There was some significant atypical-weather related destruction in Jackson and Meridian, but that's 100+ miles south of the bulk of the district.

Pretty much, yeah. For bureaucratic/pork purposes, all of Mississippi was declared a "disaster area," but a slightly more realistic view can be had by looking at the counties in the "GO Zone." Even that was a stretch, but the number of Republicans in the Columbus and Meridian areas made it difficult to exclude them -- good work, Gov. Barbour!

You're not going to tell me that the area was unaffected by the economic mess in what amounts to the regional capital? Please.

The "regional capital" of northern Mississippi would be either Memphis or Birmingham.

Again, the idea that any nontrivial number of people "moved away" from the 1st district b/c of Katrina is simply laughable.

Really, if you'll concede error on trivial points about which you know nothing, then you'll seem much more persuasive. Try it sometime.

Don't confuse Bithead with the facts.

Like, for example, you're not going to try and tell me the place was undamaged by the storm, right? You're not going to tell me that the area was unaffected by the economic mess in what amounts to the regional capital? Please.

Don't confuse Bithead with the facts.

But really, that's the single most ignorant thing I will read all month, I'm sure. People might have moved *to* the area since Katrina, but no one has left it because of Katrina, which was merely a bad storm in those parts.

I don't know what the election presages for November, but the Dem candidate for Senate, Musgrove, has won statewide races before, whereas Wicker has not. That plus heavy Obama-friendly turnout may keep Childers in. Heck, as TPM notes, with 54% it wasn't even a terribly close election.

I guess they didn't move to Dennis Hastert's old district.

Prolly not.
Remember, though, Pug, that Hastert is a quite liberal republican, else he'd never ahve been elected there in the first place. No shock that anyone to his right... quite a wide swath... wouldn't do well in that district, even in the best of times. Be careful about taking too much from that particular district.

This is hundreds of miles from where Katrina made landfall.

So?

I guess they didn't move to Dennis Hastert's old district.

Hurricane Katrina? This district is in the far norhern part of Mississippi, including the suburbs of Memphis. This is hundreds of miles from where Katrina made landfall.