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	<title>Comments on: Defaulting Homeowners Default Again After Relief</title>
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		<title>By: Drew</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-535005</link>
		<dc:creator>Drew</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Dec 2008 23:43:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-535005</guid>
		<description>Your analysis is embarrassingly bad, odo.  Let&#039;s do a quick synopsis:

1.  Critics often blame Bush deregulation.  Wrong.  There has been no material financial services deregulation since 1999.  In 1999 President WJ Clinton signed the &quot;Financial Services Modernization Act&quot;......the repeal of Glass - Steagall.  Thats it.

2.  In 1977 Congress passed the CRA.
    
After 16 years of relatively innocuous effect, in 1993 HUD officials began bringing legal action against banks to make more loans to minorities - read: take on bad credit risks.  So they lowered loan qualification standards.  

In 1995 CRA amendments allowed regulators to deny lenders deemed to be in violation of regulator&#039;s views on CRA compliance to deny bank mergers......this in an environment when interstate banking was just allowed.  In essence, the regulators could destroy you.  More pressure on underwriting standards.

Perhaps most importantly, just as HUD and Congress were pressing Fannie and Freddie to promote &quot;affordable housing&quot; (read: Democratic social engineering) by having them make and purchase these crappy loans - excuse me - &quot;subprime mortgages&quot;...institutional investors realized that there was an implicit government guarantee of them (which has now proved true).  Open season.  

And Freddie and Frannie grew like wild fire.

3.  I note that in 2002 the regulatory body &#039;OPHEO&quot; (sp?) wrote a scathing report about the accounting practices of Freddie and Fannie, and the looming debacle.  CSPAN tapes of the subsequent 2003 hearings are fascinating.  Barney Frank, Maxine Walters....the reps from NY, MS and AL all absolutely scorching the regulators for being everything from scare mongers to racists for even suggesting that the mortgage lending practices were a problem.  Now this is looked upon as sad....if not criminal.

4.  People like to blame Wall Street greed.  But they were simply packaging and selling off the crap loans the Feds forced lenders to make.  (Now I admit, once everybody (mortgage brokers etc) learned about the game, they all got in on it and made crap loans, because there was an outlet.  Hey! A government sponsored slop at the trough!!!) 
     
But I ask you.  You are a bank board member or senior officer.  You know the loans are crap.  AND YOUR FIRST FIDUCIARY DUTY IS TO THE SHAREHOLDERS - BY LAW - wouldn&#039;t you offload these crap loans???  If you didn&#039;t, you could be sued and ruined.  If you do not understand that you are awfully naive.

Bit had it right.  Its like a snow avalanche.  Blaming the guys who tried to rate this mess is like blaming the park ranger who underestimated the size of the avalanche as it arrived half way down the hill.

Odo, your &quot;analysis&quot; pointing away from government.......I&#039;m feeling generous tonight.......is simply idiotic.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Your analysis is embarrassingly bad, odo.  Let's do a quick synopsis:</p>
<p>1.  Critics often blame Bush deregulation.  Wrong.  There has been no material financial services deregulation since 1999.  In 1999 President WJ Clinton signed the "Financial Services Modernization Act"......the repeal of Glass - Steagall.  Thats it.</p>
<p>2.  In 1977 Congress passed the CRA.</p>
<p>After 16 years of relatively innocuous effect, in 1993 HUD officials began bringing legal action against banks to make more loans to minorities - read: take on bad credit risks.  So they lowered loan qualification standards.  </p>
<p>In 1995 CRA amendments allowed regulators to deny lenders deemed to be in violation of regulator's views on CRA compliance to deny bank mergers......this in an environment when interstate banking was just allowed.  In essence, the regulators could destroy you.  More pressure on underwriting standards.</p>
<p>Perhaps most importantly, just as HUD and Congress were pressing Fannie and Freddie to promote "affordable housing" (read: Democratic social engineering) by having them make and purchase these crappy loans - excuse me - "subprime mortgages"...institutional investors realized that there was an implicit government guarantee of them (which has now proved true).  Open season.  </p>
<p>And Freddie and Frannie grew like wild fire.</p>
<p>3.  I note that in 2002 the regulatory body 'OPHEO" (sp?) wrote a scathing report about the accounting practices of Freddie and Fannie, and the looming debacle.  CSPAN tapes of the subsequent 2003 hearings are fascinating.  Barney Frank, Maxine Walters....the reps from NY, MS and AL all absolutely scorching the regulators for being everything from scare mongers to racists for even suggesting that the mortgage lending practices were a problem.  Now this is looked upon as sad....if not criminal.</p>
<p>4.  People like to blame Wall Street greed.  But they were simply packaging and selling off the crap loans the Feds forced lenders to make.  (Now I admit, once everybody (mortgage brokers etc) learned about the game, they all got in on it and made crap loans, because there was an outlet.  Hey! A government sponsored slop at the trough!!!) </p>
<p>But I ask you.  You are a bank board member or senior officer.  You know the loans are crap.  AND YOUR FIRST FIDUCIARY DUTY IS TO THE SHAREHOLDERS - BY LAW - wouldn't you offload these crap loans???  If you didn't, you could be sued and ruined.  If you do not understand that you are awfully naive.</p>
<p>Bit had it right.  Its like a snow avalanche.  Blaming the guys who tried to rate this mess is like blaming the park ranger who underestimated the size of the avalanche as it arrived half way down the hill.</p>
<p>Odo, your "analysis" pointing away from government.......I'm feeling generous tonight.......is simply idiotic.</p>
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		<title>By: odograph</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534365</link>
		<dc:creator>odograph</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 17:58:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534365</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Unless there was some movement by government there, too. It still boils down to government being the culprit, here, no matter how you slice it.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

