Comments on: Bush Numbers Up After Terrorism Push

By: Bithead

Bithead — Wed, 20 Sep 2006 10:59:17 +0000

Correction: Anti BUSH propaganda.

(Grumble.... what I get for using the dictation unit when I have a cold)

By: Bithead

Bithead — Wed, 20 Sep 2006 10:56:44 +0000

The reasons are simple enough that even the average liberal should be able to figure them out: The American people have been fed a steady diet of antiabortion propaganda for the last six years. The press has absolutely delighted in providing us with this "service". After that, one doesn't have to be overly smart to be able to figure out where those negative numbers are coming from. The betterment of those polling numbers should also surprise nobody. Give the American people both sides of the story for the first time in six years, and the perception of the people is gonna change. It's really that simple. Give the people the truth, and a choice, and they will respond to it. Which explains why Err America is filing for bankruptcy, and President Bush's polling numbers are going up.

By: Herb

Herb — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 23:42:47 +0000

I am gathering from comments from Anderson, that he just can't believe what is happening to his favorite Democrats in the upcoming elections.

I guess he will have a lot of crow to consume when it's all over and the Republicans hold their majority in both houses of Congress.

Looks like all of the "hate Bush" rhetoric has gone for nothing. Eat your hearts out Dems.

By: Tano

Tano — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 20:09:02 +0000

James,

2 things.

1) There is a very long and interesting debunking of the gas price - approval rating correlation posted on MyElectionAnalysis today. Check it out.

http://www.myelectionanalysis.com/index.php

2) The Rasmussen daily tracking poll had an interesting week last week. Bush's approval rating had been steady at 41-42 before 9/11, then went up to 47 over a few days, and in a symmetrical manner came back down. Today it is 40, which is lower than before 9/11.

The polls you report on today seem to be from within that week. I am not sure that great conclusions should be made from them.

By: Michael

Michael — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 18:44:12 +0000

Daniel, All very true, however I think the most profound result this poll shows is that "Adults" are overwhelmingly convinced that Iraq is not part of the War on Terror. Because of that, playing the "tough on terror" meme will not help Republican candidates fend off attacks about failures in Iraq, the public sees them as different issues this year. This does not bode well for Republicans since other recent polls have placed the war in Iraq as a higher concern among voters that the war on terror. I would expect the second phase of Bush's terror push will be to try and salvage the "Iraq is the front line in the War on Terror" meme.

By: Daniel DiRito

Daniel DiRito — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 16:59:57 +0000

This recent polling data tells me that voters have a clear perspective on the war in Iraq...perhaps more cogent than either Party. They feel it is being handled poorly, they know what a civil war looks like, they believe Congress has failed to do its part in guiding and overseeing the executive branch, and they realize that the notion of exporting democracy to the Middle East is a Bush Doctrine that fails to recognize the realities in the region. Finally, they believe that Middle East stability is important and that a withdrawal that leaves Iraq in chaos may well be detrimental to the United States.

That, my friends, is one spot on analysis and suggests that voters have discerned fact from fiction with an impressive demonstration of acuity. Perhaps both parties will someday learn that the truth is, in the final analysis, the most powerful campaign strategy available. Don't hold your breath.

By: Anderson

Anderson — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 16:45:36 +0000

More on Gallup's tendencies at The Plank.

By: PoliBlog: A Rough Draft of my Thoughts » Sad Politics

PoliBlog: A Rough Draft of my Thoughts » Sad Politics — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 16:43:35 +0000

[...] And perhaps the President’s recent rise in approval indicates that his stance here has some political salience. However, I wouldn’t suggest that his proponents get too excited yet: he is still only at 44%–and that isn’t enough to win a presidential election. Indeed, it is still pretty bad and only looks better when one considers that the president was recently at 29%. Filed under: US Politics | |Send TrackBack [...]

By: The Right Nation

The Right Nation — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 16:10:03 +0000

Rebound...

Job approval mai così alto nel 2006 per George W. Bush (44%: +5 rispetto all'inizio di settembre) secondo l'ultimo sondaggio Gallup per USA Today. E...

By: Conservative Outpost

Conservative Outpost — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 16:06:33 +0000

Daily Summary...

NEWS: - White House Offers New Proposal on Interrogations - More wrangling over interrogation bill - Rice says U.S. will pursue Iran sanctions - France's Chirac Not in Favor of Iran Sanctions - White House selects cybersecurity chief - House......

By: Anderson

Anderson — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 14:11:21 +0000

Here's an example from the 2004 polls, showing that Gallup tended to trend higher for Bush. That's probably what I was thinking about.

By: James Joyner

James Joyner — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 13:48:37 +0000

Anderson: I'd have to see comparative numbers but it strikes me as unlikely. Indeed, using "adults" vice "registered voters" almost always means a slight Democratic tilt vice November turnouts. Any systematic bias would almost be irrelevant for trend analysis even if the numbers themselves were sketchy.

By: Anderson

Anderson — Tue, 19 Sep 2006 13:11:04 +0000

Doesn't Gallup tend to lean Republican? I seem to recall that from earlier years.