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	<title>Comments on: If We Build Three Really Large Pyramids…</title>
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	<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/</link>
	<description>Online Journal of Politics and Foreign Affairs</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 26 Nov 2009 15:49:13 -0600</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: G.A.Phillips</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983939</link>
		<dc:creator>G.A.Phillips</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Feb 2009 04:39:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983939</guid>
		<description>I say we pump the stimulus money into the military, invade the middle east on some trumped up charges like they got WMD&#039;s or their terror states or some bu-lsh-t like that and steal their oil and their damed pyramids too!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I say we pump the stimulus money into the military, invade the middle east on some trumped up charges like they got WMD's or their terror states or some bu-lsh-t like that and steal their oil and their damed pyramids too!</p>
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		<title>By: Rick DeMent</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983492</link>
		<dc:creator>Rick DeMent</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2009 12:16:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983492</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;I see DeMent is off on one of his sophomoric rants again........but I digress.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

This rant is positively lucid compared to such popular ideologically fueled pieces of horse hockey like &quot;tax cuts increase revenue&quot; which I heard a Republican senator from Iowa spot just this morning.

But I digress as well.

&lt;blockquote&gt;Are the concepts of limited government and enumerated powers dead?&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Well if you mean as envisioned buy a bunch of 18th century farmers of whom around half opposed both central banking and the modern corporation, sure. The concepts are still there and should be supported but we live in a reality where we have already stripped states of the one economic power that would have been truly meaningful (if not completely counter productive) which is control over incorporation. If I seem intemperate it&#039;s only because it&#039;s imposable in such a short space to have anything like a meaningful dialog, so I bait the gullible and those of you who are a taste hipper will know exactly what I&#039;m talking about.  

cheers :)

BTW I&#039;m impressed with Steve&#039;s restraint when it comes to my snark sometimes. If he doesn&#039;t know it I agree with much more of what he prattles on about then he might think.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I see DeMent is off on one of his sophomoric rants again........but I digress.</p></blockquote>
<p>This rant is positively lucid compared to such popular ideologically fueled pieces of horse hockey like "tax cuts increase revenue" which I heard a Republican senator from Iowa spot just this morning.</p>
<p>But I digress as well.</p>
<blockquote><p>Are the concepts of limited government and enumerated powers dead?</p></blockquote>
<p>Well if you mean as envisioned buy a bunch of 18th century farmers of whom around half opposed both central banking and the modern corporation, sure. The concepts are still there and should be supported but we live in a reality where we have already stripped states of the one economic power that would have been truly meaningful (if not completely counter productive) which is control over incorporation. If I seem intemperate it's only because it's imposable in such a short space to have anything like a meaningful dialog, so I bait the gullible and those of you who are a taste hipper will know exactly what I'm talking about.  </p>
<p>cheers :)</p>
<p>BTW I'm impressed with Steve's restraint when it comes to my snark sometimes. If he doesn't know it I agree with much more of what he prattles on about then he might think.</p>
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		<title>By: rodney dill</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983462</link>
		<dc:creator>rodney dill</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Feb 2009 11:11:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983462</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;If We Build Three Really Large Pyramids…&lt;/blockquote&gt;
... or at least a wooden badger....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>If We Build Three Really Large Pyramids…</p></blockquote>
<p>... or at least a wooden badger....</p>
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		<title>By: Dave Schuler</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983185</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave Schuler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 23:09:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983185</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;
Dr. Schuler, I&#039;ll ask again, only because I&#039;ve never got an answer from anyone, before we calculate the benefits of whatever multiplier effect we may get from this government spending, what is the effective divisor effect that must be offset from all this deficit spending?
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Not to mention the effects of deadweight loss.  I&#039;ve asked the same question myself.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>
Dr. Schuler, I'll ask again, only because I've never got an answer from anyone, before we calculate the benefits of whatever multiplier effect we may get from this government spending, what is the effective divisor effect that must be offset from all this deficit spending?
</p></blockquote>
<p>Not to mention the effects of deadweight loss.  I've asked the same question myself.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Verdon</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983184</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Verdon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 23:09:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983184</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;I assume that a road shares many of the planning/approval issues as transmission lines: multiple properties, multiple territorial governments, and multiple layers of government. So at least ten years seems like a good point of reference.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I think that is about right.

