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	<title>Comments on: New Hampshire Primary Predictions (Updated)</title>
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		<title>By: The Glittering Eye &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Richardson Bows Out</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-263701</link>
		<dc:creator>The Glittering Eye &#187; Blog Archive &#187; Richardson Bows Out</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jan 2008 15:00:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-263701</guid>
		<description>[...] I predicted, Bill Richardson is pulling out of the race for the Democratic nomination for the presidency in [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] I predicted, Bill Richardson is pulling out of the race for the Democratic nomination for the presidency in [...]</p>
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		<title>By: James Moore</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-263059</link>
		<dc:creator>James Moore</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 02:52:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-263059</guid>
		<description>Ron Paul has already won because he&#039;s added real substance to the discussion.  It&#039;s been fun watching the others adjust what they say, especially on camera.  Compare what the rest of the field said last year on anything except the Iraq war, and I think you&#039;ll find they all sound a bit more like Paul.  Hell, even on the war they&#039;ve mostly reduced their estimate of the time we&#039;ll need to keep troops over there, except McCain of course, who would be happy to have us there for 100 years.  Nevermind we&#039;d be bankrupt and unable to continue before the end of his 1-term presidency.

You didn&#039;t hear Tax Hike Mike talk about abolishing the IRS, until Ron Paul&#039;s campaign said it.

You didn&#039;t hear much about immigration until Tancredo made it a big issue first - but Paul&#039;s campaign message about immigration never changed from the beginning.

You didn&#039;t see Thompson say anything about the Constitution - until after Ron Paul was heard in appearance after appearance reminding people he&#039;s always been a strict Constitutionalist.

You won&#039;t see Romney, McCain, or Giuliani bring up anything about their consistent record, their record on reducing the size of government, their support for individual liberty or private property.  They are all morally bankrupt on these issues, and are tools/part &amp; parcel of the NWO elite.

Ron Paul alone stands for true traditional Republican conservative values.  Too bad the holy rollers &amp; globalist&#039;s mouthpieces have decieved the core of the party so badly; too many have been blinded beyond hope of recovery, I fear.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ron Paul has already won because he's added real substance to the discussion.  It's been fun watching the others adjust what they say, especially on camera.  Compare what the rest of the field said last year on anything except the Iraq war, and I think you'll find they all sound a bit more like Paul.  Hell, even on the war they've mostly reduced their estimate of the time we'll need to keep troops over there, except McCain of course, who would be happy to have us there for 100 years.  Nevermind we'd be bankrupt and unable to continue before the end of his 1-term presidency.</p>
<p>You didn't hear Tax Hike Mike talk about abolishing the IRS, until Ron Paul's campaign said it.</p>
<p>You didn't hear much about immigration until Tancredo made it a big issue first - but Paul's campaign message about immigration never changed from the beginning.</p>
<p>You didn't see Thompson say anything about the Constitution - until after Ron Paul was heard in appearance after appearance reminding people he's always been a strict Constitutionalist.</p>
<p>You won't see Romney, McCain, or Giuliani bring up anything about their consistent record, their record on reducing the size of government, their support for individual liberty or private property.  They are all morally bankrupt on these issues, and are tools/part &amp; parcel of the NWO elite.</p>
<p>Ron Paul alone stands for true traditional Republican conservative values.  Too bad the holy rollers &amp; globalist's mouthpieces have decieved the core of the party so badly; too many have been blinded beyond hope of recovery, I fear.</p>
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		<title>By: The Truth</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262989</link>
		<dc:creator>The Truth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 00:15:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262989</guid>
		<description>Ron Paul is winning because he talks about issues that people are concerned about. http://www.ronpaul2008.com/issues</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ron Paul is winning because he talks about issues that people are concerned about. <a href="http://www.ronpaul2008.com/issues" rel="nofollow">http://www.ronpaul2008.com/issues</a></p>
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		<title>By: James Moore</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262986</link>
		<dc:creator>James Moore</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2008 00:11:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262986</guid>
		<description>Yep, be nice.  I don&#039;t vote by party, but have generally tended toward the Republican - that is the pre-Bush era Republican, viewpoint.  But I&#039;ll seriously consider a vote for Edwards or Obama before anyone on the Republican side this time around - except for Ron Paul.  He&#039;s truly the only standout, the only one you can trust to be true to his oath of office, with a consistent voting record that matches his views.  Love him or not, the man has balls and you can trust what he says - no pandering just to get votes, unlike ALL the rest.
Face it folks, it&#039;s either Paul, or a globalist CFR member bent on keeping America on the path to one-world rule.  What should be a government of the people, by the people, for the people has become of the corporations, by the lobbyists, and for the elite.  Paul is the only candidate willing to buck this nightmare we the people have allowed to happen.  Don&#039;t make the same mistake we made in 1992 when we could have elected a true leader and instead got a member of the globalist cabal. I often hear people remark &quot;Ross was right!&quot; Don&#039;t just let things happen and then look back in 8 years with regret, saying &quot;Paul was right!&quot;

