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 Outside the Beltway 

Ron Paul Would Save the Constitution

Noting Ron Paul’s sponsorship of such bills as “American Freedom Agenda Act of 2007,” Andrew Sullivan proclaims that “Only one candidate will really” defend the Constitution.

If ever there were a time for the subjunctive mood, this is it. While a theoretical President Ron Paul might well defend the Constitution better than any of his competitors, the chances of his election are slightly lower than that of the Miami Dolphins to win this year’s Super Bowl.

About the Author: James Joyner is the publisher of Outside the Beltway and the managing editor of the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer, Desert Storm vet, and college professor with a PhD in political science from The University of Alabama. He lives just outside the Beltway in Alexandria, Virginia.

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While a theoretical President Ron Paul might well defend the Constitution better than any of his competitors, the chances of his election are slightly lower than that of the Miami Dolphins to win this year’s Super Bowl.

Doesn't really speak well of the American publics regard for the Constitution.

Posted by Steve Verdon | October 24, 2007 | 01:28 pm | Permalink
 

Trolling for bots again, eh James?

Posted by Dave Schuler | October 24, 2007 | 01:35 pm | Permalink
 

Doesn't really speak well of the American publics regard for the Constitution.

I don't expect the electorate to make choices based on abstract theories. And, frankly, it's too late to put the genie back in the bottle on things like the IRS.

Trolling for bots again, eh James?

Heh. It's just a fascinating phenomenon. I'm not surprised that people like Sullivan find Paul's message appealing, just that they take the candidacy seriously.

Posted by James Joyner | October 24, 2007 | 01:42 pm | Permalink
 

I'm not surprised that people like Sullivan find Paul's message appealing, just that they take the candidacy seriously.

Doesn't this attitude lead to some self-fulfilling prophecies, though? If journalists dismiss candidates and don't give them much coverage, doesn't that create a positive feedback loop that determines that the only "viable" candidates are those that journalists say are viable candidates?

To take Paul as an example, in most polls I've seen, over 70% of those polled haven't ever heard of him. If the media dismisses his candidacy as "not viable", he won't get covered, and that 70% of the population won't be exposed to a candidate to whom many might be attracted to.

Posted by Alex Knapp | October 24, 2007 | 02:14 pm | Permalink
 

Comment in violation of site policies deleted.

Those wishing to buy candidate advertising should send inquiries to otb@blogads.com

Posted by Alex Hammer | October 24, 2007 | 02:16 pm | Permalink
 

Doesn't this attitude lead to some self-fulfilling prophecies, though?

Sure, although it's inevitable. You have to draw a line somewhere and it's just incredibly implausible that a backbench House Member with ideas as far outside the mainstream as Paul will catch fire.

To be sure, more media coverage would help. But that means taking away coverage from people who are much more plausible candidates.

Posted by James Joyner | October 24, 2007 | 02:24 pm | Permalink
 

I don't expect the electorate to make choices based on abstract theories. And, frankly, it's too late to put the genie back in the bottle on things like the IRS.

Doesn't bode well for the future of this country. All the railing about the erosion of freedoms that we hear these days, it really doesn't matter in the end.

Posted by Steve Verdon | October 24, 2007 | 03:21 pm | Permalink
 

All the railing about the erosion of freedoms that we hear these days, it really doesn't matter in the end.

Probably not. I'm not sure there's all that much railing, really, outside the libertarian-right blogsosphere and the Netroots. And the latter is likely concerned about liberties only because Bush is the one trampling them; if Hillary gets in there, they'll likely pipe down.

Posted by James Joyner | October 24, 2007 | 03:29 pm | Permalink
 

Those wishing to buy candidate advertising should send inquiries to otb@blogads.com

Come on, admit it, you posted this story just for the fun of sticking it to the Ron Paul or Huckabee supporters who come over to troll.

It's like Peanuts' Lucy holding the football:

Come on little Ron Paul supporter, tell us about how glorious your candidate is, we'll take you seriously this time....

DELETED!

Ha ha ha, they fall for it every time.

Posted by Michael | October 24, 2007 | 03:43 pm | Permalink
 

I see the dedicated spammer Disciple "Alex Hammer" has crapped his copypasta spam here, too. And the Paultards get pissed when we call them "spammers." Heh.

Doesn't really speak well of the American publics regard for the Constitution.

Yeah, yeah, we know, Strawman Steve. If you're against Ron Paul the Messiah, you're against America, the Constitution, freedom, capitalism, and fluffy kittens.

/eyeroll

Posted by Beth | October 24, 2007 | 04:12 pm | Permalink
 

Come on little Ron Paul supporter, tell us about how glorious your candidate is, we'll take you seriously this time....

DELETED!

Heh. Pro-Paul comments are fine. Long, drive-by posts -- especially those with multiple links -- are deleted, though. That's true for all the candidates, though.

I'm a lot more lenient in that regard with regular commenters, too.

Posted by James Joyner | October 24, 2007 | 04:20 pm | Permalink
 

If ever there were a time for the subjunctive mood, this is it.

I trust that I can safely skip the subjunctive when I say: "One of either Rudy Giuliani or Hillary Clinton will further destroy the Constitution."

You'll have to pardon my preference for the less plausible but infinitely less depressing Ron Paul sentence.

Posted by Mark Jaquith | October 24, 2007 | 06:03 pm | Permalink
 

Heh. Pro-Paul comments are fine. Long, drive-by posts -- especially those with multiple links -- are deleted, though.

Wait, you mean it's possible to have a Pro-Paul comment that isn't a long, drive-by troll? Next you'll tell me it's possible to have a conversation with Kucinich supporters too.

Posted by Michael | October 24, 2007 | 10:15 pm | Permalink
 

Booga!

Posted by Pete | October 24, 2007 | 11:27 pm | Permalink
 

While a theoretical President Ron Paul might well defend the Constitution better than any of his competitors, the chances of his election are slightly lower than that of the Miami Dolphins to win this year’s Super Bowl.

Now that's just not fair. Ron Paul's statistical probability of winning is orders of magnitude higher than the Fins' of winning the Super Bowl.

Put another way, Ron Paul has a non-zero chance of resorting to the indicative mood, while the Fins have only the subjunctive left their prospects this season, including for not finishing 0-16. This should not, of course, be construed as implying that such an improvement of Paul's grammatical prospects is in any way probable; rather, it is merely highly improbable, as opposed to all but impossible.

P.S. I confess that I, too, wondered if you were trolling the fringes. Or pining for the fjords. Or something.

Posted by Dodd | October 26, 2007 | 01:46 pm | Permalink
 

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