Early Polling Shows Little Impact From Additional Revelations About Clinton Email Investigation

For now at least, it looks as though last week’s email news is having little impact on the state of the race for President.

Early Voting Seems To Favor Democrats

Early voting is favoring Democrats in a wide variety of swing states.

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Time For The Monday OTB Caption ContestTM

OTB Caption Contest Winners

The The Good, The Bad and The Ugly Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Clinton’s Lead Shrinking Ever So Slightly

Her numbers are steady; he’s reclaiming Republican voters.

Supreme Court To Decide Case Involving Transgender Student’s Use Of Bathroom

The Supreme Court has agreed to hear a case involving Federal law and the rights of transgender students.

Some Poll Observations

Some musings on the RCP average and such.

F.B.I. Investigating New Emails That May Or May Not Be Connected To Hillary Clinton

A late Friday news dump by the Director of the F.B.I. has thrown a confusing curve ball into the race.

Would Senate Republicans Really Block Any Supreme Court Nomination Hillary Clinton Makes?

Two Republican Senators are exchanging barbs over the idea that the GOP should block any attempt by Hillary Clinton to nominate anyone to the Supreme Court if she becomes President.

Initial G.D.P. Reports Show Stronger Growth In The Summer

Initial reports for the third quarter show strong economic growth during the summer;

Joe Biden For Secretary Of State?

According to reports, Vice-President Biden is on a Clinton campaign short list for Secretary of State.

Senator Kirk Raises Representative Duckworth’s Heritage in Debate

Via the Chicago Tribune:  More aggressive Kirk goes after Duckworth in second debate, questions her family’s heritage At one point, Duckworth talked about her family’s long history of involvement in the U.S. military, describing herself as a “daughter of the American Revolution” who has “bled for this nation.” When it was Kirk’s turn to offer a […]

GOP Committee Chair Says Investigations Will Continue If Hillary Clinton Becomes President

Get ready for more hearings if Hillary Clinton becomes President.

Clinton-Cartwright Comparisons Don’t Hold Up

Clinton is getting no special treatment by the standards of her high-powered peers.

Clinton, Inc.

The personal, the political, and the Foundation are so intertwined as to be one enterprise.

The McMullin Factor

Via FiveThirtyEight:  Polls May Be Underestimating Evan McMullin’s Chances In Utah Utah is an unusual case. Polls are scarce there, the dynamic has changed quite quickly, and these factors can significantly affect polling results. Our model already excludes Utah polling that doesn’t poll McMullin at all, and that will remain our official approach. But unofficially, […]

Down-Ballot Republicans Campaigning As If Clinton Has Already Won

Republican candidates for the Senate and House are campaigning on the argument that they will be a bulwark against a Clinton Presidency.

It’s Two Weeks Until Election Day, And Things Are Looking Very Good For Hillary Clinton

Two weeks before Election Day, everything seems to be going Hillary Clinton’s way.

Steven Den Beste, RIP

Steven Den Beste, one of the quintessential early bloggers (dubbed by someone one of the “Four Horsemen of the Ablogalypse” in those silly days when this medium was new) has passed after a long illness. Brickmuppet has a nice collection of tributes along with a summary of the news: Steven was brilliant, a former engineer with […]

Polling Illiteracy

While not quite the great unskewing of argument past, here is an example of why non-experts need to avoid critiquing polling.

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Time For The Monday OTB Caption ContestTM

OTB Caption Contest Winners

The Hand Jive Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

Chicago Cubs Break Decades Long Curse With NLCS Win

The last time the Cubs were in the World Series, World War II had just ended. Now, they have a chance to break one of the longest droughts in sports history.

Trump is who he is

The LA Times posted the following letter from Donald Trump to the newspaper back in 2007 wherein DJT complained about an LAT reporter: This is a letter Trump sent us in 2008. He was upset about an article on Trump University, later threatened to sue. https://t.co/VC2vbcFr4C pic.twitter.com/j8IyBbiYtO — Los Angeles Times (@latimes) October 22, 2016 What is […]

Most Embarrassing Correction Ever?

The New  York Times has been forced to issue a correction in the wake of a review of a new show on Amazon after it was discovered that their reviewer had, apparently accidentally, watched the shows out of order: In an amusing correction,The New York Times noted that its television writer had criticized a show […]

Most Damaging Presidential Run, Ever?

