Giuliani Overtakes McCain as GOP Frontrunner
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James Joyner | Tuesday, February 27, 2007 |
I’ve just received an email from the folks at the political stock market Intrade with the subject: “Intrade Political Newsflash – Giuliani Has Just Overtaken McCain as Frontrunner for GOP Nomination!”
I couldn’t find a link online to the data [Update: LINK], but the email included this nifty graph of the trading results:
Then again, regular OTB readers know this is old news:
- Rudy Giuliani, Not John McCain, 2008 Republican Frontrunner (July 24, 2006)
For those who missed that one (for shame!) I reiterated it more recently:
- Clinton and Giuliani 2008 Frontrunners (January 18, 2007)
- Republican Frontrunner: McCain or Giuliani? (February 21, 2007)
I’m still not convinced that either man will emerge as the nominee but I agree with Michael Brandon McClellan that Giuliani has alienated the base less, despite almost certainly being further from them ideologically, than McCain.
About the Author: James Joyner is the publisher of Outside the Beltway and the managing editor of the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer, Desert Storm vet, and college professor with a PhD in political science from The University of Alabama. He lives just outside the Beltway in Alexandria, Virginia with his wife and infant daughter.
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Talk about peaking too early.
Rodney,
That sometimes happens to a man of a certain age.
Uh, can you say "margin of error"?
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