Comments on: Election Predictions

By: A Real Sista

A Real Sista — Mon, 16 Aug 2004 05:27:19 +0000

If anyone votes to re-elect a president that has turned this country's surplus into a massive deficit, who plans to cut health care for not only veterans but most Americans ( except for the rich), and who has no plan to win the peace in Iraq..and in fact attacked the wrong country ( I can see how someone THAT unintelligent can get Iraq and Iran confused) and most importantly a president who barely speaks English are either too greedy to give up their millions, too stupid to spell their name, or have been brainwashed by the Rove groupies to know any better.

Also, IF there really are about 45 % of Americans who want to re-elect Bush then the media is either lying or there are alot more stupid people in this country, and frankly that IS scary.

Out In 4 Like Dear Ole Dad!
Kerry and Edwards make me GLAD!!!!

Hope IS on the way...Too bad the neo-cons are too brainwashed to see the need for hope.

p.s. Do you REALLY want to re-elect someone who felt it was more important to finish "My Pet Goat" than tend to a grave crisis in our country?? Oh I forgot, he wasn't even elected!

By: John Townsend

John Townsend — Thu, 12 Aug 2004 17:14:19 +0000

I went to see Faranheit 9/11 with an open mind and I have been a die-hard republican all my life but I am now believing that GW Bush unlike his father and President Reagan is leading our country in a downward direction. Not only do I think he will lose this election as most people think he should have in 2000 but losing will actually do this country some good.

By: PoliBlog(TM)

PoliBlog(TM) — Mon, 09 Aug 2004 13:24:00 +0000

The 8/9 Toast-O-Meter
--Rounding-up, analyzing and handicapping the 2004 election-- Texas Toast or French Toast?Tracking the race to the White House.. This week's Toast-O-Meter reading On balance, the week was good for Bush, at least on the terrorism front (except for the ...

By: Joseph Marshall

Joseph Marshall — Thu, 05 Aug 2004 00:45:48 +0000

I would read the tea leaves overall in this way: the Demo Convention functioned only as the personal introduction of John Kerry to most of America. They were at least moderately pleased, personally, by what they saw. This has undercut the "likability" edge the President has had from the first.

The serious questions: What has George Bush actually accomplished? and Would John Kerry lead the country safely and well? have yet to be clearly asked and certainly have not been answered.

The Republican convention will be the key event to address the first question and bring the answer into focus, the debates will answer the second. Other events of the next 90 days will only come into play if they seriously alter the answers to those two questions.

For example, the capture of Osama Bin Laden or the unequivocal foiling of an specific terrorist plot would add explicit and powerful new achievements to the Bush record. Nothing short of that would make much difference, I think, with the possible exception of damaging indictments in the Plame case.

Only an exceptionally dumb public act by Kerry will have sufficient force to override the overall impression of his fitness to govern the public will get in the head to head confrontation.

My verdict: Still far too close to call.

By: McGehee

McGehee — Wed, 04 Aug 2004 23:39:44 +0000

You just keep telling yourself that, Fetch. ;-)

By: FetchDawg

FetchDawg — Wed, 04 Aug 2004 19:47:27 +0000

Let's hope the Rovites continue to be content with the polls. When the undecideds finally take their decisions, they'll look at Bush's record and vote for change

By: :: Political Musings ::

:: Political Musings :: — Wed, 04 Aug 2004 15:55:32 +0000

Election Landslide?
I stumbled across a post over at Outside the Beltway exploring the possibility of a Bush walk in November. Zav Chafets says yes and Will saletan says no.

So what is going to give? Chafets argues that Bush has the advantage due to a late convention...

By: Donald E. L. Johnsn

Donald E. L. Johnsn — Wed, 04 Aug 2004 15:51:05 +0000

I've just discovered that the political futures markets where speculators are betting on whether Bush will win or no are showing divergent results at the moment. As I note in my blog, NewsFutures.com is showing Bush at 48% while Trade Sports has him at 56% and Iowa has him at just over 53%. In the Iowa market, Bush has been gaining since the beginning of last week's Democratic Party Convention. Scholarly research on predictive markets published on NewsFutures.com shows that the futures markets historically have been better at predicting elections than public opinion polls.

By: Paul

Paul — Wed, 04 Aug 2004 15:00:35 +0000

That it! They'll both lose!

(/lame attempt at humor)