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	<title>Comments on: Army Suicide Rate and Random Variation</title>
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		<title>By: G.A.Phillips</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142838</link>
		<dc:creator>G.A.Phillips</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Aug 2007 17:28:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142838</guid>
		<description>A very sad thing this is, but for the liberals just another tool to blame with, go figure.

 &lt;blockquote&gt;CORRECTION: Heaven save us from the callousness of pointing out that &quot;these poor people&#039;s deaths&quot; reflect badly on the institution that is supposed to be supporting them.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

 The Democrat party?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A very sad thing this is, but for the liberals just another tool to blame with, go figure.</p>
<blockquote><p>CORRECTION: Heaven save us from the callousness of pointing out that "these poor people's deaths" reflect badly on the institution that is supposed to be supporting them.</p></blockquote>
<p> The Democrat party?</p>
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		<title>By: Hawke</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142812</link>
		<dc:creator>Hawke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Aug 2007 08:07:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142812</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;No, but it might help to end this insane war, a war which you have supported. Guys like you and me live in nice houses and spend time in Tuscany (actually I prefer Paris). &lt;/em&gt;

So let me get this straight... detractors of this post are simultaneously (though not the same people) saying &quot;think of the humanity of these individual lives!&quot; and then saying &quot;let&#039;s use them for our gain [to end the war].&quot;

I think it comes down to figuring out what your goals are. I think it&#039;s disingenuous for your goal to be (Stay/Leave) Iraq and use these stats to further your cause. Everybody here agrees suicide isn&#039;t something we want to happen in any sector of society, so the goal should be less suicide. You can&#039;t logically make the conclusion &quot;end the war, less suicide&quot; at this point. 

Sure you can&#039;t discount the humanity of the situation, but having feelings about it often only hinders one from finding solutions from numbers.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>No, but it might help to end this insane war, a war which you have supported. Guys like you and me live in nice houses and spend time in Tuscany (actually I prefer Paris). </em></p>
<p>So let me get this straight... detractors of this post are simultaneously (though not the same people) saying "think of the humanity of these individual lives!" and then saying "let's use them for our gain [to end the war]."</p>
<p>I think it comes down to figuring out what your goals are. I think it's disingenuous for your goal to be (Stay/Leave) Iraq and use these stats to further your cause. Everybody here agrees suicide isn't something we want to happen in any sector of society, so the goal should be less suicide. You can't logically make the conclusion "end the war, less suicide" at this point. </p>
<p>Sure you can't discount the humanity of the situation, but having feelings about it often only hinders one from finding solutions from numbers.</p>
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		<title>By: 1charlie2</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142668</link>
		<dc:creator>1charlie2</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Aug 2007 12:21:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142668</guid>
		<description>It proves THE GODS ARE ANGRY!!!!

That&#039;s exactly the the sort of irrational, emotional, &#039;OH MY GOD WE GOTTA&#039; DO SOMETHING!&quot; reaction that, left unchecked in earlier times, led to human sacrifice, witch-burning, the Inquisition, and other wonderful examples of letting one&#039;s FEELINGS rule the day.

One of the first things we taught aspiring EMTs was &quot;Don&#039;t just DO SOMETHING, &lt;b&gt;stand there&lt;/b&gt;!&quot;  In other words, when dealing with serious matters, think carefully what the circumstances are really telling you before you undertake an action.

As a vet myself, I reject the idiotic notion that, because I don&#039;t squeal and shriek, I don&#039;t care. I went to my first military funerals at age 20, and it didn&#039;t stop there.  WIA and KIA are more than just numbers to me, but they are still numbers as well. They deserve serious consideration, not only hand-wringing and emotion.  

So to any self-righteous *sshole who thinks he or she &quot;cares&quot; more than me just because I consider war and the military too serious to base policy on what &lt;b&gt;feels&lt;/b&gt; good, let me ask them one question: I have a number of friends in Arlington, how about you ?

I care about them, but I don&#039;t want to base foreign-policy completely on pain-avoidance.  A small child pulls the covers up over his head, convinced that if he cannot see the scary monster, the scary monster can&#039;t see him.  A small child hides in the closet during a fire, lacking the understanding that some dangers are far worse when not faced promptly and rationally.  A small child runs away from a fight, convinced that avoiding a black eye today is worth getting pummelled again tomorrow.

