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	<title>Comments on: Pre Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc</title>
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		<title>By: The Commissar</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12219</link>
		<dc:creator>The Commissar</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12219</guid>
		<description>That was my reaction. But what was I gonna do? Argue with Glenn Reynolds? :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That was my reaction. But what was I gonna do? Argue with Glenn Reynolds? :)</p>
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		<title>By: Paul</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12220</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12220</guid>
		<description>I &lt;i&gt;think&lt;/i&gt; you mighta missed her point.

I&#039;m pretty sure her point was that invasion was warranted on the other grounds. (ie Saddam was a loser) I don&#039;t think she was saying that our invasion removed a threat.

I think her comment was that the media is acting like the lack of weapons was a horrible thing when it was in fact good news. 

The fact that we wanted to remove a threat and the threat was removed does not have to be causal and I don&#039;t think that was her point.

I&#039;ll admit the way it was worded was awkward but the rest of the piece sorta makes it clear.

Paul</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I <i>think</i> you mighta missed her point.</p>
<p>I'm pretty sure her point was that invasion was warranted on the other grounds. (ie Saddam was a loser) I don't think she was saying that our invasion removed a threat.</p>
<p>I think her comment was that the media is acting like the lack of weapons was a horrible thing when it was in fact good news. </p>
<p>The fact that we wanted to remove a threat and the threat was removed does not have to be causal and I don't think that was her point.</p>
<p>I'll admit the way it was worded was awkward but the rest of the piece sorta makes it clear.</p>
<p>Paul</p>
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		<title>By: Aakash</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12221</link>
		<dc:creator>Aakash</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12221</guid>
		<description>I was just thinking about this issue earlier today! (a few hours ago, I think)

This is very true - that type of logic that they try to use, to retrospectively justify this war, is flawed... Even a grade-schooler should be able to figure that out.

The escapism that some war supporters have been trying to use, once it becomes clear that what was previously believed is not true, is appalling, and also quite annoying. It becomes frustrating to see these types of arguments being made.

Thank God that there are principled and honest commentators in the Blogosphere - those who, while I they have a position with which I disagree, will at least make arguments that are logical and sound, and will take principled stands on certain issues and arguments, even if those stands don&#039;t conform to a popular viewpoint among the others on their side of the matter.

That is one thing that &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.haloscan.com/comments.php?user=dsensing&amp;comment=107627329447735058#165798&quot;&gt;I greatly admire&lt;/a&gt; among certain bloggers - people like Mr. Joyner, and like &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.joshclaybourn.com/blog&quot;&gt;Josh Claybourn&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.andrewolmsted.com&quot;&gt;Andrew Olmsted&lt;/a&gt;.

Thank you very much for this entry, and please keep up the great work.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was just thinking about this issue earlier today! (a few hours ago, I think)</p>
<p>This is very true - that type of logic that they try to use, to retrospectively justify this war, is flawed... Even a grade-schooler should be able to figure that out.</p>
<p>The escapism that some war supporters have been trying to use, once it becomes clear that what was previously believed is not true, is appalling, and also quite annoying. It becomes frustrating to see these types of arguments being made.</p>
<p>Thank God that there are principled and honest commentators in the Blogosphere - those who, while I they have a position with which I disagree, will at least make arguments that are logical and sound, and will take principled stands on certain issues and arguments, even if those stands don't conform to a popular viewpoint among the others on their side of the matter.</p>
<p>That is one thing that <a href="http://www.haloscan.com/comments.php?user=dsensing&#038;comment=107627329447735058#165798">I greatly admire</a> among certain bloggers - people like Mr. Joyner, and like <a href="http://www.joshclaybourn.com/blog">Josh Claybourn</a> and <a href="http://www.andrewolmsted.com">Andrew Olmsted</a>.</p>
<p>Thank you very much for this entry, and please keep up the great work.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12222</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12222</guid>
		<description>Let&#039;s review....

