Comments on: UK Has Limited Options in Iran Hostage Standoff

By: josil

josil — Sun, 01 Apr 2007 19:56:46 +0000

re captured brits, recall (1) margaret thatcher and (2) falkland is. historically, the strategy of whining, whether via EU or UN, is not an effective response to an attack.

By: JohnG

JohnG — Sat, 31 Mar 2007 21:02:09 +0000

Detente doesn't work when one side has no desire to ease tensions because it has no fear of worsening relations.

By: M. Murcek

M. Murcek — Sat, 31 Mar 2007 15:34:34 +0000

I keep hearing about the "huge amount" of trade that the EU does with Iran, but nobody ever reports any hard numbers. I have a hard time believing that trade with Iran is make or break for the economies of Germany and France. But maybe I'm just uninformed...

By: Anthony C

Anthony C — Sat, 31 Mar 2007 14:56:59 +0000

I think it's important to emphasise the EU angle. The EU collectively enjoys extremely strong economic leverage over Iran (stronger than the USA). If they instituted a trade freeze and moved to call in Iranian debts it would very rapidly put the screws on the Iranians, as well as sending a strong message for the future. Furthermore, it seems to represent a more or less adequate middle ground between looking helpless and weak and going to war from a position of weakness.

Unfortunately - though predictably - the EU won't play ball. The reports over here in the UK suggest that the FCO and the government have been doing some pretty hardcore lobbying at the ongoing summit in Germany but that the continentals aren't up for it. As things stand we've had expressions of support but not support of a type that actually involves doing anything.

Nothing very new there, mind.

By: Dave Schuler

Dave Schuler — Sat, 31 Mar 2007 14:45:26 +0000

James, you might want to take a look at my recent post here, The Briar Patch. Iran is benefiting directly from the uncertainty caused by this recent crisis they've fomented. It seems to me that this certainly isn't lost on the Chinese, the regime's increasingly important patrons and benefactors. It wouldn't hurt for us to remind the Chinese that, when their most signficant source for oil imports is able to increase prices at will and the Chinese are highly dependent on increasing energy consumption to continue their growth, the Chinese become dependent on the whims of the regime. We should make it obvious to China that regime change in Iran is even more important to them than it is to us. With China on board in the UNSC all things are possible since the Russians probably won't want to stick their necks out as the odd man out by vetoing resolutions against a regime that's more of a threat to them than it is to anybody else. If this current “hostage crisis” goes on much longer I think the Brits should seek a ban on gasoline sales to Iran as long as their service personnel are being held.

By: charles austin

charles austin — Sat, 31 Mar 2007 14:23:21 +0000

The UN lacks the ability to respond aggresively, at least as I understand the meaning of the word. As others have noted, the only country capable of responding is the US. Out of deference to the UK since it is only their soldiers (thus far) held captive, the US appears to be keeping a pretty low profile.

I wonder how Mr. Brown wants to handle his first international incident?

By: DaveD

DaveD — Sat, 31 Mar 2007 13:56:23 +0000

My guess is the United Nations will respond aggressively only when it looks like the US and Britain (maybe Australia) begin to show indications of getting ready to "solve" this problem on their own.

By: My Left Wing :: The Fox Democrats: "Scary liberals, losers or enablers"?

My Left Wing :: The Fox Democrats: "Scary liberals, losers or enablers"? — Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000

: Ed sees the effort to relocate Arabs from Kirkuk as a critical test for the Maliki administration. RedState: streiff is concerned about the more restrictive British rules of engagement that may have enabled the hostage seizure. Outside The Beltway: James Joyner finds few good options for Britain to respond to the hostage crisis. The Volokh Conspiracy: Ilya Somin doesn't see the welfare state ending now that it has become profitable for special interests.

By: » OTB News

» OTB News — Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000

Riots at British Embassy in Teheran Technology Saves World, Poor Suffer Most American Mind Takes the Short Bus to Iowa 17 Million Fred Thompson and Equal Time Law OTB Caption JamTM Naked Chocolate Jesus Exhibit Canceled UK Has Limited Options in Iran Hostage Standoff Beltway Traffic Jam First Mate Doing Well After Kidney Transplant [IMG OTB Sports] Miguel Cabrera - Hall of Fame Tim Hardaway to do ESPN special Michael Phelps Ties Mark Spitz’ 7 Gold Medals Going for the Slam- Se Ri Pak tied for the lead at the