An adult say &quot;This is gonna&#039; &lt;b&gt;suck&lt;/b&gt;, but I might as well get it over with. It ain&#039;t gonna&#039; suck any &lt;b&gt;less&lt;/b&gt; tomorrow.&quot;

Sacrifice and delay of gratification are adult traits.  Letting emotions rule the day is not.

And the danger in &quot;news&quot; like this is having only an emotional response.  If an undesirable trend forms (by no means proven), let&#039;s consider what can be done. But it needs to fall somewhat short of calling for withdrawal because 11 PFC Snarglepuss&#039;s killed themselves.  

Perhaps we should just make Basic Training harder ?  That might weed out more folks likely to kill themselves ?  Okay, that &lt;b&gt;was&lt;/b&gt; a flippant response, not a serious one, but if the desired outcome is &quot;reduce the rate of suicides,&quot; it might work.

Personally, I think that pulling out of Iraq without success would increase the despair and thus the overall suicide rates among the military for several years to come.  Imagine if we&#039;d pulled out of Europe in WW II at the Battle of the Bulge ?

/Sarcasm on.
Nothing like being told &quot;Ehhh, all your sacrifices were for nothing. Your buddies died for nothing. It was all a mistake.&quot; to pump up the morale and make suicide less likely. 
/Sarcasm off.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It proves THE GODS ARE ANGRY!!!!</p>
<p>That's exactly the the sort of irrational, emotional, 'OH MY GOD WE GOTTA' DO SOMETHING!" reaction that, left unchecked in earlier times, led to human sacrifice, witch-burning, the Inquisition, and other wonderful examples of letting one's FEELINGS rule the day.</p>
<p>One of the first things we taught aspiring EMTs was "Don't just DO SOMETHING, <b>stand there</b>!"  In other words, when dealing with serious matters, think carefully what the circumstances are really telling you before you undertake an action.</p>
<p>As a vet myself, I reject the idiotic notion that, because I don't squeal and shriek, I don't care. I went to my first military funerals at age 20, and it didn't stop there.  WIA and KIA are more than just numbers to me, but they are still numbers as well. They deserve serious consideration, not only hand-wringing and emotion.  </p>
<p>So to any self-righteous *sshole who thinks he or she "cares" more than me just because I consider war and the military too serious to base policy on what <b>feels</b> good, let me ask them one question: I have a number of friends in Arlington, how about you ?</p>
<p>I care about them, but I don't want to base foreign-policy completely on pain-avoidance.  A small child pulls the covers up over his head, convinced that if he cannot see the scary monster, the scary monster can't see him.  A small child hides in the closet during a fire, lacking the understanding that some dangers are far worse when not faced promptly and rationally.  A small child runs away from a fight, convinced that avoiding a black eye today is worth getting pummelled again tomorrow.</p>
<p>An adult say "This is gonna' <b>suck</b>, but I might as well get it over with. It ain't gonna' suck any <b>less</b> tomorrow."</p>
<p>Sacrifice and delay of gratification are adult traits.  Letting emotions rule the day is not.</p>
<p>And the danger in "news" like this is having only an emotional response.  If an undesirable trend forms (by no means proven), let's consider what can be done. But it needs to fall somewhat short of calling for withdrawal because 11 PFC Snarglepuss's killed themselves.  </p>
<p>Perhaps we should just make Basic Training harder ?  That might weed out more folks likely to kill themselves ?  Okay, that <b>was</b> a flippant response, not a serious one, but if the desired outcome is "reduce the rate of suicides," it might work.</p>
<p>Personally, I think that pulling out of Iraq without success would increase the despair and thus the overall suicide rates among the military for several years to come.  Imagine if we'd pulled out of Europe in WW II at the Battle of the Bulge ?</p>
<p>/Sarcasm on.<br />
Nothing like being told "Ehhh, all your sacrifices were for nothing. Your buddies died for nothing. It was all a mistake." to pump up the morale and make suicide less likely.<br />
/Sarcasm off.</p>
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		<title>By: rodney dill</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142663</link>
		<dc:creator>rodney dill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Aug 2007 10:16:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142663</guid>
		<description>&lt;i&gt;Oh? Does it prove, then, institutional success?&lt;/i&gt;