The prowar folks MIGHT have been wrong on WMD. (don&#039;t know yet now do we?)

But we KNOW the appeasement crowd was wrong on:

3000-5000 Body Bags
The 2 million Refugees
The &quot;Quagmire&quot;
The &quot;War plan failed.&quot;
America being attacked after start of war
**Millions bombed in Baghdad**
The Arab Street uprising
Baghdad museum looted.
The &quot;we want to steal their oil.&quot;
Arab countries attacking
The &quot;we want to colonize them.&quot; 
Halliburton nonsense
The &quot;Acting Unilaterally&quot; lie
The &quot;stretched supply lines&quot;
The war lasting years.
Street fight for Baghdad
Not a war of liberation
Republican Guard
Viewed as oppressors not liberators
Israel will attack

and probably a few dozen other things I forget about.

I&#039;ll also remind you that even the anti-war folks said he had WMD. Only now do they try to rewrite history. 

Yeah, stand up and take your bow... You guys are sooooo much smarter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let's review....</p>
<p>The prowar folks MIGHT have been wrong on WMD. (don't know yet now do we?)</p>
<p>But we KNOW the appeasement crowd was wrong on:</p>
<p>3000-5000 Body Bags<br />
The 2 million Refugees<br />
The "Quagmire"<br />
The "War plan failed."<br />
America being attacked after start of war<br />
**Millions bombed in Baghdad**<br />
The Arab Street uprising<br />
Baghdad museum looted.<br />
The "we want to steal their oil."<br />
Arab countries attacking<br />
The "we want to colonize them."<br />
Halliburton nonsense<br />
The "Acting Unilaterally" lie<br />
The "stretched supply lines"<br />
The war lasting years.<br />
Street fight for Baghdad<br />
Not a war of liberation<br />
Republican Guard<br />
Viewed as oppressors not liberators<br />
Israel will attack</p>
<p>and probably a few dozen other things I forget about.</p>
<p>I'll also remind you that even the anti-war folks said he had WMD. Only now do they try to rewrite history. </p>
<p>Yeah, stand up and take your bow... You guys are sooooo much smarter.</p>
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		<title>By: Andrea Harris</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12223</link>
		<dc:creator>Andrea Harris</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12223</guid>
		<description>I see Glenn Reynolds has linked to my little post, thus alerting the Politically Concerned&#8482; crowd. Well, thanks for commenting. But you know, smart guy, I wasn&#039;t commenting to join the &quot;in favor of this war&quot; crowd because &lt;i&gt;it&#039;s a little late to vote yay or nay on a war that has already occurred.&lt;/i&gt; I was commenting to point out that there were other, &lt;i&gt;as compelling&lt;/i&gt;, reasons to invade and depose Hussein, and not only that, &lt;b&gt;at no time did the administration argue that we had to invade because Hussein was, for sure, going to drop the big one on us&lt;/b&gt;. You know, I heard the same speech everyone else did. You can even read it on the White House web site. What part of &lt;b&gt;&quot;we can&#039;t wait until the threat is imminent&quot;&lt;/b&gt; is so hard to understand? Yeah, Aaaaaakash, I &lt;i&gt;feel&lt;/i&gt; your frustration. [/sarcasm]

You know, maybe you need to venture inside the Beltway every now and then. I don&#039;t think your lofty perspective is all that conducive to hearing or seeing well.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I see Glenn Reynolds has linked to my little post, thus alerting the Politically Concerned&trade; crowd. Well, thanks for commenting. But you know, smart guy, I wasn't commenting to join the "in favor of this war" crowd because <i>it's a little late to vote yay or nay on a war that has already occurred.</i> I was commenting to point out that there were other, <i>as compelling</i>, reasons to invade and depose Hussein, and not only that, <b>at no time did the administration argue that we had to invade because Hussein was, for sure, going to drop the big one on us</b>. You know, I heard the same speech everyone else did. You can even read it on the White House web site. What part of <b>"we can't wait until the threat is imminent"</b> is so hard to understand? Yeah, Aaaaaakash, I <i>feel</i> your frustration. [/sarcasm]</p>
<p>You know, maybe you need to venture inside the Beltway every now and then. I don't think your lofty perspective is all that conducive to hearing or seeing well.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12224</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12224</guid>
		<description>Andrea, James is alright, he just misunderstood ya.

