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	<title>Comments on: Carville: Jeb Bush will be GOP Nominee</title>
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		<title>By: Dave Schuler</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/carville_jeb_bush_will_be_gop_nominee_/comment-page-1/#comment-188992</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave Schuler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Oct 2007 19:11:30 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>It&#039;s good to see that Mr. Carville is leading an active and vivid fantasy life.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It's good to see that Mr. Carville is leading an active and vivid fantasy life.</p>
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		<title>By: bob in fl</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/carville_jeb_bush_will_be_gop_nominee_/comment-page-1/#comment-188953</link>
		<dc:creator>bob in fl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Oct 2007 17:12:14 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>God, I hope Carville is wrong about JEB being the GOP nominee. Maybe I am too close to 8 years of JEB&#039;s governorship. That his regime was successful is debatable, but his popularity as governor of Florida is not. Thus his success SEEMS real. His record &amp; life is the neocon platform in detail.

The GOP Convention seems headed for a deadlock. If that becomes reality, JEB would be a logical choice as a unity candidate, in spite of his last name being Bush. He is much smarter than George, just as cunning as Cheney, &amp; a master of the photo op. After 8 years of JEB here in the land of oranges &amp; tourist traps &amp; the FUBAR 2000 election, I would really, really hate to see that happen.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>God, I hope Carville is wrong about JEB being the GOP nominee. Maybe I am too close to 8 years of JEB's governorship. That his regime was successful is debatable, but his popularity as governor of Florida is not. Thus his success SEEMS real. His record &amp; life is the neocon platform in detail.</p>
<p>The GOP Convention seems headed for a deadlock. If that becomes reality, JEB would be a logical choice as a unity candidate, in spite of his last name being Bush. He is much smarter than George, just as cunning as Cheney, &amp; a master of the photo op. After 8 years of JEB here in the land of oranges &amp; tourist traps &amp; the FUBAR 2000 election, I would really, really hate to see that happen.</p>
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		<title>By: Grewgills</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/carville_jeb_bush_will_be_gop_nominee_/comment-page-1/#comment-188936</link>
		<dc:creator>Grewgills</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Oct 2007 16:19:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/10/carville_jeb_bush_will_be_gop_nominee_/#comment-188936</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;There ought to be a web site that tracks peoples predictions (like this) and then tracks how often those predicitions come true.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
and they should put their tally at the bottom of the screen whenever they appear on a pundit or news show.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>There ought to be a web site that tracks peoples predictions (like this) and then tracks how often those predicitions come true.</p></blockquote>
<p>and they should put their tally at the bottom of the screen whenever they appear on a pundit or news show.</p>
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		<title>By: yetanotherjohn</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/carville_jeb_bush_will_be_gop_nominee_/comment-page-1/#comment-188890</link>
		<dc:creator>yetanotherjohn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Oct 2007 15:07:16 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>This gave me a great laugh. Not because Jeb wouldn&#039;t make a great president, but because &#039;08 is just not his year. 

There ought to be a web site that tracks peoples predictions (like this) and then tracks how often those predicitions come true. Then, you could have a pundit rating scheme. Probably a three part indicating the number of predictions made, the number of predictions events that have been included and the percentage they got right.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This gave me a great laugh. Not because Jeb wouldn't make a great president, but because '08 is just not his year. </p>
<p>There ought to be a web site that tracks peoples predictions (like this) and then tracks how often those predicitions come true. Then, you could have a pundit rating scheme. Probably a three part indicating the number of predictions made, the number of predictions events that have been included and the percentage they got right.</p>
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		<title>By: Blue Crab Boulevard &#187; Carville&#8217;s Crystal Ball</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/carville_jeb_bush_will_be_gop_nominee_/comment-page-1/#comment-188841</link>
		<dc:creator>Blue Crab Boulevard &#187; Carville&#8217;s Crystal Ball</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Oct 2007 13:55:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/10/carville_jeb_bush_will_be_gop_nominee_/#comment-188841</guid>
		<description>[...] James Joyner: &quot;Given that it was a breakfast meeting, one would presume Carville was sober when he made these comments. While I respect his skills as a political analyst, though, this strikes me as more than a little farfetched.&quot; [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] James Joyner: &quot;Given that it was a breakfast meeting, one would presume Carville was sober when he made these comments. While I respect his skills as a political analyst, though, this strikes me as more than a little farfetched.&quot; [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Michael</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/carville_jeb_bush_will_be_gop_nominee_/comment-page-1/#comment-188840</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Oct 2007 13:52:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/10/carville_jeb_bush_will_be_gop_nominee_/#comment-188840</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;He was a successful governor of a large state&lt;/blockquote&gt;Some of us Floridians will question Carville&#039;s definition of &quot;successful&quot;.

&lt;blockquote&gt;There is nobody in this field who can rally the Republican Party; he’s the only person in America that can do it&lt;/blockquote&gt;Funny, wasn&#039;t that the exact same thing people were saying about Fred Thompson before he entered the race?

&lt;blockquote&gt;Carville’s right, though, that none of the current candidates yet excites the party. Then again, somebody will get the nomination and thereby become the alternative to, presumably, Hillary Clinton. That will be enough to rally the troops.&lt;/blockquote&gt;Ah yes, whomever gets the GOP nomination will have the support of loyal GOP voters, but will they be able to translate their &quot;lesser of two evils&quot; support into &quot;leave home/work early to stand in line and vote for someone you don&#039;t like&quot;?  And if GOP voters don&#039;t turn up to vote for President, they also don&#039;t vote for GOP congressmen, or state officials, etc.  

A demotivated base is going to be the GOP&#039;s biggest problem this cycle, possibly even more so than last cycle, because we already have Speaker Pelosi, and nobody is telling them that their vote can change that this year.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>He was a successful governor of a large state</p></blockquote>
<p>Some of us Floridians will question Carville's definition of "successful".</p>
<blockquote><p>There is nobody in this field who can rally the Republican Party; he&rsquo;s the only person in America that can do it</p></blockquote>
<p>Funny, wasn't that the exact same thing people were saying about Fred Thompson before he entered the race?</p>
<blockquote><p>Carville&rsquo;s right, though, that none of the current candidates yet excites the party. Then again, somebody will get the nomination and thereby become the alternative to, presumably, Hillary Clinton. That will be enough to rally the troops.</p></blockquote>
<p>Ah yes, whomever gets the GOP nomination will have the support of loyal GOP voters, but will they be able to translate their "lesser of two evils" support into "leave home/work early to stand in line and vote for someone you don't like"?  And if GOP voters don't turn up to vote for President, they also don't vote for GOP congressmen, or state officials, etc.  </p>
<p>A demotivated base is going to be the GOP's biggest problem this cycle, possibly even more so than last cycle, because we already have Speaker Pelosi, and nobody is telling them that their vote can change that this year.</p>
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