No one has made that claim. Though, in reality a statistically insignificant change in the suicide rate, and a rate that is not different from the general populace is one indication of institutional success.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>Oh? Does it prove, then, institutional success?</i></p>
<p>No one has made that claim. Though, in reality a statistically insignificant change in the suicide rate, and a rate that is not different from the general populace is one indication of institutional success.</p>
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		<title>By: Kathy</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142661</link>
		<dc:creator>Kathy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Aug 2007 06:11:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142661</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;But the fact that 11 more soldiers killed themselves in 2006 than in 2005 in a force of 1.43 million doesn&#039;t prove institutional failure.&lt;/em&gt;

Oh? Does it prove, then, institutional success?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>But the fact that 11 more soldiers killed themselves in 2006 than in 2005 in a force of 1.43 million doesn't prove institutional failure.</em></p>
<p>Oh? Does it prove, then, institutional success?</p>
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		<title>By: Sharpshooter</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142612</link>
		<dc:creator>Sharpshooter</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2007 22:53:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142612</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s evident that Anjin-San and Kathy have never had to make serious, critical decisions, particularly those of major consequence.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It's evident that Anjin-San and Kathy have never had to make serious, critical decisions, particularly those of major consequence.</p>
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		<title>By: James Joyner</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142607</link>
		<dc:creator>James Joyner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2007 22:17:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142607</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Heaven save us from the callousness of pointing out that &quot;these poor people&#039;s deaths&quot; reflect badly on the institution that is supposed to be supporting them.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

How so?  The Army suicide rate remains, despite a grueling war, comparable to that among civilians of the same age and gender.  That&#039;s rather remarkable, no?  The Army has all manner of counseling programs, formal and informal, in place and always has.  And it has a very formalized suicide prevention program that goes back to the early 1990s. 

Could we do more? Sure.  The Walter Reed fiasco showed that. 

But the fact that 11 more soldiers killed themselves in 2006 than in 2005 in a force of 1.43 million doesn&#039;t prove institutional failure.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Heaven save us from the callousness of pointing out that "these poor people's deaths" reflect badly on the institution that is supposed to be supporting them.</p></blockquote>
<p>How so?  The Army suicide rate remains, despite a grueling war, comparable to that among civilians of the same age and gender.  That's rather remarkable, no?  The Army has all manner of counseling programs, formal and informal, in place and always has.  And it has a very formalized suicide prevention program that goes back to the early 1990s. </p>
<p>Could we do more? Sure.  The Walter Reed fiasco showed that. </p>
<p>But the fact that 11 more soldiers killed themselves in 2006 than in 2005 in a force of 1.43 million doesn't prove institutional failure.</p>
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		<title>By: Kathy</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142605</link>
		<dc:creator>Kathy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2007 22:04:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142605</guid>
		<description>CORRECTION: Heaven save us from the callousness of pointing out that &quot;these poor people&#039;s deaths&quot; reflect badly on the institution that is supposed to be supporting them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CORRECTION: Heaven save us from the callousness of pointing out that "these poor people's deaths" reflect badly on the institution that is supposed to be supporting them.</p>
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		<title>By: Kathy</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142604</link>
		<dc:creator>Kathy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2007 22:00:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142604</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;I find your cold, cruel calculation in trying to use these deaths to further a political agenda insultingly inhuman. DON&#039;T try to twist these poor people&#039;s deaths into something they are not. Such behavior is contemptible.&lt;/em&gt;

