Comments on: Hastert Likely Out as GOP House Leader http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/hastert_likely_out_as_gop_house_leader/ Online Journal of Politics and Foreign Affairs Fri, 27 Nov 2009 04:13:18 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: yetanotherjohn http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/hastert_likely_out_as_gop_house_leader/comment-page-1/#comment-103037 yetanotherjohn Mon, 06 Nov 2006 18:55:16 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/11/hastert_likely_out_as_gop_house_leader/#comment-103037 I suspect that unless the midterms come back very different than expected (say GOP increasing their number of seats), he is likely to be ousted. The speaker is a powerful position, so it fits in the realm of 'treason never prospers' when looking at the vote. Since a slender majority for either party seems to be the most likely scenario (call it +/- 5 seats), what does that do to the speaker election. Does anyone know the house rules well enough to know where this could go? Could the republicans vote for Goode (VA-5) if the dems had a majority? Could the democrats vote for Leach (IA-2)? Looking at the GOP list, there are only a few republicans who score less than 50% on the ACU rating, none that I could find were less than 40. But like Goode, there are more democrats who score well above the 50% on the ACU rating, including into the 90's. So if the tight margin comes down to a push/shove on ideology (as opposed to party) lines, the conservatives would seem to have an edge. I suspect that unless the midterms come back very different than expected (say GOP increasing their number of seats), he is likely to be ousted. The speaker is a powerful position, so it fits in the realm of 'treason never prospers' when looking at the vote.

Since a slender majority for either party seems to be the most likely scenario (call it +/- 5 seats), what does that do to the speaker election. Does anyone know the house rules well enough to know where this could go? Could the republicans vote for Goode (VA-5) if the dems had a majority? Could the democrats vote for Leach (IA-2)?

Looking at the GOP list, there are only a few republicans who score less than 50% on the ACU rating, none that I could find were less than 40. But like Goode, there are more democrats who score well above the 50% on the ACU rating, including into the 90's. So if the tight margin comes down to a push/shove on ideology (as opposed to party) lines, the conservatives would seem to have an edge.

]]> By: legion http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/hastert_likely_out_as_gop_house_leader/comment-page-1/#comment-103026 legion Mon, 06 Nov 2006 17:50:21 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/11/hastert_likely_out_as_gop_house_leader/#comment-103026 Rich, Interesting... I suppose that he'd be in a good position to know where all the skeletons are buried... Rich,
Interesting... I suppose that he'd be in a good position to know where all the skeletons are buried...

]]> By: Richaard Gardner http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/hastert_likely_out_as_gop_house_leader/comment-page-1/#comment-103012 Richaard Gardner Mon, 06 Nov 2006 16:40:08 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/11/hastert_likely_out_as_gop_house_leader/#comment-103012 There has been local (PNW) conjecture the past couple of weeks that Doc Hastings (R-WA)could be the next Speaker. As he is currently Chairman of the House Ethics Committee which hasn't exactly been on top of things (or swept things under the carpet), I view this as unlikely. However, stranger things have happened in politics and he does have seniority. There has been local (PNW) conjecture the past couple of weeks that Doc Hastings (R-WA)could be the next Speaker. As he is currently Chairman of the House Ethics Committee which hasn't exactly been on top of things (or swept things under the carpet), I view this as unlikely. However, stranger things have happened in politics and he does have seniority.

]]> By: legion http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/hastert_likely_out_as_gop_house_leader/comment-page-1/#comment-103010 legion Mon, 06 Nov 2006 16:00:55 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/11/hastert_likely_out_as_gop_house_leader/#comment-103010 Yeah, Hastert's incompetence at leadership, & the GOP's dissatisfaction with it has been an open secret for awhile now. And the leading candidate to replace him? Bohner. The same guy who started setting the stage last week to blame our problems in Iraq on the generals & troops over there. _That's_ your next GOP not-my-fault theme... Yeah, Hastert's incompetence at leadership, & the GOP's dissatisfaction with it has been an open secret for awhile now. And the leading candidate to replace him? Bohner. The same guy who started setting the stage last week to blame our problems in Iraq on the generals & troops over there. _That's_ your next GOP not-my-fault theme...

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