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	<title>Comments on: Virginia Continues Blue Trend</title>
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		<title>By: James Joyner</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-224025</link>
		<dc:creator>James Joyner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2007 15:08:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/11/virginia_continues_blue_trend/#comment-224025</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Warner is a good guy, but he isn&#039;t from the South, he is from NoVA which is Mid-Atlantic like Maryland, Philly, etc. Yes, he did fairly well with southern VA voters but he&#039;s no Bill Clinton or Jimmy Carter to carry lots of other states in the actual south, especially from the #2 spot, unless it is a total landslide nationally.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I agree that the power of VPs to bring along states, let alone regions, is way oversold.  Still, Warner knows how to do the family values rap well and comes across as reasonable and, more importantly, competent.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Warner is a good guy, but he isn't from the South, he is from NoVA which is Mid-Atlantic like Maryland, Philly, etc. Yes, he did fairly well with southern VA voters but he's no Bill Clinton or Jimmy Carter to carry lots of other states in the actual south, especially from the #2 spot, unless it is a total landslide nationally.</p></blockquote>
<p>I agree that the power of VPs to bring along states, let alone regions, is way oversold.  Still, Warner knows how to do the family values rap well and comes across as reasonable and, more importantly, competent.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-224010</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2007 14:57:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/11/virginia_continues_blue_trend/#comment-224010</guid>
		<description>Warner is a good guy, but he isn&#039;t from the South, he is from NoVA which is Mid-Atlantic like Maryland, Philly, etc.  Yes, he did fairly well with southern VA voters but he&#039;s no Bill Clinton or Jimmy Carter to carry lots of other states in the actual south, especially from the #2 spot, unless it is a total landslide nationally.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Warner is a good guy, but he isn't from the South, he is from NoVA which is Mid-Atlantic like Maryland, Philly, etc.  Yes, he did fairly well with southern VA voters but he's no Bill Clinton or Jimmy Carter to carry lots of other states in the actual south, especially from the #2 spot, unless it is a total landslide nationally.</p>
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		<title>By: JustADude</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-221439</link>
		<dc:creator>JustADude</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Nov 2007 05:53:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/11/virginia_continues_blue_trend/#comment-221439</guid>
		<description>Something that could affect the Warner Senate race in a big way is from looking a lot at the left side politics sites I am starting to see a movement growing suggesting that Warner could be tapped for VP under a Dem run for the White House to give it some southern flavor to spike into the red leanings of the south.

Like it or not that does have a bit of logic to their line of thinking.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Something that could affect the Warner Senate race in a big way is from looking a lot at the left side politics sites I am starting to see a movement growing suggesting that Warner could be tapped for VP under a Dem run for the White House to give it some southern flavor to spike into the red leanings of the south.</p>
<p>Like it or not that does have a bit of logic to their line of thinking.</p>
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		<title>By: Fairfax Moderate</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-221359</link>
		<dc:creator>Fairfax Moderate</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Nov 2007 04:59:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/11/virginia_continues_blue_trend/#comment-221359</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Virginia Democrats aren&#039;t national Democrats but, yes, the state has been competitive for both parties for quite some time at the state and local level.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

My point, especially about Kerry, is that Northern Virginia voters do appear to be on their way to becoming national Democrats.  If these trends continue that has electoral college implications down the road.

Also, I definitely agree with M1EK&#039;s comment.  Very big difference.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Virginia Democrats aren't national Democrats but, yes, the state has been competitive for both parties for quite some time at the state and local level.</p></blockquote>
<p>My point, especially about Kerry, is that Northern Virginia voters do appear to be on their way to becoming national Democrats.  If these trends continue that has electoral college implications down the road.</p>
<p>Also, I definitely agree with M1EK's comment.  Very big difference.</p>
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		<title>By: M1EK</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-220538</link>
		<dc:creator>M1EK</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Nov 2007 20:16:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/11/virginia_continues_blue_trend/#comment-220538</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;But the GOP threw off its country club roots with Reagan in 1980, not with Bush in 2004.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

No, in 1980 they grew FROM those roots to encompass more of the electorate; but in 2000-2008, Bush has severed those roots. Big difference. The country club guys liked Reagan (and I could live with him again, that&#039;s for sure).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>But the GOP threw off its country club roots with Reagan in 1980, not with Bush in 2004.</p></blockquote>
<p>No, in 1980 they grew FROM those roots to encompass more of the electorate; but in 2000-2008, Bush has severed those roots. Big difference. The country club guys liked Reagan (and I could live with him again, that's for sure).</p>
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		<title>By: James Joyner</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-220518</link>
		<dc:creator>James Joyner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Nov 2007 20:02:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/11/virginia_continues_blue_trend/#comment-220518</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;I think that says more about Bush and the remaking of the Republican party than it does about traffic.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

But the GOP threw off its country club roots with Reagan in 1980, not with Bush in 2004.

&lt;blockquote&gt; Some states are red in national elections, but elect Democratic governors and sometimes senators.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

That&#039;s a fair point.  Virginia Democrats aren&#039;t national Democrats but, yes, the state has been competitive for both parties for quite some time at the state and local level.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I think that says more about Bush and the remaking of the Republican party than it does about traffic.</p></blockquote>
<p>But the GOP threw off its country club roots with Reagan in 1980, not with Bush in 2004.</p>
<blockquote><p> Some states are red in national elections, but elect Democratic governors and sometimes senators.</p></blockquote>
<p>That's a fair point.  Virginia Democrats aren't national Democrats but, yes, the state has been competitive for both parties for quite some time at the state and local level.</p>
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		<title>By: The Florida Masochist</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-220475</link>
		<dc:creator>The Florida Masochist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Nov 2007 19:26:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/11/virginia_continues_blue_trend/#comment-220475</guid>
		<description>Virginia has had alot of Democratic elected state officials since 64. Robb, Wilder, Bailes were all Governor. Robb was also senator. The state has has had Democratic governors 16 out of 20 years from 1982 to 2001. Put aside the Warner held Senate seat, Democrats have held the other seat for as long as the GOP beween 1983-2006. Two terms each. 