LOL, yes, Mr. Orwell. I take your point. Heaven save us from the callousness of pointing out that &quot;these poor people&#039;s deaths&quot; are entirely their fault and do not reflect on the military at all. True compassion lies in blaming the men and women who have taken their own lives for their weakness and cowardice, absolving the military of all responsibility, and then forgetting about it as quickly as possible -- which in your case is at about the speed of light.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>I find your cold, cruel calculation in trying to use these deaths to further a political agenda insultingly inhuman. DON'T try to twist these poor people's deaths into something they are not. Such behavior is contemptible.</em></p>
<p>LOL, yes, Mr. Orwell. I take your point. Heaven save us from the callousness of pointing out that "these poor people's deaths" are entirely their fault and do not reflect on the military at all. True compassion lies in blaming the men and women who have taken their own lives for their weakness and cowardice, absolving the military of all responsibility, and then forgetting about it as quickly as possible -- which in your case is at about the speed of light.</p>
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		<title>By: A spike in military suicides? : thought cops</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142600</link>
		<dc:creator>A spike in military suicides? : thought cops</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2007 21:47:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142600</guid>
		<description>[...] areven with this spike ncluding a reference to a very good statistical analysis from James Joyner here:  Two excerpts from Joyner: Marc Danziger, whose son has recently enlisted in the military, has [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] areven with this spike ncluding a reference to a very good statistical analysis from James Joyner here:  Two excerpts from Joyner: Marc Danziger, whose son has recently enlisted in the military, has [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Random Numbers</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142588</link>
		<dc:creator>Random Numbers</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2007 20:33:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142588</guid>
		<description>Kathy, I find your cold, cruel calculation in trying to use these deaths to further a political agenda insultingly inhuman.  DON&#039;T try to twist these poor people&#039;s deaths into something they are not.  Such behavior is contemptible.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kathy, I find your cold, cruel calculation in trying to use these deaths to further a political agenda insultingly inhuman.  DON'T try to twist these poor people's deaths into something they are not.  Such behavior is contemptible.</p>
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		<title>By: Dennis</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142585</link>
		<dc:creator>Dennis</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2007 20:21:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142585</guid>
		<description>What is the suicide rate for the general population in the U.S? I&#039;ll bet it is similar or more. just same old journalism. Don&#039;t do the research just sensationalize.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What is the suicide rate for the general population in the U.S? I'll bet it is similar or more. just same old journalism. Don't do the research just sensationalize.</p>
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		<title>By: Democratic Convention Party Political Local Advertising Presidential Campaigns &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Kerry: Army Report on Suicide Rates Reinforces Need to Improve Care for All Wounds of War</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142578</link>
		<dc:creator>Democratic Convention Party Political Local Advertising Presidential Campaigns &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Kerry: Army Report on Suicide Rates Reinforces Need to Improve Care for All Wounds of War</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2007 19:27:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142578</guid>
		<description>[...] the blogosphere, Outside the Beltway and Armered Liberal at Winds of Change, are pulling out national suicide statistics to downplay the [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] the blogosphere, Outside the Beltway and Armered Liberal at Winds of Change, are pulling out national suicide statistics to downplay the [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Kathy</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142572</link>
		<dc:creator>Kathy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2007 18:40:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142572</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;As someone who knows a little statistics, I can say &lt;strong&gt;there is no statistical significance&lt;/strong&gt; to the increase from 88 to 99.&lt;/em&gt; 

Is there human significance? What I mean is, if you are a human being thinking as a human being as opposed to a robot thinking like a statistician, is it significant and meaningful that last year 88 soldiers killed themselves, and this year 99 soldiers killed themselves?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>As someone who knows a little statistics, I can say <strong>there is no statistical significance</strong> to the increase from 88 to 99.</em> </p>
<p>Is there human significance? What I mean is, if you are a human being thinking as a human being as opposed to a robot thinking like a statistician, is it significant and meaningful that last year 88 soldiers killed themselves, and this year 99 soldiers killed themselves?</p>
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		<title>By: Anjin-San</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/comment-page-1/#comment-142567</link>
		<dc:creator>Anjin-San</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Aug 2007 18:20:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/08/army_suicide_rate_and_random_variation/#comment-142567</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;getting emotional about it doesn&#039;t bring them back.&lt;/blockquote&gt; 

No, but it might help to end this insane war, a war which you have supported. Guys like you and me live in nice houses and spend time in Tuscany (actually I prefer Paris). 

Meanwhile, the troops who selflessly serve our country are dying in the brutal heat in Baghdad to give &quot;breathing space&quot; to a government that followed Bush&#039;s example and WENT ON VACATION. Doesn&#039;t that piss you off? I recommend a strong does of emotionalism.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>getting emotional about it doesn't bring them back.</p></blockquote>
<p>No, but it might help to end this insane war, a war which you have supported. Guys like you and me live in nice houses and spend time in Tuscany (actually I prefer Paris). </p>
<p>Meanwhile, the troops who selflessly serve our country are dying in the brutal heat in Baghdad to give "breathing space" to a government that followed Bush's example and WENT ON VACATION. Doesn't that piss you off? I recommend a strong does of emotionalism.</p>
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