Comments on: 2008 Prediction Games http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008_prediction_games/ Online Journal of Politics and Foreign Affairs Thu, 26 Nov 2009 19:25:43 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: just me http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008_prediction_games/comment-page-1/#comment-265879 just me Mon, 14 Jan 2008 18:54:51 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/2008_prediction_games/#comment-265879 I think this year favors the democrats, but I completely agree with James that campaigns can change minds, and even more so intervening events. Right now there is a lot that can happen and some of those things could drastically change ideas for who a person is going to vote for in an election. I think this year favors the democrats, but I completely agree with James that campaigns can change minds, and even more so intervening events.

Right now there is a lot that can happen and some of those things could drastically change ideas for who a person is going to vote for in an election.

]]> By: James Joyner http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008_prediction_games/comment-page-1/#comment-265848 James Joyner Mon, 14 Jan 2008 17:04:04 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/2008_prediction_games/#comment-265848 <blockquote>a Democratic victory is far more likely than a Republican one at this stage, yes?</blockquote> As I said, that would be my analysis as well (although I've predicted McCain will pull off the win). I just think the campaign will change minds, as will intervening events.

a Democratic victory is far more likely than a Republican one at this stage, yes?

As I said, that would be my analysis as well (although I've predicted McCain will pull off the win). I just think the campaign will change minds, as will intervening events.

]]> By: Steven Taylor http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008_prediction_games/comment-page-1/#comment-265846 Steven Taylor Mon, 14 Jan 2008 16:57:11 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/2008_prediction_games/#comment-265846 I agree that precise predictions are impossible to make, but there are a number of historical trends that would indicate that a Democratic victory is far more likely than a Republican one at this stage, yes? Not that anything is certain, of course. I agree that precise predictions are impossible to make, but there are a number of historical trends that would indicate that a Democratic victory is far more likely than a Republican one at this stage, yes?

Not that anything is certain, of course.

]]> By: Dave Schuler http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008_prediction_games/comment-page-1/#comment-265820 Dave Schuler Mon, 14 Jan 2008 15:15:45 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/2008_prediction_games/#comment-265820 As I've said before, Moynihan was wrong: now everybody has his or her own facts. As I've said before, Moynihan was wrong: now everybody has his or her own facts.

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