As for Edwards, his message of two Americas will always ensure that at least half the voter will reject him.

As a good republican, Patrick T has avoided the meat in Edwards message to the country. His divide is not between the poor and the rich, its between the middle and working class and the super rich, and not even Bush would try to argue that that's a fifty fifty split.

I still don't know what in the hell Thompson stands for. I get tired just looking at the guy.

However, I doubt it's possible any more (if it ever was) to stumble into the presidency. Thompson's best shot at the office is to become vice-president to a victorious but ill-fated Republican.

Fred's trajectory would be "peaked on his announcement day

Agreed! What I meant (but failed to communicate) is that Thompson consistently remains in a 2nd or close 3rd place behind the leaders. While they continue to change positions relative to each other, Thompson stays in the same place, just outside of the fray. When the Three Stooges finally crash and burn, he will be right where he needs to be.

As for Edwards, his message of two Americas will always ensure that at least half the voter will reject him. He couldn't beat Tancredo in an election. And don't tell me about polls, I remember exit polls that had John Kerry winning the last election in a landslide.

Actually patrick, if you look at those nifty little charts that map out the polls, like at RealClear, you would have to conclude that the best way to characterize Fred's trajectory would be "peaked on his announcement day, then continuous downhill from there".

"And in a Thompson - Edwards election, is there any real contest?"

No, not really. The latest consensus of that head-to-head has Edwards up 11.

(Full disclosure: I support Fred Thompson). Thompson is criticized for entering the race too late, he is critcized for not campaigning hard enough (i.e. he is lazy), he is criticized for not having any fire in his belly. But what has happened in the past few months?

First it was Guiliani who was the heavily favored candidate. But Romney gave him a good run for his money and looked like he was going to overtake the field when, from out of left field (pun intended), comes Huckabee to trounce them all. In the meantime, Thompson keeps on doing his thing and, while he doesn't seem to be gaining, he isn't losing ground either.

My prediction (which with $1.29 will get you a cup of coffee) is that the voters will get tired of settling for the lesser of evils with the Three Stooges (Guiliani, Romney, & the Huckster) and look to see what else is available. And who will that leave? McCain or Thompson. Factor in "McCain/Feingold" legilation and less than conservative immigration policies and that leaves only Thompson.

I still think Hillary and Obama will spend their energies dragging either other down which will leave Edwards who, like Thompson, is standing quietly on the sidelines. And in a Thompson - Edwards election, is there any real contest?

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