Obama Electoral Lead Widens as National Lead Shrinks
Radley Balko notes a "strange dichotomy" in the election polls: Obama's lead in the national head-to-head polls is narrowing at the same time his Electoral College numbers based on state-by-state polls is widening. Sure enough, that's the case. Here's the RealClearPolitics snapshot: Here's the current Electoral College map from electoralvote.com, which has the race at Obama 320 - McCain 204 - ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on July 15, 2008 08:56
Jesse Jackson and Barack Obama’s Cohones
Jesse Jackson's statement that Barack Obama's "talking down to black people" makes him so angry that he "wants to cut his nuts out" has caused quite the stir. Charles Hurt of the NY Post has the most concise report: In a vulgar tirade caught on tape by Fox News, the Rev. Jesse Jackson said he wanted to "cut his [Barack Obama's] nuts ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on July 10, 2008 07:14
Obama, the South, and the Black Vote
Thomas Schaller, the author of Whistling Past Dixie: How Democrats Can Win Without the South, argues that the notion that Barack Obama has a good chance of winning Southern states because he'll energize black turnout is based on fallacious reasoning. The first myth is that African-American turnout in the South is low. Black voters are actually well represented in the Southern ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on July 1, 2008 13:37
Appalachian Election?
Steve Tuttle takes to the pages of Newsweek to proclaim the ascendency of Appalachia as the decider of the next president. "Hick." "Hillbilly." "Redneck." "Inbred." "Cracker." "Ridge Runner." I heard and self-effacingly used them all when I left the mountains of Appalachia to attend college in the great metropolis of Williamsburg, Va., in the '80s. I was mercilessly ribbed as a ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on June 30, 2008 09:20
Millionaire Penalty Struck Down by Supreme Court
McCain-Feingold, the signature legislation of the presumptive Republican nominee for president, took another blow yesterday as the Supreme Court struck down the so-called "Millionaire's Amendment" in yet another 5-4 decision. “Supporters of reasonable campaign finance regulation are now zero for three in the Roberts court,” said Richard L. Hasen, a professor at Loyola Law School in Los Angeles. “This is a ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on June 27, 2008 07:46
Obama Has Huge Lead in Another Poll
Barack Obama has a 12-point lead in the latest Bloomberg/LAT poll, giving those of us who thought the 15-point lead in last week's Newsweek poll was an outlier some pause. In a two-man race between the major-party candidates, registered voters chose Obama over McCain by 49% to 37% in the national poll, conducted Thursday through Monday. On a four-man ballot that ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on June 25, 2008 07:27
Obama 317, McCain 194
If the election were held today, Barack Obama would cruise to victory with 317 Electoral Votes to John McCain's 194, according to projections tabulated by Electoral-Vote.com. Florida, with its 27 electors, is too close to call. Again. Compared to 2004, Obama would pick up Colorado, Iowa, Missouri, New Mexico, Ohio, and Virginia while McCain would pick up no states that ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on June 22, 2008 10:17
Obama Has 15 Point Lead in Newsweek Poll
A Newsweek poll of registered voters shows Barack Obama with a whopping 15-point lead over John McCain, 51 to 36. Newsweek's Michael Hirsh is stoked. Barack finally has his bounce. For weeks many political experts and pollsters have been wondering why the race between Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain had stayed so tight, even after the Illinois senator ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on June 21, 2008 08:38
McCain Cuts Taxes More, Obama Cuts More Taxes
Megan Cerpentier observes that, "despite the stereotype that my taxes should go up under a Democratic tax plan and down under a Republican, it seems that Obama's tax plan is most likely to lower my tax bills and McCain's plan will do little or nothing at all for me." This, because Obama proposes giving self-employed Megan a "Making ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on June 17, 2008 13:06
Ireland Rejects Treaty of Lisbon
It's received precious little notice here in the States but Irish voters have rejected the Treaty of Lisbon, the EU's latest move towards reform and greater consolidation of power in Brussels: DUBLIN, Ireland - Ireland's voters have rejected the European Union reform treaty, a blueprint for modernizing the 27-nation bloc that cannot become law without Irish approval, electoral officials said Friday. In ...Posted in Outside The Beltway | OTB on June 13, 2008 15:56