Some states are red in national elections, but elect Democratic governors  and sometimes senators.

Bill</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Virginia has had alot of Democratic elected state officials since 64. Robb, Wilder, Bailes were all Governor. Robb was also senator. The state has has had Democratic governors 16 out of 20 years from 1982 to 2001. Put aside the Warner held Senate seat, Democrats have held the other seat for as long as the GOP beween 1983-2006. Two terms each. </p>
<p>Some states are red in national elections, but elect Democratic governors  and sometimes senators.</p>
<p>Bill</p>
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		<title>By: Fairfax Moderate</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-220462</link>
		<dc:creator>Fairfax Moderate</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Nov 2007 19:15:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/11/virginia_continues_blue_trend/#comment-220462</guid>
		<description>James, you are certainly right that &quot;the trend is a function of the explosive growth of Northern Virginia.&quot;  But it isn&#039;t like Fairfax (by far the largest jurisdiction with 1 million plus people) has always leaned Democrat and now just represents a bigger percentage of the vote.  Fairfax used to be reliably Republican, and it isn&#039;t just the influx of new voters who are changing that.  Long-time residents who voted Republican for years are leaving the party at least temporarily, not so much because they are now more interested in &quot;urban&quot; issues like traffic, but because they feel like the Republican party has left them.  Look for example, at areas like Langley and McLean, close-in suburbs that aren&#039;t growing much because they filled out a long time ago and where traffic isn&#039;t as big of an issue because it isn&#039;t that far to DC.  These are classic fiscal-conservative, socially-liberal areas of people who used to be called Country Club Republicans.  (Fairfax has the highest median household income of any county in the nation, and these are rich by Fairfax standards).  These precincts are now voting Democratic too.  I think that says more about Bush and the remaking of the Republican party than it does about traffic.  And it isn&#039;t just that Fairfax is voting for &quot;moderate&quot; Democrats like Warner and Webb -- John Kerry won the county, the first Democrat to do so since Lyndon Johnson won everywhere.

The same thing has happened in some similar areas, like parts of New Jersey and Connecticut.  I&#039;m guessing Orange and San Diego Counties will head this way too, even more so than they have already.  The Republicans get some of these votes back or more in other more socially conservative parts of the country.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>James, you are certainly right that "the trend is a function of the explosive growth of Northern Virginia."  But it isn't like Fairfax (by far the largest jurisdiction with 1 million plus people) has always leaned Democrat and now just represents a bigger percentage of the vote.  Fairfax used to be reliably Republican, and it isn't just the influx of new voters who are changing that.  Long-time residents who voted Republican for years are leaving the party at least temporarily, not so much because they are now more interested in "urban" issues like traffic, but because they feel like the Republican party has left them.  Look for example, at areas like Langley and McLean, close-in suburbs that aren't growing much because they filled out a long time ago and where traffic isn't as big of an issue because it isn't that far to DC.  These are classic fiscal-conservative, socially-liberal areas of people who used to be called Country Club Republicans.  (Fairfax has the highest median household income of any county in the nation, and these are rich by Fairfax standards).  These precincts are now voting Democratic too.  I think that says more about Bush and the remaking of the Republican party than it does about traffic.  And it isn't just that Fairfax is voting for "moderate" Democrats like Warner and Webb -- John Kerry won the county, the first Democrat to do so since Lyndon Johnson won everywhere.</p>
<p>The same thing has happened in some similar areas, like parts of New Jersey and Connecticut.  I'm guessing Orange and San Diego Counties will head this way too, even more so than they have already.  The Republicans get some of these votes back or more in other more socially conservative parts of the country.</p>
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		<title>By: Triumph</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-220348</link>
		<dc:creator>Triumph</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Nov 2007 17:41:26 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>This is disgusting. 

Virginia is continuing its downward slide into unabashed liberalism that began on that dreadful 10th of April 1865 at Appomattox.

Ever since then, the condition of the great commonwealth of Virginia has deteriorated.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is disgusting. </p>
<p>Virginia is continuing its downward slide into unabashed liberalism that began on that dreadful 10th of April 1865 at Appomattox.</p>
<p>Ever since then, the condition of the great commonwealth of Virginia has deteriorated.</p>
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		<title>By: Dave Schuler</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-220328</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave Schuler</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Nov 2007 17:30:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/11/virginia_continues_blue_trend/#comment-220328</guid>
		<description>If you think it&#039;s Blue now, just wait until 2009.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you think it's Blue now, just wait until 2009.</p>
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		<title>By: yetanotherjohn</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/virginia_continues_blue_trend/comment-page-1/#comment-220326</link>
		<dc:creator>yetanotherjohn</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Nov 2007 17:29:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2007/11/virginia_continues_blue_trend/#comment-220326</guid>
		<description>There is absolutely potential for moderate democrats to win in the south. The question is if the far left of the democrats will allow this or insist on &#039;purity&#039;. 

Lieberman could have taken &quot;red&quot; states, including those in the south, in 2004 with a &quot;fight terrorism but otherwise liberal&quot; agenda. The democrats chose Kerry instead.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is absolutely potential for moderate democrats to win in the south. The question is if the far left of the democrats will allow this or insist on 'purity'. </p>
<p>Lieberman could have taken "red" states, including those in the south, in 2004 with a "fight terrorism but otherwise liberal" agenda. The democrats chose Kerry instead.</p>
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