So show it to me.  Show me where The Gov said sub-prime mortgage bonds had to be rated AAA.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Unless there was some movement by government there, too. It still boils down to government being the culprit, here, no matter how you slice it.</p></blockquote>
<p>So show it to me.  Show me where The Gov said sub-prime mortgage bonds had to be rated AAA.</p>
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		<title>By: Bithead</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534359</link>
		<dc:creator>Bithead</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 17:28:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534359</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;If the mortgage brokers knew, if the bankers knew, if the rating agencies knew, then the mortgages would not have been sold as AAA (the safest) assets.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Unless there was some movement by government there, too. It still boils down to government being the culprit, here, no matter how you slice it.

Do you look for the pebble that starts the avalanche, or do you point to the biggest cause... there&#039;s too much snow?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>If the mortgage brokers knew, if the bankers knew, if the rating agencies knew, then the mortgages would not have been sold as AAA (the safest) assets.</p></blockquote>
<p>Unless there was some movement by government there, too. It still boils down to government being the culprit, here, no matter how you slice it.</p>
<p>Do you look for the pebble that starts the avalanche, or do you point to the biggest cause... there's too much snow?</p>
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		<title>By: odograph</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534356</link>
		<dc:creator>odograph</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 17:00:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534356</guid>
		<description>Bit, if any of those &quot;gov did it&quot; charges had a glimmer of truth, it would have shown up in the bond ratings.

If the mortgage brokers knew, if the bankers knew, if the rating agencies knew, then the mortgages would not have been sold as AAA (the &lt;i&gt;safest&lt;/i&gt;) assets.

They would have had no reason to lie, if they wanted to avoid the gov&#039;s road to ruin.  Just rate the things as junk, and they would not have sold.  There would not have been a sub-prime market, and they would have stayed happy and solvent.

It only worked because banks WANTED that business and lied down the line to get it.  Do you remember &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.portfolio.com/views/blogs/daily-brief/2008/10/22/if-you-give-a-cow-a-cdo&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;the rating agency quote&lt;/a&gt;:  &quot;We rate every deal. It could be structured by cows and we would rate it.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bit, if any of those "gov did it" charges had a glimmer of truth, it would have shown up in the bond ratings.</p>
<p>If the mortgage brokers knew, if the bankers knew, if the rating agencies knew, then the mortgages would not have been sold as AAA (the <i>safest</i>) assets.</p>
<p>They would have had no reason to lie, if they wanted to avoid the gov's road to ruin.  Just rate the things as junk, and they would not have sold.  There would not have been a sub-prime market, and they would have stayed happy and solvent.</p>
<p>It only worked because banks WANTED that business and lied down the line to get it.  Do you remember <a href="http://www.portfolio.com/views/blogs/daily-brief/2008/10/22/if-you-give-a-cow-a-cdo" rel="nofollow">the rating agency quote</a>:  "We rate every deal. It could be structured by cows and we would rate it."</p>
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		<title>By: Bithead</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534353</link>
		<dc:creator>Bithead</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 16:47:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534353</guid>
		<description>So what is this saying, then about the &#039;redlining&#039; charges of years ago that were being directed at the banks? That the banks were right all along, that racism wasn&#039;t the reason they wen&#039;t getting loans, and that a lot of people not paying such loans could cause problems?

