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	<title>Comments on: Kryptoniting Superdelegates</title>
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		<title>By: Beldar</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kryptoniting_superdelegates/comment-page-1/#comment-276232</link>
		<dc:creator>Beldar</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2008 01:41:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/02/kryptoniting_superdelegates/#comment-276232</guid>
		<description>If the Clintons cared more about legacy than power, Bill Clinton wouldn&#039;t have left the Oval Office with a wave of sleazy pardons. I don&#039;t disagree that he would love to have a better legacy. But not at the expense of power -- ever.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If the Clintons cared more about legacy than power, Bill Clinton wouldn't have left the Oval Office with a wave of sleazy pardons. I don't disagree that he would love to have a better legacy. But not at the expense of power -- ever.</p>
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		<title>By: yetanotherjohn</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kryptoniting_superdelegates/comment-page-1/#comment-276032</link>
		<dc:creator>yetanotherjohn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 20:23:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/02/kryptoniting_superdelegates/#comment-276032</guid>
		<description>If Obama goes on to win the nomination and loses the general election, his political career could well be over. They will say he lost because of (fill in the blanks, but being liberal is not one of the choices). Whatever the conclusion, he wouldn&#039;t get another presidential nomination and he might face serious challenge to hold his Illinois seat (probably from within the democratic party more than from the GOP). In this same scenario, I&#039;m not sure how Clinton would do in 2012. In theory she would be a strong candidate (&quot;I told you to nominate me, you didn&#039;t and you lost&quot;), but I think whatever happens at this point the Clinton magic is tarnished. I don&#039;t think she could lose this nomination and put the machine back together to win the whole enchilada in 2012.

If Clinton goes on to win the nomination and loses the general election, she will likely be able to remain the NY senator, but her role will be greatly diminished. Obama would likely be well placed to run in 2012. Likewise, if Obama pulled a VP deal out now &#039;for the sake of party unity&#039; (Clinton tops the ticket), then he would be well placed to run in 2012 if she loses or 2016 if she wins. 

The real question is whichever one gets the nod, how do they get the other&#039;s constituency&#039;s (Old vs young, poor vs rich, black vs Hispanic, etc.). Especially when you consider that either is probably going to have to run to the middle pretty hard since McCain already has a seat there (though I note that the DNC is trying to portray McCain as a hard right conservative at the time that hard right conservatives are trying to portray him as a liberal which probably justifies calling him a moderate). They won&#039;t be able to pander much red meat for their base if they want to win the general election.

As to super delegates, I agree that they will likely have a strong lemming instinct to get in front of the parade. But there is still a lot of back room deal mongering that will go on. I think Clinton will have the upper hand here. She not only has more experience in this and a longer history with most of them, Clinton had shown he can help with making money after office. I still give Clinton the edge, though it is far from a lock.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If Obama goes on to win the nomination and loses the general election, his political career could well be over. They will say he lost because of (fill in the blanks, but being liberal is not one of the choices). Whatever the conclusion, he wouldn't get another presidential nomination and he might face serious challenge to hold his Illinois seat (probably from within the democratic party more than from the GOP). In this same scenario, I'm not sure how Clinton would do in 2012. In theory she would be a strong candidate ("I told you to nominate me, you didn't and you lost"), but I think whatever happens at this point the Clinton magic is tarnished. I don't think she could lose this nomination and put the machine back together to win the whole enchilada in 2012.</p>
<p>If Clinton goes on to win the nomination and loses the general election, she will likely be able to remain the NY senator, but her role will be greatly diminished. Obama would likely be well placed to run in 2012. Likewise, if Obama pulled a VP deal out now 'for the sake of party unity' (Clinton tops the ticket), then he would be well placed to run in 2012 if she loses or 2016 if she wins. </p>
<p>The real question is whichever one gets the nod, how do they get the other's constituency's (Old vs young, poor vs rich, black vs Hispanic, etc.). Especially when you consider that either is probably going to have to run to the middle pretty hard since McCain already has a seat there (though I note that the DNC is trying to portray McCain as a hard right conservative at the time that hard right conservatives are trying to portray him as a liberal which probably justifies calling him a moderate). They won't be able to pander much red meat for their base if they want to win the general election.</p>
<p>As to super delegates, I agree that they will likely have a strong lemming instinct to get in front of the parade. But there is still a lot of back room deal mongering that will go on. I think Clinton will have the upper hand here. She not only has more experience in this and a longer history with most of them, Clinton had shown he can help with making money after office. I still give Clinton the edge, though it is far from a lock.</p>
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		<title>By: Tlaloc</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kryptoniting_superdelegates/comment-page-1/#comment-276019</link>
		<dc:creator>Tlaloc</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 19:53:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/02/kryptoniting_superdelegates/#comment-276019</guid>
		<description>Clinton Derrangment Syndrome is in full bloom I see.