With regards to the Northridge earthquake I believe alot of the normal &quot;red tape&quot; was bypassed since these were roads that aleardy existed prior to the earthquake--i.e. these were brownfield projects not greenfield projects.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I assume that a road shares many of the planning/approval issues as transmission lines: multiple properties, multiple territorial governments, and multiple layers of government. So at least ten years seems like a good point of reference.</p></blockquote>
<p>I think that is about right.</p>
<p>With regards to the Northridge earthquake I believe alot of the normal "red tape" was bypassed since these were roads that aleardy existed prior to the earthquake--i.e. these were brownfield projects not greenfield projects.</p>
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		<title>By: charles austin</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983172</link>
		<dc:creator>charles austin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 22:52:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983172</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s a temporal oddity, every solution seems to be ten years away.  Damn, we&#039;re in a tight spot.

Ok, enough with the cinematic diversions.  By the way, ten years keeps coming up in a lot of context about why we shouldn&#039;t do something, e.g., drill in ANWR.  The only real question is whether this will still be a relevant observation in 2019 as it was in 2009, or 1999.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It's a temporal oddity, every solution seems to be ten years away.  Damn, we're in a tight spot.</p>
<p>Ok, enough with the cinematic diversions.  By the way, ten years keeps coming up in a lot of context about why we shouldn't do something, e.g., drill in ANWR.  The only real question is whether this will still be a relevant observation in 2019 as it was in 2009, or 1999.</p>
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		<title>By: yetanotherjohn</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983168</link>
		<dc:creator>yetanotherjohn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 22:48:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983168</guid>
		<description>How about we don&#039;t build pyramids, but instead build a really big fence somewhere, like maybe our southern border. That&#039;s &quot;shovel ready&quot;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How about we don't build pyramids, but instead build a really big fence somewhere, like maybe our southern border. That's "shovel ready".</p>
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		<title>By: PD Shaw</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983166</link>
		<dc:creator>PD Shaw</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 22:47:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983166</guid>
		<description>Steve, I bow to your expertise.  I&#039;ve just seen the Arrowhead-Weston transmission project discussed in the context of the need for significant infrastructure improvements to be accompanied by federal waivers from Environmental Impact Statements.  I assume that a road shares many of the planning/approval issues as transmission lines:  multiple properties, multiple territorial governments, and multiple layers of government.  So at least ten years seems like a good point of reference.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Steve, I bow to your expertise.  I've just seen the Arrowhead-Weston transmission project discussed in the context of the need for significant infrastructure improvements to be accompanied by federal waivers from Environmental Impact Statements.  I assume that a road shares many of the planning/approval issues as transmission lines:  multiple properties, multiple territorial governments, and multiple layers of government.  So at least ten years seems like a good point of reference.</p>
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		<title>By: charles austin</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983159</link>
		<dc:creator>charles austin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 22:37:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983159</guid>
		<description>With respect top building or rebuilding roads, if I remember correctly, a lot of the damaged major roads in California after the 1994 Northridge earthquakes were rebuilt in something like three months.  This was unheard of and quite unexpected.  I remember it because the contractor was heavily incentivized to complete them quickly and when he did people started bitching about his unfair profits.  I&#039;m quite certain the government entities that let the contracts never imagined that the contractor would ever actually earn all the time-based bonuses they provided.  But it was actually a great deal for the state to get the roads done quickly.

