Comments on: Lebanese PM: IDF Strike Killed 1, Not 40

By: yetanotherjohn

yetanotherjohn — Mon, 07 Aug 2006 22:19:22 +0000

In light of the Reuters faux photo fun, it is interesting to see how they are handling the number revision. Rather than report that the PM first said 40 and now says 1, they just report how upset the PM was when he thought it was 40 and ignores the numbers. You can trust the MSM to deliver the news with a consistent standard for fairness and accuracy.

By: Jim Henley

Jim Henley — Mon, 07 Aug 2006 20:10:47 +0000

Crap. Jane beat me to it.

Initial casualty estimates are always high by a factor of 2-5. This applies to just about any mass-casualty event you'd care to name, not just violent acts. Earthquakes, fires, whatever. We spent two days in mid-September 2001 convinced that we'd lost 100,000 Americans in New York, then another couple convinced we'd lost 10,000. Actual number: just over 3K.

In 1991 Norman Schwartzkopf and Colin Powell informed us that some hundreds of thousands of Iraqi Republican Guard troops had died in Operation Desert Saber. That estimate was certainly high by an order of magnitude.

Those are just two examples. Throw in the famous expressway collapse from the Loma Prieta Earthquake in 1989 for a third. Further instances are left as an exercise for the reader.

Note BTW, that the Qana number dropped from 50 to just north of two dozen, but two dozen is still a lot of dead.

By: Jane Galt

Jane Galt — Mon, 07 Aug 2006 19:35:22 +0000

I can't think of a single case of anything where the death toll was revised down. News accounts tend to go for the most sensational numbers . . . I doubt Israeli estimates of casualties off suicide bombers are often revised downwards either.

By: Old War Dogs

Old War Dogs — Mon, 07 Aug 2006 19:13:01 +0000

"Houla Oops"...

40 dead? One dead? Whatever. When did Ray Nagin become Prime Minister of Lebanon?Lebanese Prime Minister Fouad Siniora said Monday that one person was killed in an Israeli airstrike on the southern village of Houla, not 40 as he had...

By: charles austin

charles austin — Mon, 07 Aug 2006 16:16:26 +0000

But the forty killed figure made all the rounds this morning, including Morning Edition on NPR. The equivalent of a page six correction now does little to mitigate the propaganda victory the liars have achieved.