Comments on: A Tale of Two Conventions

By: PoliBlog

PoliBlog — Thu, 02 Sep 2004 12:22:57 +0000

DNC v. RNC Smackdown
Both James Joyner yesterday and the NYT today not some contrasts between the two conventions.

As the NYT noted, "In politics, as in baseball, it's better to be up last, and the Republicans have spent their convention in New York this week in a bat...

By: Attila Girl

Attila Girl — Thu, 02 Sep 2004 07:04:31 +0000

I'm going to say there will be a significant--and possibly huge--bump from this convention.

By: Dave Schuler

Dave Schuler — Thu, 02 Sep 2004 02:45:05 +0000

Excellent analysis, Mr. Joyner! The Democrats are rallying the base. The Republicans are going for the win.

By: Howard Lindos

Howard Lindos — Thu, 02 Sep 2004 02:04:11 +0000

I have been waiting to see how this
is affecting to big MO... Hard to say.
The convention is going well and may help
in shore up NC, VA, AR, MO, but I am not
sure about WI, IA, and MN... speaking as a
midwestern guy, the convention hasn't been
as positive as many of us would like... too
much red meat for midwestern tastes. I think
they should have gone positive after two plus
weeks of Swift Boats...

I would predict basically zero bump. Not any
fault of the convention really, but it will
coincide with a natural post-SBVFT bounce back.
My fear is the natural cycle may mean that Bush
drops a point or two after a few weeks of
unusually helpful coverage.