Just a data point.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With respect top building or rebuilding roads, if I remember correctly, a lot of the damaged major roads in California after the 1994 Northridge earthquakes were rebuilt in something like three months.  This was unheard of and quite unexpected.  I remember it because the contractor was heavily incentivized to complete them quickly and when he did people started bitching about his unfair profits.  I'm quite certain the government entities that let the contracts never imagined that the contractor would ever actually earn all the time-based bonuses they provided.  But it was actually a great deal for the state to get the roads done quickly.</p>
<p>Just a data point.</p>
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		<title>By: charles austin</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983157</link>
		<dc:creator>charles austin</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 22:32:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983157</guid>
		<description>Dr. Schuler, I&#039;ll ask again, only because I&#039;ve never got an answer from anyone, before we calculate the benefits of whatever multiplier effect we may get from this government spending, what is the effective divisor effect that must be offset from all this deficit spending?  How can we determine if this deficit investment is worth the cost?  What is the return on this investment?Any cost benefit analysis must include the real costs, not just a discussion of the relative merits of the benefits.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dr. Schuler, I'll ask again, only because I've never got an answer from anyone, before we calculate the benefits of whatever multiplier effect we may get from this government spending, what is the effective divisor effect that must be offset from all this deficit spending?  How can we determine if this deficit investment is worth the cost?  What is the return on this investment?Any cost benefit analysis must include the real costs, not just a discussion of the relative merits of the benefits.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Verdon</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983156</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve Verdon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 22:29:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983156</guid>
		<description>PD,

I work for an investor owned utility, while I don&#039;t deal with federal regulators I do deal with them at the state level and talk to the guys who deal with the federal regulators.  I was being charitable in my assumptions on time to get something sited, licensed and ground broken.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>PD,</p>
<p>I work for an investor owned utility, while I don't deal with federal regulators I do deal with them at the state level and talk to the guys who deal with the federal regulators.  I was being charitable in my assumptions on time to get something sited, licensed and ground broken.</p>
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		<title>By: Dave Schuler</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983145</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave Schuler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 22:02:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983145</guid>
		<description>What I think is missing from the discussion is the notion of minimizing downside risk.  Nobody knows with metaphysical certainty whether the Keynesian multiplier is effective or what it will be under the circumstances.  There are estimates from zero to 2.5 or higher.  The best empirical study I&#039;ve seen, bitterly contested by stimulus fans, suggests .8.  What we&#039;re about to do is actually a sort of poorly designed grand experiment, grand because of its scale, poorly designed because its supporters will argue that it worked whether it succeeds or fails.

Minimizing downside risk means getting the most for your money in the case of a zero multiplier.  Getting people to dig holes and then fill them back up again is the perfect example of ignoring downside risk.  Steve&#039;s example of pyramid-building ia actually a little better than that.  At least pyramids are tourist attractions.  Egypt&#039;s pyramids have been tourist attractions for well over 2,000 years.

I think that re-surfacing roads or even building new ones is one of the poor ways to spend the money because I think that we&#039;re in the waning days of that kind of transport.  We should be thinking about our world as it will be for the productive life of the investment rather than this minute&#039;s needs.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What I think is missing from the discussion is the notion of minimizing downside risk.  Nobody knows with metaphysical certainty whether the Keynesian multiplier is effective or what it will be under the circumstances.  There are estimates from zero to 2.5 or higher.  The best empirical study I've seen, bitterly contested by stimulus fans, suggests .8.  What we're about to do is actually a sort of poorly designed grand experiment, grand because of its scale, poorly designed because its supporters will argue that it worked whether it succeeds or fails.</p>
<p>Minimizing downside risk means getting the most for your money in the case of a zero multiplier.  Getting people to dig holes and then fill them back up again is the perfect example of ignoring downside risk.  Steve's example of pyramid-building ia actually a little better than that.  At least pyramids are tourist attractions.  Egypt's pyramids have been tourist attractions for well over 2,000 years.</p>
<p>I think that re-surfacing roads or even building new ones is one of the poor ways to spend the money because I think that we're in the waning days of that kind of transport.  We should be thinking about our world as it will be for the productive life of the investment rather than this minute's needs.</p>
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		<title>By: PD Shaw</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983141</link>
		<dc:creator>PD Shaw</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 21:53:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983141</guid>
		<description>Steve:  &lt;blockquote&gt;Do you have any idea how long it would take to build a new freeway for example? You&#039;d have to site it, buy up all the property (even under eminent domain), and then take bids. You&#039;d be lucky to get that all done in 12 months. I&#039;m guessing more like 24 to 36.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I think you&#039;d be wrong.  The Arrowhead-Weston transmission project took over nine years to build 220 miles of transmission lines on largely pre-existing transmission corridors (that is, no eminent domain was needed).  That&#039;s measured from first submission for governmental approval to being in service.

