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A Visual History of IA and NH

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A nifty chart from NPR:

Trump’s Strength and his Weakness

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Anyone paying attention at this point knows that the main basis of Trump’s support comes from whites with less than a college education.   This is a strength is helping him in the GOP primary, but will be huge handicap in the general election should he actually win the nomination. This is all well laid […]

Trump and Latino Republicans?

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One poll says he is doing well with Latino Republicans (via the NY Post): Despite his controversial comments about Mexican immigrants, GOP frontrunner Donald Trump is the favorite among Latino Republicans, according to new polling results revealed to The Post. Thirty eight percent favor Trump, followed by Cuban American Ted Cruz (15 percent), Jeb Bush (14 […]

Finally: Voting on the Horizon

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Some thoughts and questions as we finally hit the start of the process. (And the return of the Toast-o-Meter)

OTB Caption Contest Winners

A Pakistani Kushti wrestler prepares the grpund in the ring while others practice during a training session, in Lahore, Pakistan, Tuesday, Jan. 5, 2016. Kushti, an Indo-Pakistani form of wrestling, is several thousand years old and is a national sport in Pakistan. (AP Photo/K.M. Chaudary)

The Don’t Crush That Dwarf, Hand Me The Pliers Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Trump, Clinton Hold Leads In Final Des Moines Register Iowa Poll

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton

The final Des Moines Register poll before Caucus Night shows Donald Trump leading the GOP field, and Hillary Clinton with a narrow lead over Bernie Sanders, but much of the final outcome will depend on who shows up for the respective party caucuses.

Headline of the Day

“Stalin May Have Studied Mao’s Poop in a Secret Lab.“

Happy Blogiversary

A happy ten year blogiversary to Greg Weeks and his blog Two Weeks Notice! Greg is Professor and Chair of Political Science at UNC Charlotte and blogs mainly on Latin American politics at his site.

Trump and the Social Conservatives

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Politics makes strange bedfellows, but come on.

State Department Withholds 22 Hillary Clinton Emails For Containing “Top Secret” Information

Hillary Clinton Blackberry

More email headaches for the Clinton campaign, but it remains unclear if any wrongdoing occurred.

Some Cruzian Chutzpah

This struck me this morning listening to Weekend Edition: Behind the scenes, Heidi Cruz has been busily fundraising for her husband for months. She took a leave of absence from the investment firm Goldman Sachs to work on the campaign. That connection has been a source of criticism for Ted Cruz, who was elected to the […]

A Photo for Friday (on Saturday)

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Well, so much for getting a month into the year without for forgetting a Friday.  At any rate, this seems an appropriately themed image for the season: “Confused Democracy” June 20, 2011 Pike Road, AL

Trumpless Republican Debate Garners 12.5 Million Viewers

Seventh Republican Debate

Thursday’s debate without Donald Trump drew fewer viewers than might have been expected, but it’s unclear if that’s because Donald Trump wasn’t there.

Economy Grows At Anemic 0.7% In Final Quarter Of 2015

Economy Heartbeat

An anemic end to 2015 raises concerns about the health of the economy going forward.

Paul Kantner, Co-Founder Of Jefferson Airplane, Dies At 74

Jefferson Airplane

Another icon of popular music has passed away.

Ted Cruz Becomes The Target At Trump-Less Debate, Trump Puts On The Donald Trump Show

Seventh Republican Debate

Without Trump, the seventh Republican debate largely focused on Ted Cruz, who doesn’t seem to have done himself any favors. Donald Trump, meanwhile, will likely not pay any price at all for skipping the last pre-Iowa debate.

Trumpless Debate Helped Bush, But Likely Not Enough

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Last night’s Republican debate had a different feel with the absence of a certain bloviating narcissist.

POLITICO to Leave POLITICO

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Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen are leaving after a dispute with their chief investor.

The Great Rubio Hope? Maybe, But He’ll Need To Show He Can Win First

Image: Marco Rubio

Many analysts are making the argument that Marco Rubio is the GOP’s best hope to win the General Election in 2016. That may be true, but before he can get there he needs to find a way to win the GOP nomination.

The Stage For The First Post-Iowa Republican Debate Will Be A Lot Smaller

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The first debate after the Iowa Caucuses will have fewer participants than past debates, and there will be no undercard debate.

If The Latest Polls Are Right, Everything’s Coming Up Trump

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With mere days until voting starts, the possibility of Donald Trump running the table in the February primaries and caucuses, or nearly doing so, is more and more likely.

Rush Limbaugh Really Doesn’t Get Donald Trump

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Chris Cillizza thinks “Rush Limbaugh totally gets Donald Trump.” I disagree.

Trump Says He’ll Skip Fox News Debate

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Donald Trump takes his war with Fox News Channel up a notch, saying he won’t participate in Thursday’s Republican Presidential Debate.

BREAKING: Ammon Bundy Arrested, One Killed, in Confrontation with Police

The Oregon standoff is over, with one unnamed fatality. WaPo‘s Sarah Kaplan Six people involved in the armed occupation of a Central Ore. wildlife refuge were arrested after a traffic stop during which shots were fired. Another unnamed individual was killed during the confrontation, the FBI and Oregon State Police announced Tuesday. CNN: Federal authorities arrested Ammon Bundy, […]

Ed Rendell Accidentally Throws His Hate In The Ring For Hillary

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Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell wanted to send out a tweet about the potential of an independent bid for the Presidency by former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, but he ended up making one crucial mistake: It took about ten minutes for Rendell, or someone on his staff to notice the error and issue a […]

Abe Vigoda, Godfather And Barney Miller Star, Dies At 94

Salvatore_Tessio Abe Vigoda

“Tom, can you get me off the hook? For old times’ sake?”

