KRiS-One is just nutbags crazy. I mean more crazy than he used to be, perhaps driven to extreme insanity by his hopes and dreams collapsing around him.

In particular:
"If Petraeus succeeds in Iraq"

Pony pony pony.

Why doesn't Kristol put his money where his mouth is?

Look, the press and the left... (a redundancy, there) ...have made a career out of underestimating the political abilities of the man, for the last eight years.

I think the biggest fear that the democrats have right now, his success in Iraq before the election, lest a republican make it to the White House on the heels of that success. I also think that most of the doom and gloom we see coming out of the mainstream media these days, as a manifestation of that fear.

The idea that the entire flock of democratic candidates is just plain awful, doesn't hurt Kristol's prediction, either.

My friends, lots can happen in the year and a half between now and then.

Bithead,

I agree that a year and half is a long time and a lot can happen, but there are probabilities that can be applied, and the odds aren't in Bush's favor.

In regards to underestimating Bush--I think you have point anywhere from 1994 to late 2004. Since early 2005, however, I don't think that that is the case.

Aside from Roberts and Alito, what exactly has Bush accomplished since he was re-elected? More to the point: where did the left/the press/whomever underestimate him in that period and he overcome the dire predictions?

Kristol has people talking about him. He has raised his profile. Mission accomplished.

But how on earth could a serious observer “like the odds” of them both happening?

Wait, I thought you were talking about Bill Kristol?!?! He is the furthest thing from a "serious observer" that you can get.

Choice Kristol nuggets on Iraq:

9/15/02: "No one believes the inspections can work."

9/18/02: An Iraq invasion "could have terrifically good effects throughout the Middle East."

9/19/02: Billy's analysis of Saddam's development of nuclear weapons: "He's past that finish line. He's past the finish line."

11/21/02: "We can remove Saddam because that could start a chain reaction in the Arab world that would be very healthy."

2/2/03: Billy predicting the content of Powells' UN speech on WMDs in Iraq: Powell will "show that there are loaded guns throughout Iraq"

3/1/03: Billy's penetrating analysis of domestic Iraqi politics: "We talk here about Shiites and Sunnis as if they've never lived together. Most Arab countries have Shiites and Sunnis, and a lot of them live perfectly well together."

3/1/03: This one speaks for itself: "Very few wars in American history were prepared better or more thoroughly than this one by this president."

3/5/03: "I think we'll be vindicated when we discover the weapons of mass destruction and when we liberate the people of Iraq."

3/17/03: "But the war itself will clarify who was right and who was wrong about weapons of mass destruction. It will reveal the aspirations of the people of Iraq, and expose the truth about Saddam’s regime."

I'd rather go to Atlantic City with Bill Bennett than the great prognosticator, Billy Kristol!

Powell will "show that there are loaded guns throughout Iraq"

Well, that prediction turned out true, once it's taken literally.

""But how on earth could a serious observer “like the odds” of them both happening?""
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How about a "serious" democrat observer??[lol]