Comments on: Hillary Clinton Wins Ohio, Texas (Postmortem)

By: yetanotherjohn

yetanotherjohn — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 17:26:32 +0000

It is interesting to play with the delegate counter. As an example, I did a straight 45 Obama to 55 Clinton split of the remaining primaries and super delegates. End result was 1975 delegates (super and regular) for Obama and 1977 delegates for Clinton. That puts both of them short of the 2025 needed to get the nomination. I then did a 50-50 split straight down the middle for the rest of the primaries and super duper delegates. The result was Obama and Clinton both still came up short on reaching 2025. Now I am not arguing the 45/55 or 50/50 split is reasonable. You have a better chance of winning the lottery twice in a row than see either of those exact splits occur. But it does point out that it is going to be hard for either candidate to walk in with enough delegates to win the nomination.

By: Little Miss Attila

Little Miss Attila — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 17:06:18 +0000

News of Hillary's Political Death... . . . were greatly exaggerated. The above link is to a very nice master wrapup by James Joyner, et al. about electoral math, and where the Democrats stand now. Via Insty, who also links to a "comeback kid" reference......

By: The Politics Thicken | Y.A.C.R.W.B

The Politics Thicken | Y.A.C.R.W.B — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 13:23:34 +0000

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