Even a little humility is better than none at all. My Scrawl today deals with Wesley Clark and his decision to base U.S. foreign policy on the perfidy of the EU.

http://www.gabeposey.com/thescrawl.htm

This actually gets complicated quickly. The Democrats are fighting two things: low expectations for GW and the sense that his re-election is inevitable. They need to raise expectations of GW personally, while reiterating the fact that he's failed. I don't think they're going to have any luck raising expectations, so they should pound the failures and tie them to the entire Bush operation. The point of raising their hands would have been to say: the American people are smart; they understand that although GW is a likable guy, his people are going off in a million directions and have bungled every major policy area--of course he's beatable.

Convinving one's own side that it can win is important, and can be done in fundraisers and party events. But as a public matter, I'd say that it's going to be an uphill fight because Bush is popular and he's a wartime president. And then run against his weaknesses.

Part of the problem with the thesis is that it is going to be difficult for the Dem's to convince the general public, and especially the swing voters, that Bush is a failure economically if the Dow hits 10k and stays in the neigborhood, if GDP continues to grow and if there is even modest job growth. All of which are reasonable possibilities.

I LOVE getting beaten by slugs. :)

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