At FreeRepublic.com, that is basically the only complaint about him. You certainly can't say "I don't like him because he wants to legalize marijuana." Nobody cares about that one way or the other.

I would have no interest in Paul if I felt the US was still the freest country on Earth. But there are new laws that actively interfere with important parts of our lives. The entire social process from saying hello to someone (IMBRA law) through marriage and divorce (VAWA) and beyond are now more regulated than ever thanks to Bush/McCain/Clinton.

Ron Paul is just very, very bad at explaining to people, using specifics, how they have lost important rights. He keeps going back to how the war on terror "is costing us too much money".

I can't stand any of the candidates in either party, but here are predictions from two guys I trust, James Joyner and Michael Bates, and Michael has provided a link to check the results....

I wish that Ron Paul were pro-war enough to be OK with the hawk crowd. It is outrageous how this one theme is the main reason why he is not taken seriously by the other 90% of Republicans.

Seriously? Of all his policy ideas, his stance on the war is probably the least important reason why people don't support him.

11:13 AM: Stephen Green is liveblogging all day too. 10:55 AM: James Joyner's predictions: Barring some major surprises, John McCain will end the night as the prohibitive favorite for the nomination. Mitt Romney has closed the gap in California to...

Alaska will be Romney with Paul second. Again, way off.

Finally, the only real math is whether McCain can get to 1191 by June 3rd. If Romney, Huckleberry and Paul can combine to stop this, we go to a brokered convention.

At a brokered convention, Americans would have had 8 more months to understand Ron Paul's message and Ron Paul may have made his message more palatable (the best way to make his anti-war stance irrelevant is to ask a war hawk if they would still be pro-war if Hillary were COC).

Otherwise, Ron Paul takes his 10% following and goes 3rd party and destroys the Republican Party in November (including Congressional seats not being sought by defenders of the Constitution).

I wish that Ron Paul were pro-war enough to be OK with the hawk crowd. It is outrageous how this one theme is the main reason why he is not taken seriously by the other 90% of Republicans.

In any case, delegate counts notwithstanding, Obama may need to win a few more states than you give him to pull a good spin out of the day. Maybe AL, KS, ND, ID, UT and AK are possibilities for him.

American Samoa Caucus (9 delegates): Clinton

Dude, I was with you until I saw this---

Sure, I can see your reasoning since Gov. Togiola T.A. Tulafono endorsed Hillzilla.

But--Obama has secured the endorsement of Congressman Eni H. Faleomavaega.

Given Faleomavaega's backing and the whole Hawaii connection, I think Obama is going to take Samoa pretty easily.

Well James, at least you admitted they were wild guesses ;)

About all you can do without data. The pollsters have ignored most of the smaller states being contested today.

There was plenty of polling on all the previous races and most of them were quite accurate.

Well, it’s finally upon us, and I’m going to be rather busy today following all of this stuff. I…
Popularity: unranked [?]......

Why does everyone and their polls think that Alabama Democrats are so different from Georgia and South Carolina?

Alabama's whiter, for one thing. But if I were predicting without the benefit of polls, I'd nonetheless put it in the Obama column.

If McCain wins all of those states and if CA and MA are proportional, why would he *only* get 65% of the delegates? Seems like it should be more but I haven't done the math.

Why does everyone and their polls think that Alabama Democrats are so different from Georgia and South Carolina? Obama crushed Hillary in SC, and would still have beaten her if every Edwards voter voted for her, which, despite their one notable similarity, I find unlikely. I am not arguing, just asking. I guess we will know for sure soon enough.