Gee.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So what is this saying, then about the 'redlining' charges of years ago that were being directed at the banks? That the banks were right all along, that racism wasn't the reason they wen't getting loans, and that a lot of people not paying such loans could cause problems?</p>
<p>Gee.</p>
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		<title>By: odograph</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534327</link>
		<dc:creator>odograph</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 14:58:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534327</guid>
		<description>The chain of loan-makers (mortgage broker, bank or S&amp;L, rating agency, CDO broker, bond buyer) all relied on models made in an up-market.

That&#039;s a story thats been told elsewhere, and often reduced to make one part of the chain look more guilty than another ... but here&#039;s a bit that plays into the re-defaults: The rating agencies did not have people look at the credit ratings of everyone in a loan bundle.  In some cases no &quot;person&quot; looked at all.  In the up-market computer-made loans were found to perform as well as human screened ones.  They performed as well as that old model where you sat across the desk from a mean old banker.

But of course all that went to hell when the housing market did.  The one thing that made bad credit risks into good credit risks was that they could always sell for a profit, close their loan, and presumably trade-up.

I believe that government oversight agencies should have had alarm bells ringing very loud at those AAA ratings on those kind of bonds ... well there are some reports that they did, and ignored them.  Free markets self-correct and all that ....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The chain of loan-makers (mortgage broker, bank or S&amp;L, rating agency, CDO broker, bond buyer) all relied on models made in an up-market.</p>
<p>That's a story thats been told elsewhere, and often reduced to make one part of the chain look more guilty than another ... but here's a bit that plays into the re-defaults: The rating agencies did not have people look at the credit ratings of everyone in a loan bundle.  In some cases no "person" looked at all.  In the up-market computer-made loans were found to perform as well as human screened ones.  They performed as well as that old model where you sat across the desk from a mean old banker.</p>
<p>But of course all that went to hell when the housing market did.  The one thing that made bad credit risks into good credit risks was that they could always sell for a profit, close their loan, and presumably trade-up.</p>
<p>I believe that government oversight agencies should have had alarm bells ringing very loud at those AAA ratings on those kind of bonds ... well there are some reports that they did, and ignored them.  Free markets self-correct and all that ....</p>
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		<title>By: rodney dill</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534285</link>
		<dc:creator>rodney dill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 12:55:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534285</guid>
		<description>but...but...but... forcing refinancers to actually change their spending habits deprives them of the financial lifestyle that they&#039;ve &#039;earned&#039; the right to have. 

I wonder how many people used the &#039;gain&#039; they form refinancing to spend money on Christmas or other discretionary items instead of getting their finances in order.

Then again, given human nature, if restructuring loans actually helps 40% of them get out of a hole it probably should be considered a massive success.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>but...but...but... forcing refinancers to actually change their spending habits deprives them of the financial lifestyle that they've 'earned' the right to have. </p>
<p>I wonder how many people used the 'gain' they form refinancing to spend money on Christmas or other discretionary items instead of getting their finances in order.</p>
<p>Then again, given human nature, if restructuring loans actually helps 40% of them get out of a hole it probably should be considered a massive success.</p>
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		<title>By: odograph</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534203</link>
		<dc:creator>odograph</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 06:39:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534203</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;blockquote&gt;In Tanta&#039;s words, we&#039;re all sub-prime now.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Oh for God&#039;s sake....
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Count on some content-free carpet-chewing from old Steve.

Do you think she called it wrong?

