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	<title>Comments on: Bilbray Beats Busby for Cunningham Seat</title>
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	<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/bilbray_beats_busby_for_cunningham_seat/</link>
	<description>Online Journal of Politics and Foreign Affairs</description>
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		<title>By: The Moderate Voice</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/bilbray_beats_busby_for_cunningham_seat/comment-page-1/#comment-85423</link>
		<dc:creator>The Moderate Voice</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jun 2006 17:31:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/06/bilbray_leads_busby_in_early_returns/#comment-85423</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Republican Bilbray&#039;s Win of Bellwether Seat Means &quot;Caution&quot; To Democrats (UPDATED)...&lt;/strong&gt;


Just a few weeks ago, many Democrats were cautiously optimistic that local school board member Francine Busb......</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Republican Bilbray's Win of Bellwether Seat Means "Caution" To Democrats (UPDATED)...</strong></p>
<p>Just a few weeks ago, many Democrats were cautiously optimistic that local school board member Francine Busb......</p>
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		<title>By: yetanotherjohn</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/bilbray_beats_busby_for_cunningham_seat/comment-page-1/#comment-85422</link>
		<dc:creator>yetanotherjohn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jun 2006 17:29:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/06/bilbray_leads_busby_in_early_returns/#comment-85422</guid>
		<description>I think the context is that things are not likely to change next November. As is usual, the new person didn&#039;t get as many votes as the previous incumbent. That is why open seats are considered more vulnerable. But for the Democrats to win majority control, they needed to be able to take open seats in districts that Bush won in 2004 (55%). If they couldn&#039;t take this seat, where is the basis to think they can take the other seats.

To put it in another perspective, if Bush being &#039;down&#039; 15% ala the polls, then your would expect that if that will be the critical factor in November, a district that went for Bush at 55% would see a republican get 40%. In fact, the democrat received very close to the 44% number that Kerry got (call it a 1% pick up). The republican candidate was off by about 5.5%, which was distributed among the anti-illegal immigrant independent, the libertarian and the 1% going to the democrat. So unless you can make a case that there are a number of seats won by 1% in 2004, it doesn&#039;t foretell a tidal wave in the making.

The deeper question to me is what happens to the democrats if the tidal wave doesn&#039;t wash ashore in November. Does the one-note band of Kossacks just scram their single note aria louder and more shrilly to drive the troops on to defeat in 2008 or does some adults recognize the problem and pull the party back?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think the context is that things are not likely to change next November. As is usual, the new person didn't get as many votes as the previous incumbent. That is why open seats are considered more vulnerable. But for the Democrats to win majority control, they needed to be able to take open seats in districts that Bush won in 2004 (55%). If they couldn't take this seat, where is the basis to think they can take the other seats.</p>
<p>To put it in another perspective, if Bush being 'down' 15% ala the polls, then your would expect that if that will be the critical factor in November, a district that went for Bush at 55% would see a republican get 40%. In fact, the democrat received very close to the 44% number that Kerry got (call it a 1% pick up). The republican candidate was off by about 5.5%, which was distributed among the anti-illegal immigrant independent, the libertarian and the 1% going to the democrat. So unless you can make a case that there are a number of seats won by 1% in 2004, it doesn't foretell a tidal wave in the making.</p>
<p>The deeper question to me is what happens to the democrats if the tidal wave doesn't wash ashore in November. Does the one-note band of Kossacks just scram their single note aria louder and more shrilly to drive the troops on to defeat in 2008 or does some adults recognize the problem and pull the party back?</p>
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		<title>By: Mike Thayer</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/bilbray_beats_busby_for_cunningham_seat/comment-page-1/#comment-85410</link>
		<dc:creator>Mike Thayer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jun 2006 16:08:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/06/bilbray_leads_busby_in_early_returns/#comment-85410</guid>
		<description>I read somewhere that KOS earns $20K a month from advertisers. 
Apparantly, those advertisers are wasting their money, because it doesn&#039;t look like anyone&#039;s buying what the moonbats at KOS are selling.

Talk about fraud.....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I read somewhere that KOS earns $20K a month from advertisers.<br />
Apparantly, those advertisers are wasting their money, because it doesn't look like anyone's buying what the moonbats at KOS are selling.</p>
<p>Talk about fraud.....</p>
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		<title>By: The Sandbox</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/bilbray_beats_busby_for_cunningham_seat/comment-page-1/#comment-85407</link>
		<dc:creator>The Sandbox</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jun 2006 15:34:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/06/bilbray_leads_busby_in_early_returns/#comment-85407</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Republican Wins California Congressional Race...&lt;/strong&gt;

Here&#039;s the Washington Post story:The California Congressional seat vacated by jailed former representative Randy Duke Cunningham will remain in Republican hands after a special election Tuesday in which a lobbyist narrowly defeated a Democratic school...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Republican Wins California Congressional Race...</strong></p>
<p>Here's the Washington Post story:The California Congressional seat vacated by jailed former representative Randy Duke Cunningham will remain in Republican hands after a special election Tuesday in which a lobbyist narrowly defeated a Democratic school...</p>
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		<title>By: The Right Nation</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/bilbray_beats_busby_for_cunningham_seat/comment-page-1/#comment-85396</link>
		<dc:creator>The Right Nation</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jun 2006 14:21:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/06/bilbray_leads_busby_in_early_returns/#comment-85396</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;God Bless San Diego...&lt;/strong&gt;

Il repubblicano Brian Bilbray ha vinto le elezioni straordinarie indette dal Congresso nel 50° distretto della California dopo le dimissioni di Randy &quot;Duke&quot; Cunningham (travolto da un episodio di corruzione). Il risultato, considerando che le contee...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>God Bless San Diego...</strong></p>
<p>Il repubblicano Brian Bilbray ha vinto le elezioni straordinarie indette dal Congresso nel 50° distretto della California dopo le dimissioni di Randy "Duke" Cunningham (travolto da un episodio di corruzione). Il risultato, considerando che le contee...</p>
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		<title>By: Unpartisan.com Political News and Blog Aggregator</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/bilbray_beats_busby_for_cunningham_seat/comment-page-1/#comment-85375</link>
		<dc:creator>Unpartisan.com Political News and Blog Aggregator</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jun 2006 11:13:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/06/bilbray_leads_busby_in_early_returns/#comment-85375</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Republican leads in bellwether House race 
   
...&lt;/strong&gt;

In the most closely watched contest in eight states Tuesday, a former Republican congressman took th...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Republican leads in bellwether House race </p>
<p>...</strong></p>
<p>In the most closely watched contest in eight states Tuesday, a former Republican congressman took th...</p>
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