Take the chance while we have it; it may never come again.  When all the dust settles, you can count on a big &quot;bi-partisan&quot; push to regulate the internet, so we the people will lose the only vehicle we have left to fight the polished propaganda machinery of the media and their friends in the pharma &amp; military-support industries.  It&#039;s already in the works, with H.R. 1959, the &quot;Homegrown Terrorism Prevention&quot; act.  The terrorists aren&#039;t just over there - there&#039;s another form of terrorist bent on controlling what we think.  Wake up.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yep, be nice.  I don't vote by party, but have generally tended toward the Republican - that is the pre-Bush era Republican, viewpoint.  But I'll seriously consider a vote for Edwards or Obama before anyone on the Republican side this time around - except for Ron Paul.  He's truly the only standout, the only one you can trust to be true to his oath of office, with a consistent voting record that matches his views.  Love him or not, the man has balls and you can trust what he says - no pandering just to get votes, unlike ALL the rest.<br />
Face it folks, it's either Paul, or a globalist CFR member bent on keeping America on the path to one-world rule.  What should be a government of the people, by the people, for the people has become of the corporations, by the lobbyists, and for the elite.  Paul is the only candidate willing to buck this nightmare we the people have allowed to happen.  Don't make the same mistake we made in 1992 when we could have elected a true leader and instead got a member of the globalist cabal. I often hear people remark "Ross was right!" Don't just let things happen and then look back in 8 years with regret, saying "Paul was right!"</p>
<p>Take the chance while we have it; it may never come again.  When all the dust settles, you can count on a big "bi-partisan" push to regulate the internet, so we the people will lose the only vehicle we have left to fight the polished propaganda machinery of the media and their friends in the pharma &amp; military-support industries.  It's already in the works, with H.R. 1959, the "Homegrown Terrorism Prevention" act.  The terrorists aren't just over there - there's another form of terrorist bent on controlling what we think.  Wake up.</p>
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		<title>By: PoliBlog &#8482;: A Rough Draft of my Thoughts &#187; Primary Predictions</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262957</link>
		<dc:creator>PoliBlog &#8482;: A Rough Draft of my Thoughts &#187; Primary Predictions</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 23:20:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262957</guid>
		<description>[...] has his own, a blogospheric round-up and those of OTB contributors (including me) here: click.    Filed under: US Politics, 2008 Campaign &#124; [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] has his own, a blogospheric round-up and those of OTB contributors (including me) here: click.    Filed under: US Politics, 2008 Campaign | [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Little Miss Attila</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262840</link>
		<dc:creator>Little Miss Attila</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 18:13:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262840</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Joyner . . ....&lt;/strong&gt;

shares his New Hampshire predictions, and has a mini-roundup of other &#039;sphere luminaries doing same. I&#039;ve been trying to avoid a lot of the negativity out there, but it&#039;s hard to counteract the mindset that &quot;even if we win, we&#039;ll......</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Joyner . . ....</strong></p>
<p>shares his New Hampshire predictions, and has a mini-roundup of other 'sphere luminaries doing same. I've been trying to avoid a lot of the negativity out there, but it's hard to counteract the mindset that "even if we win, we'll......</p>
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		<title>By: James O</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262824</link>
		<dc:creator>James O</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 16:46:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262824</guid>
		<description>Regardless of how Ron Paul is considered by you or the press, he will be the king maker for the GOP.  Even in the most biased polls, Ron Paul pulls around 5% of the vote nationally.  He has enough money to finish the campaign.  If he runs as a third party candidate, the GOP can kiss the presidency good bye.


