Election Prediction: Clinton Defeats Romney

First, a caveat: like Steve, I wonder if this prediction process is something of a fool's errand. Political scientists have some pretty good theories for predicting individual and aggregate voting behavior in general elections, particularly for the presidency, but we have nothing that does much with the primary process, as it's very sui generis and really a recent ...

Nader Ponders Run, Calls Clinton ‘Coward’

Ralph Nader may make yet another run for the presidency in 2008, Roger Simon reports. Ralph Nader says he is seriously considering running for president in 2008 because he foresees another Tweedledum-Tweedledee election that offers little real choice to voters. "You know the two parties are still converging -- they don't even debate the military budget anymore," Nader said in ...

Caption Contest Winners

The Everything's Bigger in Texas Edition OTB Caption ContestTM is now over. (AFP/Mehdi Fedouach) The Winners: First: The Man - Eat More Humans Second: LJD - Speak softly, and carry a big c-ck. Third(tie): Scott_T - Hello Butterball Help Line? So how many hours per pound do I cook a 1000-lb turkey? Third(tie): charles austin - Bob soon learned ...

Is There Time for the GOP to Recover from Foley Scandal?

Mickey Kaus thinks that, in today's climate, the fact that the Foley sex scandal has broken four weeks before the election is good news for the GOP: The Feiler Faster Thesis is the Republicans' friend at this point. [...] There's also the Densepack Theory--the anti-GOP media have launched so many damaging GOP stories--see Josh Marshall's list-- that they are all ...

Missouri Senate Nominee McCaskill: Bush Let NOLA Blacks Die

Jim Addison is highlighting a report by blogger Antonio French that Claire McCaskill, the Democratic challenger for Jim Talent's Missouri Senate seat, went all Kanye West at a public meeting. In a spirited voice, she told them that she would do everything she could to make clear to every Democratic voter that "George Bush has no better friend than Jim Talent." McCaskill ...

Double Standards?

Former Atlanta mayor and U.N. ambassador Andrew Young has landed in hot water after making racist comments in an interview with a Los Angeles newspaper: In an interview published in Thursday's Los Angeles Sentinel, Young was asked to comment on whether he is concerned that Wal-Mart causes mom-and-pop stores to close. "Well, I think they should; they ran the 'mom and pop' ...

McKinney to File Election Challenge

Despite losing by an 18 percent (12,000 vote) margin, Cynthia McKinney wants a recount.

Lieberman + McKinney + Schwarz Defeats = Anti-Incumbent?

WaPo's Jonathan Weisman sees a trend: In the shadow of the Democratic Senate primary in Connecticut, angry voters in three states showed their discontent last night by unseating two incumbents and choosing a candidate who campaigned against his primary opponent's bipartisan past. The defeat of Georgia's outspoken Rep. Cynthia McKinney (D) and Michigan moderate Rep. John J.H. "Joe" Schwarz ...

Lieberman vs. Lamont: Liveblogging The Primary

7:45: The polls are set to close in about 15 minutes here in CT but the general consensus is that it's going to be a while until the results are known. In the meantime, I'll be updating this post with all the info I can throw your way and probably some video highlights (or lowlights) from the cable news ...

DC Grand Jury Refuses to Indict McKinney

A D.C. grand jury today refused to indict Rep. Cynthia McKinney for her assault on a Capitol Police officer. A District of Columbia grand jury has declined to return an indictment against U.S. Rep. Cynthia McKinney, D-Georgia, accused of assaulting Capitol Police Officer Paul McKenna in an April altercation. An incident report filed last month by the Capitol Police said McKenna ...