Comments on: A Baby Bounce?

By: PoliBlog(TM)

PoliBlog(TM) — Mon, 02 Aug 2004 12:43:23 +0000

Post-DNC Toasties: This Week's Toast-O-Meter is Here!
--Rounding-up, analyzing and handicapping the 2004 election-- Texas Toast or French Toast?Tracking the race to the White House.. This week's Toast-O-Meter reading Staring this week, each candidate will be awarded flaming toasters for substantial bad n...

By: PoliBlog(TM)

PoliBlog(TM) — Mon, 02 Aug 2004 12:42:17 +0000

By: PoliBlog(TM)

PoliBlog(TM) — Sun, 01 Aug 2004 18:44:57 +0000

A Bumpless Convention?
Poll: No boost for Kerry after conventionn the survey, taken Friday and Saturday, the Democratic ticket of Kerry and John Edwards trailed the Republican ticket of Bush and Dick Cheney 50% to 46% among likely voters, with independent candidate Ralph...

By: The Key Monk

The Key Monk — Sun, 01 Aug 2004 16:38:13 +0000

Baby Bounce
Kerry is an empty suit: he is nothing except the embodiment of Bush-hatred that is among the most dishonorable reactions to the policies of a President (when this country has troops in combat zones) in the history of the US. The feelings Bush engenders...

By: Moe Lane

Moe Lane — Sun, 01 Aug 2004 00:21:39 +0000

I'd disagree with that last bit: Rasmussen's polls have at least a 3 point margin of error, and the two candidates have been both within it for, like, months now. So, if Rasmussen's polls are to be believed, the convention had roughly zero short term effect on the election...

By: Laddy

Laddy — Sat, 31 Jul 2004 23:19:56 +0000

Given the Newsweek poll was of adults over 18 and not registered or even likely voters, it almost certainly overstates the bounce. Polls of adults instead of likely voters skew left. There is no breakdown of the percentages of registered and/or likely voters. There is also no breakdown of the percentages of Dems, Repubs, and Ind sampled. In the past this type of poll has contained as many as 20% unregistered voters. The Rasmussen tracking poll shows Kerry's lead going from 48-45 down to 47-46, a negative bounce.

By: INCITE

INCITE — Sat, 31 Jul 2004 22:56:38 +0000

Politics as usual
So much for respect. Of course, much of the Democrats' tactics have revolved around accusing the Bush campaign of going negative, playing the roll of wounded martyrs, and then going negative themselves. But wait, there's more.