If you go back and read what you wrote, it might be kinda hard to blame him.

knowhatImean?

P</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Andrea, James is alright, he just misunderstood ya.</p>
<p>If you go back and read what you wrote, it might be kinda hard to blame him.</p>
<p>knowhatImean?</p>
<p>P</p>
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		<title>By: James Joyner</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12225</link>
		<dc:creator>James Joyner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12225</guid>
		<description>Andrea,

I supported and continue to support the war. As I say in the post, getting rid of Saddam was a good thing.  The post said nothing about the &quot;imminent threat&quot; canard, which I&#039;ve refuted on this site numerous times.  I just don&#039;t think it&#039;s useful to argue that--given that Saddam apparently had no nukes and no ongoing nuclear program--that the war saved us from having those non-existent weapons aimed at NYC and DC.

I&#039;m having lunch in Arlington today, which will bring me quite close to--but not quite inside--the Beltway.  I&#039;m attending an event at Heritage next week, though, so perhaps I&#039;ll get a does of Beltway reality then.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Andrea,</p>
<p>I supported and continue to support the war. As I say in the post, getting rid of Saddam was a good thing.  The post said nothing about the "imminent threat" canard, which I've refuted on this site numerous times.  I just don't think it's useful to argue that--given that Saddam apparently had no nukes and no ongoing nuclear program--that the war saved us from having those non-existent weapons aimed at NYC and DC.</p>
<p>I'm having lunch in Arlington today, which will bring me quite close to--but not quite inside--the Beltway.  I'm attending an event at Heritage next week, though, so perhaps I'll get a does of Beltway reality then.</p>
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		<title>By: John McCrarey</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12226</link>
		<dc:creator>John McCrarey</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12226</guid>
		<description>Last I looked, Arlington was smack dab inside the beltway, James.  Actually, Arlington is a county full of unincorporated communities (Ballston, Shirlington, Crystal City), so maybe some piece is outside the beltway, but all the good parts are well inside.

Just so you know.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last I looked, Arlington was smack dab inside the beltway, James.  Actually, Arlington is a county full of unincorporated communities (Ballston, Shirlington, Crystal City), so maybe some piece is outside the beltway, but all the good parts are well inside.</p>
<p>Just so you know.</p>
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		<title>By: James Joyner</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12227</link>
		<dc:creator>James Joyner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12227</guid>
		<description>Well, there you go!  My sense of local geography is a little off.  I can get to Arlington without getting on the Beltway itself, so I think of it as outside. :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, there you go!  My sense of local geography is a little off.  I can get to Arlington without getting on the Beltway itself, so I think of it as outside. :)</p>
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		<title>By: mary</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12228</link>
		<dc:creator>mary</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12228</guid>
		<description>I didnât support the war because of anything Bush said. I supported it because an anti-war activist argued that we should let the sanctions work because they worked so well in North Korea. 

All of the evidence available at the time, (evidence that was accepted by Clinton, Hans Blix, the UN, etc.) showed that Iraq had the potential to become the next sanctioned North Korea, and that the nation would be a danger for as long as Saddam was in power. Most would agree that a dangerous troublemaker has been removed from power in a very unstable region.  You seem to agree with this too. So whatâs the problem?

Your joke implies that WMDs were as likely to exist in Saddamâs Iraq as elephants in a doctorâs office. Thatâs not a very useful simile. Is the idea of pre-emptive war comparable to the drug-induced precognition in Minority Report? If you believe this, then why did you support the war?

