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	<title>Comments on: Surge Based on Faulty Premise?</title>
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	<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/</link>
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		<title>By: Thomas P.M. Barnett :: Weblog</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/comment-page-1/#comment-109695</link>
		<dc:creator>Thomas P.M. Barnett :: Weblog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jan 2007 01:36:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/01/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/#comment-109695</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Tom around the web...&lt;/strong&gt;

+ Wilsonizer is reading PNM on Hugh&#039;s recommendation. + tdaxp toasts the blogosphere and links Jimmy Carter&#039;s New Book, Israeli nationalism v. Globalism, and Another spiral development attempt on the Carter book controversy. + gringoman, a frequent c...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Tom around the web...</strong></p>
<p>+ Wilsonizer is reading PNM on Hugh's recommendation. + tdaxp toasts the blogosphere and links Jimmy Carter's New Book, Israeli nationalism v. Globalism, and Another spiral development attempt on the Carter book controversy. + gringoman, a frequent c...</p>
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		<title>By: anjin-san</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/comment-page-1/#comment-109354</link>
		<dc:creator>anjin-san</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jan 2007 19:36:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/01/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/#comment-109354</guid>
		<description>Why is his outlook &#039;incredibly pessimistic&#039; Given the administrations track record of failure in Iraq, I think pessimism makes perfect sense. We are being led by people who don&#039;t know what they are dong.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why is his outlook 'incredibly pessimistic' Given the administrations track record of failure in Iraq, I think pessimism makes perfect sense. We are being led by people who don't know what they are dong.</p>
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		<title>By: Unpartisan.com Political News and Blog Aggregator</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/comment-page-1/#comment-109344</link>
		<dc:creator>Unpartisan.com Political News and Blog Aggregator</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jan 2007 17:50:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/01/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/#comment-109344</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Video: Bush admits mistakes, pushes Iraq plan...&lt;/strong&gt;

Jan. 11: After admitting in his Wednesday night address that he made mistakes in Iraq, President Bus...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Video: Bush admits mistakes, pushes Iraq plan...</strong></p>
<p>Jan. 11: After admitting in his Wednesday night address that he made mistakes in Iraq, President Bus...</p>
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		<title>By: Anderson</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/comment-page-1/#comment-109335</link>
		<dc:creator>Anderson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jan 2007 17:14:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/01/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/#comment-109335</guid>
		<description>Typo in your title, JJ:

&quot;Surge Based on Faulty President.&quot;

Fixed!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Typo in your title, JJ:</p>
<p>"Surge Based on Faulty President."</p>
<p>Fixed!</p>
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		<title>By: Rick DeMent</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/comment-page-1/#comment-109327</link>
		<dc:creator>Rick DeMent</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jan 2007 16:45:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/01/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/#comment-109327</guid>
		<description>&lt;em&gt;It’s not inconceivable, though, that decisive action could change this, though.&lt;/em&gt;

Conceivable, just not all that likely.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>It&rsquo;s not inconceivable, though, that decisive action could change this, though.</em></p>
<p>Conceivable, just not all that likely.</p>
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		<title>By: Dave Schuler</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/comment-page-1/#comment-109319</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave Schuler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jan 2007 16:11:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/01/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/#comment-109319</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;
The reason Maliki’s government is “dependent for its future on Shiite death squads” is the lack of security, not some deep-seated cultural imperative. In a state of anarchy, people pick sides.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
I&#039;m not sure that&#039;s right, James.  I think that Maliki&#039;s promises to crack down on militias are somewhat like a leader of the Crips promising to crack down on gangs.  He may be sincere and his statement may be true but it won&#039;t bring an end to gang warfare.

Similarly, Maliki is a creature of the militias.  Will he crack down on his own?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>
The reason Maliki&rsquo;s government is “dependent for its future on Shiite death squads” is the lack of security, not some deep-seated cultural imperative. In a state of anarchy, people pick sides.</p></blockquote>
<p>I'm not sure that's right, James.  I think that Maliki's promises to crack down on militias are somewhat like a leader of the Crips promising to crack down on gangs.  He may be sincere and his statement may be true but it won't bring an end to gang warfare.</p>
<p>Similarly, Maliki is a creature of the militias.  Will he crack down on his own?</p>
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		<title>By: legion</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/comment-page-1/#comment-109315</link>
		<dc:creator>legion</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jan 2007 15:42:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/01/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/#comment-109315</guid>
		<description>Disturbingly, I find myself agreeing with Sullivan. Every time some militia types brazenly walk out and kidnap people in broad daylight, it underlines the fact that the nominal Iraqi gov&#039;t just doesn&#039;t run the place. But the administration&#039;s refusal to admit that there&#039;s a civil war going on there forces them to also be unable to acknowledge the fact that the gov&#039;t we built just isn&#039;t functioning either.

Remember when the USSR collapsed? I recall reading an article, it may have been in Foreign Affairs, about what had happened after the fall of the central gov&#039;t - with no real authority there was not, for example, a credible police force. With no way to enforce or protect property rights, organized crime became the de facto gov&#039;t in many parts of Russia. I think we&#039;re seeing similar things in Iraq...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Disturbingly, I find myself agreeing with Sullivan. Every time some militia types brazenly walk out and kidnap people in broad daylight, it underlines the fact that the nominal Iraqi gov't just doesn't run the place. But the administration's refusal to admit that there's a civil war going on there forces them to also be unable to acknowledge the fact that the gov't we built just isn't functioning either.</p>
<p>Remember when the USSR collapsed? I recall reading an article, it may have been in Foreign Affairs, about what had happened after the fall of the central gov't - with no real authority there was not, for example, a credible police force. With no way to enforce or protect property rights, organized crime became the de facto gov't in many parts of Russia. I think we're seeing similar things in Iraq...</p>
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		<title>By: The Glittering Eye</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/comment-page-1/#comment-109312</link>
		<dc:creator>The Glittering Eye</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jan 2007 15:26:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/01/surge_based_on_faulty_premise/#comment-109312</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Running out the clock...&lt;/strong&gt;

My wife and I listened to the President&#8217;s speech on Iraq as we returned from puppy training last night.  The full text of the speech is here.  There&#8217;s a slideshow version of the Iraq Strategy Review .  I think the Washington Post&#8217;s su...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Running out the clock...</strong></p>
<p>My wife and I listened to the President&#8217;s speech on Iraq as we returned from puppy training last night.  The full text of the speech is here.  There&#8217;s a slideshow version of the Iraq Strategy Review .  I think the Washington Post&#8217;s su...</p>
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