I don&#039;t think most people realize how much planning is required of government projects today to avoid ethical abuses, environmental problems and property rights issues.  The TVA project, which dislocated numerous residents and snail darters, strikes me as utterly impossible today.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Steve:<br />
<blockquote>Do you have any idea how long it would take to build a new freeway for example? You'd have to site it, buy up all the property (even under eminent domain), and then take bids. You'd be lucky to get that all done in 12 months. I'm guessing more like 24 to 36.</p></blockquote>
<p>I think you'd be wrong.  The Arrowhead-Weston transmission project took over nine years to build 220 miles of transmission lines on largely pre-existing transmission corridors (that is, no eminent domain was needed).  That's measured from first submission for governmental approval to being in service.</p>
<p>I don't think most people realize how much planning is required of government projects today to avoid ethical abuses, environmental problems and property rights issues.  The TVA project, which dislocated numerous residents and snail darters, strikes me as utterly impossible today.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983140</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 21:52:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983140</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;So, we should take the stimulus money and build three really large pyramids out in the middle of nowhere that will get the economy going again.&lt;/blockquote&gt;Is your argument that building 3 very large pyramids wouldn&#039;t create a stimulus, or that it isn&#039;t an efficient way to create a stimulus?

Unless you have a way to directly convert $800B into pyramids, you will still need to by material, equipment, and labor, thus stimulating the economy to some degree.

If you just think it would be a less than ideal method of converting $800B into economic growth, you&#039;d be right, but then you&#039;re either arguing that no conceivable project could produce a large enough growth to be worthwhile, or that the desired goal of the stimulus is indeed possible, but it&#039;s implementation won&#039;t accomplish it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>So, we should take the stimulus money and build three really large pyramids out in the middle of nowhere that will get the economy going again.</p></blockquote>
<p>Is your argument that building 3 very large pyramids wouldn't create a stimulus, or that it isn't an efficient way to create a stimulus?</p>
<p>Unless you have a way to directly convert $800B into pyramids, you will still need to by material, equipment, and labor, thus stimulating the economy to some degree.</p>
<p>If you just think it would be a less than ideal method of converting $800B into economic growth, you'd be right, but then you're either arguing that no conceivable project could produce a large enough growth to be worthwhile, or that the desired goal of the stimulus is indeed possible, but it's implementation won't accomplish it.</p>
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		<title>By: PD Shaw</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/if_we_build_three_really_large_pyramids/comment-page-1/#comment-983125</link>
		<dc:creator>PD Shaw</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Feb 2009 21:32:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=32098#comment-983125</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;We are paving roads, building bridges, providing infrastructure.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Really?  It strikes me that we are resurfacing roads and bridges.  That&#039;s not what I consider big &quot;I&quot; infrastructure.  It&#039;s pretty close to polishing roads; it doesn&#039;t do much more than prevent government cutbacks from contributing to the downturn.

The New Deal changed the shape and economics of the Tennessee Valley, created more productive farmland, new sources of electricity, and brought new industry to the region.  We can&#039;t build such things anymore given the National Environmental Protection Act.  Not even pyramids without several years of planning, study and environmental mitigation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>We are paving roads, building bridges, providing infrastructure.</p></blockquote>
<p>Really?  It strikes me that we are resurfacing roads and bridges.  That's not what I consider big "I" infrastructure.  It's pretty close to polishing roads; it doesn't do much more than prevent government cutbacks from contributing to the downturn.</p>
<p>The New Deal changed the shape and economics of the Tennessee Valley, created more productive farmland, new sources of electricity, and brought new industry to the region.  We can't build such things anymore given the National Environmental Protection Act.  Not even pyramids without several years of planning, study and environmental mitigation.</p>
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