Comments on: Obama Bubble About to Burst

By: Ace of Spades HQ

Ace of Spades HQ — Tue, 29 Jan 2008 20:32:49 +0000

Obamessiah Resurrected: A "Treasured Covenant" Was Passed From Kennedy To Obama... According to CBS' Harry Smith, waxing Biblical about Kennedy's endorsement. With Obama surging in the polls, again, the press has returned to its old Obamessianic coverage. Just as previously the press looked for absurd reasons to praise Obama, they...

By: Bob

Bob — Tue, 29 Jan 2008 18:07:59 +0000

The tide has not turned. Look at the rassmussenreports daily tracking poll. At yesterday's national poll Clinton has the same 8% lead. Obama is doomed.

By: What's Going On Here?

What's Going On Here? — Tue, 29 Jan 2008 17:29:10 +0000

The tide has turned. Clinton has alienated the base, these numbers will not hold.

If Clinton DOES somehow manage to steal the nomination over the objections of her party, it will be the best thing ever for the Republican party.

Republicans and Democrats have come to hate Hillary and company.

By: tequila

tequila — Tue, 29 Jan 2008 15:34:23 +0000

If the results in NH and SC haven't disabused you of relying upon polls this election cycle, then pretty much nothing will.

By: tom p

tom p — Tue, 29 Jan 2008 00:16:01 +0000

While it is hard to argue with the point of view that Hillary will win the nomination anyway (I still have not wrapped my head around the whole "super delegate" thing and why every one assumes they will go to Hillary) , I continue to hope. And contribute. I am a 50 yr old Union carpenter and for the first time in my life I am actually giving to a political campaign (sp?).

It ain't over till the fat lady sings.

By: Little Miss Attila

Little Miss Attila — Mon, 28 Jan 2008 20:50:23 +0000

Joyner on the Clinton Machine:...

While its unlikely Super Tuesday will be decisive in a mathematical sense, the nomination will likely be all but Hillarys by days end. Obama is both the candidate most appealing to the Democratic base and the one best positioned to......

By: Dave Schuler

Dave Schuler — Mon, 28 Jan 2008 19:59:34 +0000

Although I'll cast my Democratic primary vote for Obama a week from tomorrow, I continue to believe that Hillary Clinton will be the party's nominee when the dust has settled.

By: Tano

Tano — Mon, 28 Jan 2008 19:21:10 +0000

Brave man with those predictions, James.
I would have thought that by now most prognosticators would have thrown up their hands and just decided to sit back and watch the show.

By: Eneils Bailey

Eneils Bailey — Mon, 28 Jan 2008 17:03:46 +0000

SoloD, I agree with you on:

I think that we will see much closer races than these polls indicate.

And how many of these state apportion delegates based on, "winner take all," by Congressional district, or a percentage of vote? A "winner take all" makes John Edwards less of a factor in those states. In states where delegates are allocated by other than "winner take all" keeps him in the race as a King/Queen maker. As a white, Southern, conservative Republican; if I had to make decision between B. Obama and Hillary Clinton, B.Obama would get my vote. This is a relative judgment, character and honesty does matter. To me, this does not make him the shining moral beacon on the hill, just the better alternative in a convoluted dilemma.

By: SoloD

SoloD — Mon, 28 Jan 2008 14:55:16 +0000

If I may disagree, I think that we will see much closer races than these polls indicate. First of all, I think that the attentions of the Ultra Super Duper Tuesday voters have not been as focused on the race as they will be in this upcoming week -- I think this helps Obama given his momentum and the press swoon he has received.

Also it is difficult to predict voter turnout in many of these polls and how much name recognition plays in the responses that are given. Again I think that Obama's momentum will help close some of the gap.

I expect Obama will win Illinois and Georgia. Hillary should win NY, and California. Interesting to watch will be Mass, NJ and CT. If Obama can keep it close or even win one (maybe Mass or CT w/ the Kennedy endorsements)he could end up being the declared "winner" at the end of the night.