What exactly have the Clinton&#039;s done that justifies this hyperbole?  When Bush won (sort of) in 2000 did they call on army units to prevent his swearing in?  Did they barricade the whitehouse and shoot at the &quot;interloper&quot;?  Oh, I know- they went to Montana and rallied the militia movement to rise up in defiance of the government, right?

Huh.  Nope.  

After a fairly (sort of) successful presidency Bill retired to the speech giving circuit like virtually all ex-presidents.  Hillary stood for election to the senate, winning twice, in NY. 

My god, the horror!  Do these people know no bounds? The unmitigated gall, the unbelievable avarice for power that would cause a well connected successful, and yes even popular, woman to run for president is stunning.

Here&#039;s the problem with the clinton haters- what do they have left to say?  I mean what could they accuse Hillary of that would top the various sex and murder rumors of the 90s?  I kind of feel sorry for them, in a way.  Their hatred and lack of proportion has exceeed the capabilities of the english language to express.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Clinton Derrangment Syndrome is in full bloom I see.</p>
<p>What exactly have the Clinton's done that justifies this hyperbole?  When Bush won (sort of) in 2000 did they call on army units to prevent his swearing in?  Did they barricade the whitehouse and shoot at the "interloper"?  Oh, I know- they went to Montana and rallied the militia movement to rise up in defiance of the government, right?</p>
<p>Huh.  Nope.  </p>
<p>After a fairly (sort of) successful presidency Bill retired to the speech giving circuit like virtually all ex-presidents.  Hillary stood for election to the senate, winning twice, in NY. </p>
<p>My god, the horror!  Do these people know no bounds? The unmitigated gall, the unbelievable avarice for power that would cause a well connected successful, and yes even popular, woman to run for president is stunning.</p>
<p>Here's the problem with the clinton haters- what do they have left to say?  I mean what could they accuse Hillary of that would top the various sex and murder rumors of the 90s?  I kind of feel sorry for them, in a way.  Their hatred and lack of proportion has exceeed the capabilities of the english language to express.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kryptoniting_superdelegates/comment-page-1/#comment-276017</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 19:45:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/02/kryptoniting_superdelegates/#comment-276017</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Furthermore the decision to sit Michigan and Florida delegates will not be up to Clinton to decide.&lt;/blockquote&gt;Huh, I should have spent the 2 minutes researching this _before_ I posted.  It turns out the decision of which delegates to seat is determined by a credential committee, the membership of which is determined by some formula involving a candidate&#039;s performance in state primaries and caucuses.  

