regular drills two-thirds of the way through his six-year commitment — without consequence. The files, many of them forced to light by Freedom of Information […]

Shocker: Media Favor Kerry

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New Study Suggests Some Media Favored Kerry in First Two Weeks of October (Editor & Publisher) A new study for the non-partisan Project for Excellence in Journalism suggests that in the first two weeks of October, during the period of the presidential debates, George W. Bush received much more unfavorable coverage from some media than […]

Republican Plan to Challenge Black Votes in Florida?

New Florida vote scandal feared (BBC) A secret document obtained from inside Bush campaign headquarters in Florida suggests a plan – possibly in violation of US law – to disrupt voting in the state’s African-American voting districts, a BBC Newsnight investigation reveals. Two e-mails, prepared for the executive director of the Bush campaign in Florida […]

Some Fear Ohio Will Be Florida of 2004

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Some Fear Ohio Will Be Florida of 2004 (WaPo A01) Democrats and Republicans here traded accusations of voter fraud, obstruction and intimidation Monday as officials grappled with what is becoming a confused — and potentially chaotic — presidential election in this critical battleground state. As Democrats marched through the downtown streets of the state capital […]

Beltway Traffic Jam

I’m back in the D.C. area, although avoiding traffic until the morning. Regardless, the daily linkfest returns: Steve Bainbridge reports on a failed CBS plot to launch an October Surprise with a year-old story. Ogged advises people not to shoot Ralph Nader. Michelle Malkin has a roundup of the “John Kerry is a commie tool” […]

Florida Gators Fire Zook; Spurrier in Wings?

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Zook fired but will finish season with Gators (AP) Florida coach Ron Zook was fired Monday after two-plus years and a stack of embarrassments on and off the field, satisfying a growing groundswell for his ouster that began the day he replaced Steve Spurrier. Zook will finish out the season while athletic director Jeremy Foley […]

Daily Poll Roundup

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With a week of campaigning to go before the election, neither candidate has taken a significant lead. Slate’s Election Scorecard, updated yesterday, has it Bush 271, Kerry 267 (the exact same margin as 2000 if one adds in the faithless DC elector who stiffed Gore). Analysis Oct. 24, 2:00 p.m. ET: This weekend’s polls bring […]

Security Council Members Deny Meeting Kerry

Security Council members deny meeting Kerry (Washington Times) U.N. ambassadors from several nations are disputing assertions by Democratic presidential candidate Sen. John Kerry that he met for hours with all members of the U.N. Security Council just a week before voting in October 2002 to authorize the use of force in Iraq. An investigation by […]

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