Polling Versus Polling
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James Joyner | Thursday, April 28, 2005 |
Several comments by pundits reacting to the President’s press conference miss a subtle distinction between a politician consulting polls in order to figure out what stances to take on an issue vice consulting polls to figure out a strategy for selling their programs.
The former is a sign of weakness. The latter is a sign of political sophistication. Politicians shouldn’t have their finger to the wind to figure out where to lead the nation; they should have a core set of values. (Not to mention the whole dog chasing its tail issue.) On the other hand, leaders need to assess how the public is reacting to their messages and see if there’s a way to fine tune the message in order to enhance their ability to persuade.
Did President Bush do tonight’s press conference because the polls said he was losing? Sure.
Did he adjust his message based on the internals of those polls? I hope so.
Did he pick his agenda based on what polls were telling him? Decidedly not. Indeed, he surely wouldn’t have tacked Social Security had he done so and been motivated mostly by the political fallout.
About the Author: James Joyner is the publisher of Outside the Beltway and the managing editor of the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer, Desert Storm vet, and college professor with a PhD in political science from The University of Alabama. He lives just outside the Beltway in Alexandria, Virginia.
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