So it may be that Clinton will have some say, though presumably if Obama does better in pledged delegates, he&#039;ll have more sway in the credential committee, so if it turns out to be something that can change the outcome, Obama may be in a better position to steer the outcome than Clinton.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Furthermore the decision to sit Michigan and Florida delegates will not be up to Clinton to decide.</p></blockquote>
<p>Huh, I should have spent the 2 minutes researching this _before_ I posted.  It turns out the decision of which delegates to seat is determined by a credential committee, the membership of which is determined by some formula involving a candidate's performance in state primaries and caucuses.  </p>
<p>So it may be that Clinton will have some say, though presumably if Obama does better in pledged delegates, he'll have more sway in the credential committee, so if it turns out to be something that can change the outcome, Obama may be in a better position to steer the outcome than Clinton.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kryptoniting_superdelegates/comment-page-1/#comment-276014</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 19:40:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/02/kryptoniting_superdelegates/#comment-276014</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;The Clintons won&#039;t blink to tear the Democratic party in two if there is even a chance they can steal the nomination.&lt;/blockquote&gt;The Clinton&#039;s don&#039;t have much of a say, the super-delegates can vote for whomever they want at the convention.  Furthermore the decision to sit Michigan and Florida delegates will not be up to Clinton to decide.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>The Clintons won't blink to tear the Democratic party in two if there is even a chance they can steal the nomination.</p></blockquote>
<p>The Clinton's don't have much of a say, the super-delegates can vote for whomever they want at the convention.  Furthermore the decision to sit Michigan and Florida delegates will not be up to Clinton to decide.</p>
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		<title>By: Ellen</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kryptoniting_superdelegates/comment-page-1/#comment-276001</link>
		<dc:creator>Ellen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 19:09:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/02/kryptoniting_superdelegates/#comment-276001</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;She’s smart enough to avoid that scenario by ceding the contest to Obama if he has a majority of pledged delegates.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

The nomination will have to be wrenched from the their death-grip on power for this to happen. The Clintons won&#039;t blink to tear the Democratic party in two if there is even a chance they can steal the nomination.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>She&rsquo;s smart enough to avoid that scenario by ceding the contest to Obama if he has a majority of pledged delegates.</p></blockquote>
<p>The nomination will have to be wrenched from the their death-grip on power for this to happen. The Clintons won't blink to tear the Democratic party in two if there is even a chance they can steal the nomination.</p>
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		<title>By: Alex Knapp</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kryptoniting_superdelegates/comment-page-1/#comment-275971</link>
		<dc:creator>Alex Knapp</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 17:33:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/02/kryptoniting_superdelegates/#comment-275971</guid>
		<description>Beldar,

Don&#039;t forget that she is also the wife of the President who was so desperate to have a &quot;legacy&quot; as President that he &lt;i&gt;sucked up to historians&lt;/i&gt;.  Losing the biggest gimmee election the Democrats have ever had is not the &quot;legacy&quot; I think they want.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Beldar,</p>
<p>Don't forget that she is also the wife of the President who was so desperate to have a "legacy" as President that he <i>sucked up to historians</i>.  Losing the biggest gimmee election the Democrats have ever had is not the "legacy" I think they want.</p>
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		<title>By: Beldar</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kryptoniting_superdelegates/comment-page-1/#comment-275956</link>
		<dc:creator>Beldar</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Feb 2008 17:00:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/02/kryptoniting_superdelegates/#comment-275956</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;She’s smart enough to avoid that scenario by ceding the contest to Obama if he has a majority of pledged delegates.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Surely you jest. Have you forgotten that you&#039;re talking about Hillary Clinton, wife of the President Who Refused to Resign, enabler of the President Who Blamed Everyone Else For His Soiling of the Presidency, political twin of the originator of the Perpetual Campaign (whose sole guiding principle is Win at All Costs)?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>She&rsquo;s smart enough to avoid that scenario by ceding the contest to Obama if he has a majority of pledged delegates.</p></blockquote>
<p>Surely you jest. Have you forgotten that you're talking about Hillary Clinton, wife of the President Who Refused to Resign, enabler of the President Who Blamed Everyone Else For His Soiling of the Presidency, political twin of the originator of the Perpetual Campaign (whose sole guiding principle is Win at All Costs)?</p>
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