McCain Wins Missouri
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James Joyner | Thursday, November 20, 2008 |
Sen. John McCain has won the state of Missouri.
John McCain has won Missouri’s 11 electoral votes, CNN declares. Missouri hasn’t actually made that official yet, mind you. But the election was a mere sixteen days ago.
According to the unofficial results, McCain won the state by 3,632 votes . The unofficial count shows McCain with 1,445,812 votes, or 49.4 percent, and Obama with 1,442,180 votes, or 49.3 percent.
With Missouri’s 11 electoral votes in Senator McCain’s column, the final count is 365 for Obama and 173 for McCain.
The “news” here, if you want to call it that, is that another statistical anomaly has bitten the dust:
McCain’s edging out of Obama in Missouri breaks the state’s bellwether streak in which Missourians correctly picked the presidential candiate in every election dating back to the 1960 contest. Missouri got it wrong in 1956, voting for the Democratic challenger Adlai Stevenson, who lost the election to President Dwight D. Eisenhower. Before that election, Missouri correctly picked the winner in every race for the White House dating back to 1904.
We’re dealing with an incredibly small sample size here. Basically, they’ve gotten 24 of 26 elections “right.” The vast majority of these were blowouts, too.
About the Author: James Joyner is the publisher of Outside the Beltway and the managing editor of the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer, Desert Storm vet, and college professor with a PhD in political science from The University of Alabama. He lives just outside the Beltway in Alexandria, Virginia with his wife and infant daughter.
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