I&#039;m assuming of course that you read &lt;a href=&quot;http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2008/02/were-all-subprime-now.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;the original essay&lt;/a&gt;, or at least googled it tonight.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><blockquote>In Tanta's words, we're all sub-prime now.</p></blockquote>
<p>Oh for God's sake....
</p></blockquote>
<p>Count on some content-free carpet-chewing from old Steve.</p>
<p>Do you think she called it wrong?</p>
<p>I'm assuming of course that you read <a href="http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2008/02/were-all-subprime-now.html" rel="nofollow">the original essay</a>, or at least googled it tonight.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Verdon</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534175</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Verdon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 05:34:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534175</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Thanks George, for eight wonderful years of &quot;conservatism&quot;&lt;/blockquote&gt;

This kind of partisan nonsense is part of the problem.  It isn&#039;t just as simple as saying, &quot;That goddamned Shrub!!!&quot;

There is plenty of blame to go all the way around on this one.  Stupid incentive programs at financial institutions, as well as stupid policy from the Republicans and the Democrats.  Hell, Fannie Mae traces its origins to the 1930s.  The idea of making &quot;affordable housing&quot; and the government playing around in the mortgage market...1930s.  The first mortgage backed security was issued by Ginnie Mae, a government agency, in the 1970s.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Thanks George, for eight wonderful years of "conservatism"</p></blockquote>
<p>This kind of partisan nonsense is part of the problem.  It isn't just as simple as saying, "That goddamned Shrub!!!"</p>
<p>There is plenty of blame to go all the way around on this one.  Stupid incentive programs at financial institutions, as well as stupid policy from the Republicans and the Democrats.  Hell, Fannie Mae traces its origins to the 1930s.  The idea of making "affordable housing" and the government playing around in the mortgage market...1930s.  The first mortgage backed security was issued by Ginnie Mae, a government agency, in the 1970s.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Verdon</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534172</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Verdon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 05:30:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534172</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;In Tanta&#039;s words, we&#039;re all sub-prime now.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Oh for God&#039;s sake....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>In Tanta's words, we're all sub-prime now.</p></blockquote>
<p>Oh for God's sake....</p>
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		<title>By: jabberwock</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534094</link>
		<dc:creator>jabberwock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 01:57:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534094</guid>
		<description>Bailout...bankers, autoexecs, stupid home buyers.

The rest of us can&#039;t afford the socialism for the rich and stupid...

and on and on it goes...the rich get richer...the middle class pays the freight.

Thanks George, for eight wonderful years of &quot;conservatism&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bailout...bankers, autoexecs, stupid home buyers.</p>
<p>The rest of us can't afford the socialism for the rich and stupid...</p>
<p>and on and on it goes...the rich get richer...the middle class pays the freight.</p>
<p>Thanks George, for eight wonderful years of "conservatism"</p>
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		<title>By: Bandit</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534082</link>
		<dc:creator>Bandit</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 01:26:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534082</guid>
		<description>In other news the sun will rise in the East tomorrow</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In other news the sun will rise in the East tomorrow</p>
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		<title>By: odograph</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534062</link>
		<dc:creator>odograph</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 00:28:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534062</guid>
		<description>I was surfing the webs, looking at what was going on with real estate around the country, when I saw a still million-plus house ... what&#039;s wrong with this picture ... someone took the appliances.

In Tanta&#039;s words, we&#039;re all sub-prime now.

(I own my condo outright, but in this environment I&#039;m probably &lt;em&gt;still &lt;/em&gt;sub-prime.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was surfing the webs, looking at what was going on with real estate around the country, when I saw a still million-plus house ... what's wrong with this picture ... someone took the appliances.</p>
<p>In Tanta's words, we're all sub-prime now.</p>
<p>(I own my condo outright, but in this environment I'm probably <em>still </em>sub-prime.)</p>
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		<title>By: DL</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534047</link>
		<dc:creator>DL</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Dec 2008 23:58:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534047</guid>
		<description>Homeowners are like college students -not all of them should be what they are - that&#039;s why they are supposed to have admissions boards and loan officers. I&#039;m certainly glad we have Barney and Chris watching out for us though. This year it looks like the politicians have nationalized Santa...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Homeowners are like college students -not all of them should be what they are - that's why they are supposed to have admissions boards and loan officers. I'm certainly glad we have Barney and Chris watching out for us though. This year it looks like the politicians have nationalized Santa...</p>
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		<title>By: jabberwock</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/defaulting_homeowners_default_again_after_relief/comment-page-1/#comment-534035</link>
		<dc:creator>jabberwock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Dec 2008 23:36:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=28525#comment-534035</guid>
		<description>Stupid is as stupid does...banks, wall street, borrowers, day traders, etc......</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stupid is as stupid does...banks, wall street, borrowers, day traders, etc......</p>
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