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Bill Safire, an expert on such things, outlines a generic State of the Union address and makes some predictions for this 2004 edition.

Two points I find particularly interesting:

2. Defining adjective: The State of the Union is–what? “Strong” is popular; J.F.K. used “good”; Jerry Ford, in his first S.O.U., dared to judge it “not good.” If Bush chooses an unfamiliar adjective, that word will reverberate.

3. Interruptions by applause: Congress in joint session will clap on cue any time a president looks around. But watch how Democratic leaders Tom Daschle and Nancy Pelosi (who have already issued “prebuttals”) grimly sit on their hands. Observe calibrated reactions by candidates Kerry, Lieberman, Edwards and Gephardt, if they can spare the time to be there.

The first is a minor pet peeve of mine: saying “strong” every year is a pointless exercise. If it’s always “strong,” then let’s just skip it, along with pointing out that the night is “dark.” Substituting an unexpected adjective would indeed draw attention.

As Kevin Drum and others have noted, it’s no accident that the address is coming the night after the Iowa caucus. Any presidential address is a political event and, certainly, the SOTU that kicks off the election year is no exception. One wonders what lines in the speech will be crafted precisely to draw uncomfortable applause from Bush’s potential opponents?

About the Author: James Joyner is the publisher of Outside the Beltway and the managing editor of the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer, Desert Storm vet, and college professor with a PhD in political science from The University of Alabama. He lives just outside the Beltway in Alexandria, Virginia.

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Comments
 

SOTU is usually comes in the last two week in January, on a Tuesday. If he spoke last Tuesday people would have said that he was trying to take the focus away from the run-up to Iowa.

When should he speak?

Furthermore, I don't think Iowa counts for much. Clark's baling on Iowa and he's supposed to be running for second.
Someone needs to explain to Iowans that their caucases give then UN status...irrelevance.

Posted by melvin toast | January 19, 2004 | 11:40 am | Permalink
 

Damn I need more coffee. That was almost unintellegiable.

Posted by melvin toast | January 19, 2004 | 11:41 am | Permalink
 

And if he did it next week it would trample on New Hampshire.

Iowa is very important, though. Gephardt has to do well to go on, for one.

Posted by James Joyner | January 19, 2004 | 11:42 am | Permalink
 

In 2000, the Iowa Caucuses were held on Jan. 24, and Clinton gave his SOTU on Jan. 27. I heard nothing about Clinton diverting attention from Iowa or New Hampshire to make a speech which was supposed to help Gore form an agenda...

Posted by mark | January 19, 2004 | 01:12 pm | Permalink
 

The State of the Union is required by the Constitution and has to happen soon, so the fact that it is the day after the caucus probably IS an accident.

Then again, everything is a conspiracy to Kevin.

Posted by Director Mitch | January 19, 2004 | 04:42 pm | Permalink
 

DM: The president is required to report on SOTU to the congress, not to give an actual speech. Indeed, most presidents didn't. Of late,it has been traditional to do it in January, though, so the choices are limited.

Posted by James Joyner | January 19, 2004 | 04:55 pm | Permalink
 

DM: The president is required to report on SOTU to the congress, not to give an actual speech. Indeed, most presidents didn't. Of late,it has been traditional to do it in January, though, so the choices are limited.

---

Posted by James Joyner | January 19, 2004 | 04:55 pm | Permalink
 

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