If you&#039;re going to complain about imprecision, it might help to make your complaints more precise.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I didnât support the war because of anything Bush said. I supported it because an anti-war activist argued that we should let the sanctions work because they worked so well in North Korea. </p>
<p>All of the evidence available at the time, (evidence that was accepted by Clinton, Hans Blix, the UN, etc.) showed that Iraq had the potential to become the next sanctioned North Korea, and that the nation would be a danger for as long as Saddam was in power. Most would agree that a dangerous troublemaker has been removed from power in a very unstable region.  You seem to agree with this too. So whatâs the problem?</p>
<p>Your joke implies that WMDs were as likely to exist in Saddamâs Iraq as elephants in a doctorâs office. Thatâs not a very useful simile. Is the idea of pre-emptive war comparable to the drug-induced precognition in Minority Report? If you believe this, then why did you support the war?</p>
<p>If you're going to complain about imprecision, it might help to make your complaints more precise.</p>
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		<title>By: James Joyner</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12229</link>
		<dc:creator>James Joyner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12229</guid>
		<description>Mary,

I&#039;ve written literally hundreds of posts on the topic since starting the blog--there&#039;s a whole archive category on the Iraq Conflict.  I don&#039;t try to rehash the entire debate with each post.  

My quibble is with the specific argument Andrea makes that I quote above; I essentially agree with her overall point.  And, it would seem, with you: After a few months of taking the &quot;containment has worked so far&quot; line, the North Korea situation finally made me buy off on &quot;we&#039;d better do it now before it&#039;s too late.&quot;  But it&#039;s rather clear that there were no Iraqi nuclear missiles to fear.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mary,</p>
<p>I've written literally hundreds of posts on the topic since starting the blog--there's a whole archive category on the Iraq Conflict.  I don't try to rehash the entire debate with each post.  </p>
<p>My quibble is with the specific argument Andrea makes that I quote above; I essentially agree with her overall point.  And, it would seem, with you: After a few months of taking the "containment has worked so far" line, the North Korea situation finally made me buy off on "we'd better do it now before it's too late."  But it's rather clear that there were no Iraqi nuclear missiles to fear.</p>
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		<title>By: Twisted Spinster</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12230</link>
		<dc:creator>Twisted Spinster</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12230</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Rehash Browns&lt;/strong&gt;
You know, it&#039;s a mixed blessing having Glenn Reynolds link to you. There are so many egos, armed with their mad internet-debate-club logic skilz, jostling to take what they imagine as his place on top of the Blog Heap. For instance, I woke up this m...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Rehash Browns</strong><br />
You know, it's a mixed blessing having Glenn Reynolds link to you. There are so many egos, armed with their mad internet-debate-club logic skilz, jostling to take what they imagine as his place on top of the Blog Heap. For instance, I woke up this m...</p>
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		<title>By: I love Jet Noise</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12231</link>
		<dc:creator>I love Jet Noise</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12231</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Faulty Logic&lt;/strong&gt;
It&#039;s tempting to take potshots at those who think our justification for going to war vanished with the failure to find stockpiles of chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons in Iraq. Andrea Harris fired off this salvo: I have a question</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Faulty Logic</strong><br />
It's tempting to take potshots at those who think our justification for going to war vanished with the failure to find stockpiles of chemical, biological, or nuclear weapons in Iraq. Andrea Harris fired off this salvo: I have a question</p>
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		<title>By: Outside the Beltway</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/pre_hoc_ergo_propter_hoc/comment-page-1/#comment-12232</link>
		<dc:creator>Outside the Beltway</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">/?p=5016#comment-12232</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Blogging as Conversation&lt;/strong&gt;
The reaction to last night&#8217;s post Pre Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc has brought into focus something that has occurred to me about this blogging thing...

---</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Blogging as Conversation</strong><br />
The reaction to last night&#8217;s post Pre Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc has brought into focus something that has occurred to me about this blogging thing...</p>
<p>---</p>
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