TCS Daily – Risk-Terrorism Analysis
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James Joyner | Monday, August 21, 2006 |
My latest for TCS Daily, “Risk-Terrorism Analysis,” has posted. It’s a response to a recent piece by Reason science correspondent Ron Bailey and a general line of reasoning that contends we are overreacting to terrorism given the statistical odds of dying in an attack.
Unlike being struck by lightning or a meteor, terrorism and other murders are variable human actions, not random events. Taking reasonable proactive measures such as training and deploying police officers, locking one’s doors, and making prudent choices about the situations one places oneself in markedly lower the odds of bad things happening. Even though few planes are hijacked, it probably still makes sense to put secure doors on cockpits and ensure that passengers do not bring dynamite on board. Not only does doing these things make specific plane trips somewhat safer but doing so systematically makes hijacking less attractive as a terrorist endeavor.
Much more at the link.
About the Author: James Joyner is the publisher of Outside the Beltway and the managing editor of the Atlantic Council. He's a former Army officer, Desert Storm vet, and college professor with a PhD in political science from The University of Alabama. He lives just outside the Beltway in Alexandria, Virginia with his wife and infant daughter.
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From a public policy standpoint, however, I'm not sure what to make of Bailey's analysis.
Well, you seem to be missing all the bed wetting going on then. And you seem to have missed the fact that we went to war with Iraq over much the same bed wetting. And lord knows there was enough bed wetting and screaming about those who's bed was not wet over this last bit in London.
BTW, I'm staying in London and just flew into the UK this morning, so I'm well aware of how wet the bed is and how ludicrous it all is.
Still, you should read this if you haven't. I found it quite instructive as to the relative incontinence. And if you don't understand how much political hay has been generated from the fear this plot has caused, then perhaps you're not looking beyond your blinders...
It's not just policy. It's politics.
Hell, Lieberman used the blasted plot as a slam against Lamont. Cheney used it to tar all democrats... It's not just about whether we have appropriate doors on cockpits...
I guess all those people who own buildings that put up lightening rods are just buying into the political hype and demonizing of lightening.
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