Early Voting Breakdowns Good For Obama
Marc Ambinder breaks down the early voting numbers, and things aren't looking good for McCain.Gallup and Pew data show that Democrats are leading in the early vote. The equally reliable Annenberg National Election Survey's data shows that, across the country, Democrats are tied with Republicans in the early vote. Obviously, early voting matters by state only, but these datums are ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on October 30, 2008 09:06
McCain Pollster: Race Too Close to Call
Bill McInturff, John McCain's chief pollster, released a memo last night saying the campaign has made "significant progress" in the last week and that "All signs say we are headed to an election that may easily be too close to call by next Tuesday." Disclaimer up front: As I've noted numerous times before, my wife is Chief Operating Officer of McInturff's ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on October 29, 2008 08:33
Obama Buys 30 Minute Prime Time Spots
Barack Obama, flush with cash, is buying 30 minute spots -- so far on ABC and NBC -- that will air on the anniversary of Black Tuesday. James Hibberd and Paul J. Gough: The Obama campaign is producing a nationwide pitch to voters that will air on at least two broadcast networks. The ad will run Wednesday, Oct. 29, at 8 ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on October 10, 2008 13:08
McCain and Obama Tied in Battleground States
Barack Obama is leading John McCain in virtually every major national survey taken in the past week, including a whopping 9 point lead in the latest ABC-Washington Post poll. In the eight polls being averaged at RealClearPolitics, Obama leads in all but the Battleground Tracking poll (McCain +2) and by a combined mean of 3.7 points. Strangely, however, there has been ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on September 24, 2008 14:51
Election Day Mess
We could well be in for our third controversial presidential election in a row, Mary Pat Flaherty reports in a front page story in today's WaPo. Faced with a surge in voter registrations leading up to Nov. 4, election officials across the country are bracing for long lines, equipment failures and confusion over polling procedures that could cost thousands the chance ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on September 18, 2008 08:15
McCain Takes the Lead?
John McCain has taken the lead for the first time in the RealClearPolitics Electoral College projection, with a 274 to 264 margin, when tossups are included. (Barack Obama's still up 228 to 178 in states with solid margins.) Now, this is one projection. Electoral-Vote.com still has Virginia tied and therefore has the race at Obama 264, McCain 261. Even in the ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on August 20, 2008 08:18
Obama and McCain Polls: Dead Heat Going into Conventions
I saw the headline "Poll Finds Little Support for Obama" on memeorandum and, of course, clicked out of curiousity. It turns out to have been a poll in Oklahoma, where John McCain has a comfortable 56-24 lead. That's not exactly surprising. If it was even close in Oklahoma, we'd be looking at an absolute rout. What's more interesting, though, ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on August 4, 2008 09:08
