Comments on: Kurds Threaten To Walk Away From Iraqi State http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kurds_threaten_to_walk_away_from_iraqi_state/ Online Journal of Politics and Foreign Affairs Wed, 25 Nov 2009 12:12:43 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: 1MaNLan http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kurds_threaten_to_walk_away_from_iraqi_state/comment-page-1/#comment-18307 1MaNLan Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000 /?p=6385#comment-18307 On the other hand, Kurds are represented in ancestral areas that cut through Iraq, Turkey and Iran. Autonomy for Kurds in Iraq will create pressures and instability in both Turkey and Iran, and therefore across the region, like ripples in a pond. The Kurds have already suspended any guarantees to remain peaceful with the Turks and there has been some conflict. If this continues, it will invite a strong Turkish military response. Also, if the Kurds are granted control of the Karbala oil fields, this will leave them with inordinate economic power at the expense of the Sunni's who are also seeking this resource. The outcome will of course be conflict and, again, instability (which will always threaten wider conflict). Add to this the fact that Sistani, although clearly, "moderate" in his approach, is fairly unbending on the point of granting Kurds any kind of autonomy. There is still room for diplomatic compromise, especially if the political momentum behind a sovereign Iraqi government can be built (forcing all to "trade horses" rather than fight). On the other hand, Kurds are represented in ancestral areas that cut through Iraq, Turkey and Iran. Autonomy for Kurds in Iraq will create pressures and instability in both Turkey and Iran, and therefore across the region, like ripples in a pond. The Kurds have already suspended any guarantees to remain peaceful with the Turks and there has been some conflict. If this continues, it will invite a strong Turkish military response. Also, if the Kurds are granted control of the Karbala oil fields, this will leave them with inordinate economic power at the expense of the Sunni's who are also seeking this resource. The outcome will of course be conflict and, again, instability (which will always threaten wider conflict). Add to this the fact that Sistani, although clearly, "moderate" in his approach, is fairly unbending on the point of granting Kurds any kind of autonomy. There is still room for diplomatic compromise, especially if the political momentum behind a sovereign Iraqi government can be built (forcing all to "trade horses" rather than fight).

]]> By: PoliBlog http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/kurds_threaten_to_walk_away_from_iraqi_state/comment-page-1/#comment-18308 PoliBlog Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000 /?p=6385#comment-18308 <strong>Possible Trouble in Iraq: Kurdish-Shiite Conflict over Constitution</strong> International > Middle East > Constitution: Kurds Threaten to Walk Away From Iraqi State" href="http://nytimes.com/2004/06/09/international/middleeast/09KURD.html?hp=&pagewanted=all&position=">Kurds Threaten to Walk Away From Iraqi StateA crisis for t... --- Possible Trouble in Iraq: Kurdish-Shiite Conflict over Constitution
International > Middle East > Constitution: Kurds Threaten to Walk Away From Iraqi State" href="http://nytimes.com/2004/06/09/international/middleeast/09KURD.html?hp=&pagewanted=all&position=">Kurds Threaten to Walk Away From Iraqi StateA crisis for t...

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