So, be nice.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Regardless of how Ron Paul is considered by you or the press, he will be the king maker for the GOP.  Even in the most biased polls, Ron Paul pulls around 5% of the vote nationally.  He has enough money to finish the campaign.  If he runs as a third party candidate, the GOP can kiss the presidency good bye.</p>
<p>So, be nice.</p>
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		<title>By: James Joyner</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262819</link>
		<dc:creator>James Joyner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 16:29:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262819</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;fess up James. You marked Paul as edging Rudy just to appease the Ronbots.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Heh.  On the contrary -- angry Ronbots are good for business!  But I figure enthusiasm is good for making up a half percentage point deficit in the polls; some Giuliani leaners are likely to switch to McCain or Romney in order to &quot;count.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>fess up James. You marked Paul as edging Rudy just to appease the Ronbots.</p></blockquote>
<p>Heh.  On the contrary -- angry Ronbots are good for business!  But I figure enthusiasm is good for making up a half percentage point deficit in the polls; some Giuliani leaners are likely to switch to McCain or Romney in order to "count."</p>
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		<title>By: yetanotherjohn</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262816</link>
		<dc:creator>yetanotherjohn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 16:22:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262816</guid>
		<description>fess up James. You marked Paul as edging Rudy just to appease the Ronbots. When will you learn that appeasement may provide short term security but long term they will just keep upping the ante.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>fess up James. You marked Paul as edging Rudy just to appease the Ronbots. When will you learn that appeasement may provide short term security but long term they will just keep upping the ante.</p>
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		<title>By: Nancy</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262811</link>
		<dc:creator>Nancy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 16:10:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262811</guid>
		<description>Take it from someone that lives in arkansas and is orignally from Illinois The Huck years were great here he improved the school district, put inAr kids first for all children under 19 with health insurance. Jobs were booming he raise the price on cars that you didn&#039;t have to pay sales tax. Tried to stop food tax and the Democrat congress wouldn&#039;t go for it. By the way Romney Arkansas has no lottery so he had to raise taxes to fix the school system that was the lowest from the Clinton years our school system had been sued. Now we have a dem for a governor and things are already going down hill</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Take it from someone that lives in arkansas and is orignally from Illinois The Huck years were great here he improved the school district, put inAr kids first for all children under 19 with health insurance. Jobs were booming he raise the price on cars that you didn't have to pay sales tax. Tried to stop food tax and the Democrat congress wouldn't go for it. By the way Romney Arkansas has no lottery so he had to raise taxes to fix the school system that was the lowest from the Clinton years our school system had been sued. Now we have a dem for a governor and things are already going down hill</p>
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		<title>By: spark240</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262808</link>
		<dc:creator>spark240</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 15:54:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262808</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s Dixville NOTCH, as in a gap in the hill.

&lt;em&gt;Fixed!  I knew that (at least the name part, not so much the origin) but had the X in my head from Dixville, I guess. - jhj&lt;/em&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It's Dixville NOTCH, as in a gap in the hill.</p>
<p><em>Fixed!  I knew that (at least the name part, not so much the origin) but had the X in my head from Dixville, I guess. - jhj</em></p>
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		<title>By: RealClearPolitics - Blog Coverage</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262807</link>
		<dc:creator>RealClearPolitics - Blog Coverage</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 15:48:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262807</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Granite Blogging (Updated)...&lt;/strong&gt;

Stay with RealClearBlogs all day long, while we bring you reactions, predictions and all of the latest from the New Hampshire primary. Bloggers will be typing long into the night, so check in regularly to catch all of the latest!......</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Granite Blogging (Updated)...</strong></p>
<p>Stay with RealClearBlogs all day long, while we bring you reactions, predictions and all of the latest from the New Hampshire primary. Bloggers will be typing long into the night, so check in regularly to catch all of the latest!......</p>
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		<title>By: Dave Schuler</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262801</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave Schuler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 15:38:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262801</guid>
		<description>While New Hampshire has a lot of independents,  it doesn&#039;t have an infinite supply of them and they&#039;ll have a choice of voting in the Democratic or Republican primaries, not both.  If they vote on the Democratic side, presumably most will support Obama; on the Republican either McCain (that&#039;s what happened last time around) or Paul.  

If most independents decide to get on the Obama bandwagon, his numbers will be boosted and both McCain&#039;s and Paul&#039;s depressed.  That&#039;s the scenario for a Romney win.

I doubt that Paul will capture more than the low double digits.  Time will tell.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While New Hampshire has a lot of independents,  it doesn't have an infinite supply of them and they'll have a choice of voting in the Democratic or Republican primaries, not both.  If they vote on the Democratic side, presumably most will support Obama; on the Republican either McCain (that's what happened last time around) or Paul.  </p>
<p>If most independents decide to get on the Obama bandwagon, his numbers will be boosted and both McCain's and Paul's depressed.  That's the scenario for a Romney win.</p>
<p>I doubt that Paul will capture more than the low double digits.  Time will tell.</p>
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		<title>By: independent</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262797</link>
		<dc:creator>independent</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 15:18:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262797</guid>
		<description>Independents in NH will probably give Paul a good bump to 15%.  I&#039;d really like to see him beat Huckabee - Giuliani isn&#039;t enough of a challenge.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Independents in NH will probably give Paul a good bump to 15%.  I'd really like to see him beat Huckabee - Giuliani isn't enough of a challenge.</p>
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		<title>By: James Joyner</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_updated/comment-page-1/#comment-262796</link>
		<dc:creator>James Joyner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jan 2008 15:14:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2008/01/new_hampshire_primary_predictions_/#comment-262796</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;I&#039;d love to see Paul beat Giuliani again, but not sure he will not drop to fifth.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

The polling has him fifth, although well within the margin of error.  I figure that the combination of the intensity of Paul&#039;s support and Giuliani&#039;s downward trendline is enough to give him the edge; it&#039;s just a SWAG, though.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I'd love to see Paul beat Giuliani again, but not sure he will not drop to fifth.</p></blockquote>
<p>The polling has him fifth, although well within the margin of error.  I figure that the combination of the intensity of Paul's support and Giuliani's downward trendline is enough to give him the edge; it's just a SWAG, though.</p>
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