Comments on: Prognostication Scorekeeping http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/prognostication_scorekeeping/ Online Journal of Politics and Foreign Affairs Wed, 25 Nov 2009 21:37:13 -0600 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 hourly 1 By: RPK http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/prognostication_scorekeeping/comment-page-1/#comment-543478 RPK Mon, 29 Dec 2008 14:07:52 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=29310#comment-543478 "The United States will have 100,000 or more troops in Iraq at year’s end. The trend toward lower body counts will continue but civil society will remain an elusive goal." I would say that prediction is more than fifty percent wrong, but since the definition and criterion for civil society are undefined you can make out of your prediction what you want. "The United States will have 100,000 or more troops in Iraq at year’s end. The trend toward lower body counts will continue but civil society will remain an elusive goal."

I would say that prediction is more than fifty percent wrong, but since the definition and criterion for civil society are undefined you can make out of your prediction what you want.

]]> By: Dave Schuler http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/prognostication_scorekeeping/comment-page-1/#comment-543475 Dave Schuler Mon, 29 Dec 2008 13:58:50 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=29310#comment-543475 I think you're reading the IAEA too kindly. They just say that they don't know of any not that there aren't any. I think you're reading the IAEA too kindly. They just say that they don't know of any not that there aren't any.

]]> By: Alex Knapp http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/prognostication_scorekeeping/comment-page-1/#comment-543470 Alex Knapp Mon, 29 Dec 2008 13:26:21 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=29310#comment-543470 Dave, On #8 perhaps, but the IAEA says no, and all available evidence says no. Do you have evidence to the contrary? On #7, he's "at large" until he's found, even if he's dead right now. Dave,

On #8 perhaps, but the IAEA says no, and all available evidence says no. Do you have evidence to the contrary?

On #7, he's "at large" until he's found, even if he's dead right now.

]]> By: Dave Schuler http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/prognostication_scorekeeping/comment-page-1/#comment-543410 Dave Schuler Mon, 29 Dec 2008 12:30:39 +0000 http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/?p=29310#comment-543410 Your eighth prediction under “Predictions that came to pass” is unverifiable. I think it's true of the seventh one as well. Your eighth prediction under “Predictions that came to pass” is unverifiable. I think it's true of the seventh one as well.

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