“Can’t do it, Sally.”

The Challenger Disaster, Thirty Years Later

Challenger Launch

Thirty years ago this week, tragedy struck America’s Space Program.

Hillary Clinton And Bernie Sanders Battle Going Down To The Wire

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With less than a week to go before the Iowa Caucuses, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are fighting a closely-pitched battle that will depend largely on turnout.

Race For The GOP Nomination All About Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, And A Panicking GOP

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With less than a week to go before voting starts, Donald Trump continues to dominate the GOP race, with Ted Cruz the only candidate even close to looking like a viable challenger.

Rick Perry Endorses Ted Cruz

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Rick Perry is endorsing Ted Cruz for President, leading to the question of why Ted Cruz thinks an endorsement from Rick Perry has any value whatsoever.

Donald Trump Has Completely Reversed Ted Cruz’s Lead In Iowa

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After grabbing a lead at the end of last year, Ted Cruz has seen Donald Trump completely reverse fortunes in Iowa with just one week to go before voting starts.

OTB Caption Contest

A Pakistani Kushti wrestler prepares the grpund in the ring while others practice during a training session, in Lahore, Pakistan, Tuesday, Jan. 5, 2016. Kushti, an Indo-Pakistani form of wrestling, is several thousand years old and is a national sport in Pakistan. (AP Photo/K.M. Chaudary)

Time the Monday OTB Caption ContestTM

Iowa: Polling 8 Days Out

An interesting historical comparison from Past Frontrunners:

Palin’s Trump Endorsement Brings Tina Fey Back To SNL

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We all knew this was going to happen once Sarah Palin joined Donald Trump in Iowa last week: “Sha’s two Corinthians short of a Bible.” Good one.

Des Moines Register Endorses Clinton, Rubio

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Hillary Clinton and Marco Rubio have won the endorsement of the Des Moines Register, but it’s unclear how much this will help their respective campaigns.

Blizzard Over; Shutdown to Last for Days

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Not your average DC-area snowstorm.

OTB Caption Contest Winners

A Yemeni man uses a camel to transport oxygen cylinders on a mountainous road to the war-torn city of Taiz, Yemen, 01 January 2016. Ongoing nine-month conflict in Yemen has pushed the war-torn country to the brink of humanitarian disaster.  (Str/EPA)

The Humphrey The Camel Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Michael Bloomberg Apparently Thinking Of Running For President For Some Reason

We’re in another Presidential election cycle so it must be time to speculate about Michael Bloomberg again.

Will Autonomous Vehicles Lead To A Ban On Human-Operated Cars And Trucks?

Google Self Driving Car

As autonomous vehicles near the point where they’ll become a presence on American roads, are we approaching a day when it will largely be illegal for people to drive their own car?

Of Course ‘National Review’ Was Disinvited From the Debate

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You can either be a partisan or a moderator.

Gillian Anderson Offered Half David Duchovny’s Pay for ‘X-Files’ Reunion

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Is this really ‘infuriating’ news?

National Review Takes On Donald Trump, But It’s Most Likely Too Little, Too Late

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The flagship of the American right is leading the charge against Donald Trump, but it’s not likely to work.

A Photo for Friday

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To cheer up all our readers about to be hit by a blizzard (and those who aren’t), a yin and yang photo of cute, furry otters: “Otters!” January 2, 2009 Montgomery, AL

Rubio’s Dubious Campaign Strategy

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Marco Rubio’s campaign strategy depends on a lot of hope, and no small degree of ignoring reality.

Clinton Email Server Contained Information Classified Above ‘Top Secret,’ Report Contends

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New email headaches for Hillary Clinton, but it’s not clear what impact they will have on the race for President, if they have any impact at all.

Sarah Palin Endorses Donald Trump

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Sarah Palin is back, and she’s endorsing Donald Trump for the Republican nomination for President.

Supreme Court Accepts Appeal Of Ruling Halting Obama’s Deportation Relief Programs

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The Supreme Court agreed to hear an appeal in what is guaranteed to be a high profile case heading into the 2016 elections.

China’s Economy Appears To Be Slowing Significantly, And That Could Have A Huge Impact

A dealer analyses the shares index to investors (not pictured) at a securities company in Chengdu, in China's southwestern province of Sichuan, 27 August 2007. Chinese share prices closed 0.83 percent up 27 August to record a sixth straight day of gains after more listed companies reported strong earnings for the first half, dealers said. AFP PHOTO/ LIU Jin (Photo credit should read LIU JIN/AFP/Getty Images)

China’s economy is still growing, but it’s most recently reported growth rate is slower than the nation has seen in quite some time.

RNC Replaces NBC News With CNN For February Debate

Fifth Republican Debate

CNN is taking over a late February Republican debate from NBC News, meaning it will host more Republican debates this election cycle than any other single network.

Glenn Frey, Eagles Founder, Dead at 67

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Glenn Frey, bandleader of the Eagles, has died.

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