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Al Qaeda’s New Hideouts

Jim Dunnigan writes,

Iraq has become a training and testing ground for al Qaeda recruits. Unlike pre-2001 Afghanistan, where the fighting was against anti-Taliban Afghans, in Iraq the enemy is American troops. This makes a big difference because the al Qaeda suffer much higher casualties fighting American and coalition troops. This may be why the coalition has been unable to identify more than a few hundred “foreign” fighters in Iraq. There may have been a few thousand a year ago, but most of them were killed in battles with American troops. These fighters were eager, but not well trained. Those few that survived and fled back to their home countries were probably not very helpful when it came to recruiting. War stories that feature your side getting wiped out tend to discourage new volunteers.

Al Qaeda is not dead. It is scattered and trying to reconstitute. It is having a hard time doing that, and that conflict is a large part of the war on terror.

Sounds an awful lot like the Flypaper Strategy to me.

About the Author: James Joyner is the publisher of Outside the Beltway and the managing editor of the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer, Desert Storm vet, and college professor with a PhD in political science from The University of Alabama. He lives just outside the Beltway in Alexandria, Virginia with his wife and infant daughter.

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Comments
 

Didn't you watch MTP? Howard Dean clearly stated that Iraq has "nothing" to do with terrorism.

Get with the program.

Posted by Steven | March 15, 2004 | 12:50 pm | Permalink
 

That's twice today I've seen someone write "The Al Qaeda." What the heck are they thinking? "The The Base?" Makes no sense. Unless former one-hit wonders The The are actually behind the jihad.

Posted by Jim Henley | March 15, 2004 | 01:54 pm | Permalink
 

That happens a lot with foreign words and with acroynyms. "The Rio Grande river" and "ATM machine" come to mind.

Posted by James Joyner | March 15, 2004 | 01:58 pm | Permalink
 

Yes, the flypaper strategy, we're sold.

Posted by Spain | March 15, 2004 | 10:02 pm | Permalink
 

Iraq for "The Al Qaeda" is where they go to make their "bones"...a little mafiaoso lingo there (maybe not).

Posted by Delta Dave | March 15, 2004 | 10:39 pm | Permalink
 

Interesting theory, but it doesn't explain why attacks on U.S. troops have been running at a relatively stable rate in Iraq, or Afghanistan for that matter.

Posted by William | March 16, 2004 | 12:18 am | Permalink
 

The article talked about how hard it is to recruit new people to face off against us--which isn't exactly a flypaper strategy.

I dunno. I hope /suspect we're doing a lot more than waiting for them to come to us.

--LMA

P.S. The La Brea Tar Pits--apropos of both repeated articles in foreign phrases and The Flypaper Strategy.

---

Posted by Little Miss Attila | March 16, 2004 | 02:31 am | Permalink
 

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