Has any major party nominee for president ever damaged his reputation in this manner?

Trump Finally gets a Major Newspaper Endorsement

Via Salon:  Donald Trump’s KKK stamp of approval: The Klan gives a de facto endorsement to the Trump campaign on the front page of its newspaper . Says The Crusader: “Make American Great Again!” It is a slogan that has been repeatedly used by Donald Trump in his campaign for the presidency. You can see it on […]

Trump’s Damaged Brand

Donald Trump is losing something much more important to him that an election.

A Night Of Comity Turns Bitter

What was supposed to be a night away from the campaign trail quickly turned partisan.

Final Presidential Debate Draws 71.6 Million Viewers

The final debate of 2016 didn’t draw as many viewers as the first Hillary v. Donald match-up, but it still drew a respectable number.

The Third And Thankfully Last Presidential Debate of 2016

Last night’s debate, sadly, lived down to my expectations.

Third Presidential Debate Marked By Trump’s Refusal To Accept Election Result

For better or worse, the third Presidential debate will largely be remembered for one thing.

Independent Evan McMullin Leads Trump In New Utah Poll

Independent candidate Evan McMullin is at the top of a new poll out of Utah, a state that hasn’t gone for a Democrat since 1964: Independent presidential candidate Evan McMullin is leading in Utah, according to an Emerson College Polling Society survey released Wednesday. McMullin is favored by 31 percent of likely voters in the […]

Trump Only Leading By Three Points In Texas

As if the news out of Arizona weren’t bad enough, new polling out of Texas gives Donald Trump only a slim lead in Texas, which hasn’t gone for a Democrat in a Presidential election since 1976: Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has one of his slimmest leads yet over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in Texas, […]

Clinton Up Four Points In New Arizona Poll

With the lone exception of Bill Clinton in 1996, Arizona hasn’t gone for a Democrat since 1948. That streak could end this year.

John McCain Says Republicans Will Refuse To Confirm Any Clinton SCOTUS Nominee

John McCain said that Senate Republicans will unite to block any Supreme Court appointment by a President Hillary Clinton.

With Three Weeks To Go, Clinton’s Momentum Appears To Be Surging

With twenty-one days to go until Election Day, things are looking very good for Hillary Clinton.

I Have no Idea why we Think Trump is a Misogynist… (2)

In regards to allegations of sexual assualt: “Believe me, she would not be my first choice, that I can tell you.  You don’t know. That would not be my first choice.” “When you looked at that horrible woman last night, you said, ‘I don’t think so.’ ” –Donald J. Trump.

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The Bags Fly Free Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over.

I Have no Idea why we Think Trump is a Misogynist…

“Psychologists will tell you that some women want to be treated with respect. I tell friends who treat their wives magnificently, get treated like crap in return, ‘Be rougher and you’ll see a different relationship.’” “I have days where I think it’s great. And then I have days where, if I come home — and I […]

Trump Ignores Intel Experts

More evidence that Trump would be a terrible president.

The Republican Dilemma

Candidate trumps party in a presidential system.

Podesta, Wikileaks, and Catholics

Wherein an initial attempt to understand something seen on Facebook leads to ruminations on religious liberty.

Republican Efforts To Disavow Trump Now Are Too Little, Too Late

With just over three weeks before Election Day, efforts by top Republicans to disavow their party’s nominee are quite clearly too little, too late.

I Question The Timing

News outlets are suddenly finding out that Trump was a cad in 2005. Film at 11.

Trump In Danger In Deeply Red Utah?

Donald Trump is facing potential trouble in a state that has gone for a Democrat only twice since the end of World War II.

Second Presidential Debate Draws 66.5 Million Viewers

Viewership for the second debate fell some twenty percent from the first debate, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that voter are losing interest.

Trump and our Constitutional Order

I would recommend the following essay by my good friend Michael Bailey, Associate Professor of Political Science at Berry College:  Enter Donald Trump. A basic taste: The Framers were war-hardened seasoned politicians who suffered no delusions about the real character of our human nature, and accordingly they built a Constitution designed to endure the rough and […]

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