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	<title>Comments on: Zarqawi and al Qaeda Conceding Defeat in Iraq?</title>
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		<title>By: James Joyner</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79262</link>
		<dc:creator>James Joyner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Apr 2006 17:00:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79262</guid>
		<description>legion: I don&#039;t disagree that our desired end state is a little murky. It&#039;s an occupational hazard of nation building and a prime reason why Realists tend to oppose that enterprise.

Still, I think we have the rough outlines of a desired policy: 1. A democratic government in the true sense of the word, which includes limited government and protections for the rights of the minority. That precludes sharia, to be sure, although not a nod to Islam as the basis for all law.  (Indeed, our own founding docs have plenty of nods to a Creator.) 2. An Iraqi government and security apparatus capable of maintaining a reasonable level of law and order.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>legion: I don't disagree that our desired end state is a little murky. It's an occupational hazard of nation building and a prime reason why Realists tend to oppose that enterprise.</p>
<p>Still, I think we have the rough outlines of a desired policy: 1. A democratic government in the true sense of the word, which includes limited government and protections for the rights of the minority. That precludes sharia, to be sure, although not a nod to Islam as the basis for all law.  (Indeed, our own founding docs have plenty of nods to a Creator.) 2. An Iraqi government and security apparatus capable of maintaining a reasonable level of law and order.</p>
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		<title>By: legion</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79259</link>
		<dc:creator>legion</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Apr 2006 16:54:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79259</guid>
		<description>But &#039;disruption&#039; by itself isn&#039;t a viable goal. Disruption of what? Of the formation of a vaguely-democratic Iraqi gov&#039;t? Or just one that&#039;s friendly to the west?

And for how long? Until we leave? We keep saying we won&#039;t leave until the gov&#039;t is running itself.

I agree with your conclusion about achieving political objectives, but those objectives must first be _defined_, and I don&#039;t think either side has done a good job of that yet. We _say_ we want Iraq to have freedom and a western-style democracy, but in _private_, we hint that it better be pro-US. But they continue to declare Sharia as the basis of law, which throws a big monkey-wrench into that. The various insurgents can&#039;t be against _any_ form of gov&#039;t in Iraq; they just want one that benefits them &amp; their interests, and they&#039;ll keep bombing their fellow muslims (and us) until they get one they like.

Neither side has a firm grasp on what they want Iraq to look like when they&#039;re through, and until that happens, there can be no &#039;dick sucking&#039; :-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>But 'disruption' by itself isn't a viable goal. Disruption of what? Of the formation of a vaguely-democratic Iraqi gov't? Or just one that's friendly to the west?</p>
<p>And for how long? Until we leave? We keep saying we won't leave until the gov't is running itself.</p>
<p>I agree with your conclusion about achieving political objectives, but those objectives must first be _defined_, and I don't think either side has done a good job of that yet. We _say_ we want Iraq to have freedom and a western-style democracy, but in _private_, we hint that it better be pro-US. But they continue to declare Sharia as the basis of law, which throws a big monkey-wrench into that. The various insurgents can't be against _any_ form of gov't in Iraq; they just want one that benefits them &amp; their interests, and they'll keep bombing their fellow muslims (and us) until they get one they like.</p>
<p>Neither side has a firm grasp on what they want Iraq to look like when they're through, and until that happens, there can be no 'dick sucking' :-)</p>
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		<title>By: James Joyner</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79247</link>
		<dc:creator>James Joyner</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Apr 2006 15:30:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79247</guid>
		<description>legion: It&#039;s not as if they were running candidates. Their goal seems to be disruption rather than governance.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>legion: It's not as if they were running candidates. Their goal seems to be disruption rather than governance.</p>
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		<title>By: legion</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79237</link>
		<dc:creator>legion</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Apr 2006 14:33:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79237</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Vines is almost certainly right that the terrorists are discouraged that, despite their success at creating violence, fear, and disruption that the Iraqi people lined up to vote in staggering numbers.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Well, I&#039;m sure the terrorists/insurgents/whatever would be thrilled that people were voting, &lt;em&gt;if they were voting for the right people&lt;/em&gt;. Curiously, this is also the position of the Bush administration. Don&#039;t oversimplify these people&#039;s motivations - they&#039;re not simple 2-dimensional cutouts, frothing at the mouth and waving sticks of dynamite.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Vines is almost certainly right that the terrorists are discouraged that, despite their success at creating violence, fear, and disruption that the Iraqi people lined up to vote in staggering numbers.</p></blockquote>
<p>Well, I'm sure the terrorists/insurgents/whatever would be thrilled that people were voting, <em>if they were voting for the right people</em>. Curiously, this is also the position of the Bush administration. Don't oversimplify these people's motivations - they're not simple 2-dimensional cutouts, frothing at the mouth and waving sticks of dynamite.</p>
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		<title>By: Jim Henley</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79194</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Henley</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Apr 2006 23:45:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79194</guid>
		<description>Shorter McGehee: It&#039;s all good!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Shorter McGehee: It's all good!</p>
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		<title>By: McGehee</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79186</link>
		<dc:creator>McGehee</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Apr 2006 20:47:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79186</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;But Iâ��m curious to see how the â��flypaper strategyâ�� people will react.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

As long as a strategy works, it&#039;s a good one. As soon as it ceases to work effectively, you adopt a new one. That&#039;s -- you should pardon the expression -- &lt;i&gt;reality-based&lt;/i&gt; strategy.

If the bad guys are leaving Iraq, that&#039;s good for Iraq. If they avoid going to other places we might be headed in the GWOT, that simplifies those missions.

If the terrorists come here and start blowing up Americans in America, well, it wasn&#039;t exactly good for them in 2001...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>But Iâ��m curious to see how the â��flypaper strategyâ�� people will react.</p></blockquote>
<p>As long as a strategy works, it's a good one. As soon as it ceases to work effectively, you adopt a new one. That's -- you should pardon the expression -- <i>reality-based</i> strategy.</p>
<p>If the bad guys are leaving Iraq, that's good for Iraq. If they avoid going to other places we might be headed in the GWOT, that simplifies those missions.</p>
<p>If the terrorists come here and start blowing up Americans in America, well, it wasn't exactly good for them in 2001...</p>
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		<title>By: McGehee</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79185</link>
		<dc:creator>McGehee</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Apr 2006 20:42:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79185</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;Didnâ��t Westmoreland say something similar about winning right before the Tet offensive?&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Militarily, Tet was a disaster -- but for the VC, not for us.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Didnâ��t Westmoreland say something similar about winning right before the Tet offensive?</p></blockquote>
<p>Militarily, Tet was a disaster -- but for the VC, not for us.</p>
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		<title>By: Jim Henley</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79165</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Henley</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Apr 2006 14:03:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79165</guid>
		<description>Joyner works blue! I like it! (I wrote about this yesterday, noting the flypaper angle and also the vagueness of Vines&#039; language. That is, he doesn&#039;t even say that Zarko and the Terror Tourists are &lt;em&gt;physically departing Iraq&lt;/em&gt;. It seems, essentially, to be ore Last Throes talk.

Maybe some day it really will be the last throes. And whoever is saying &quot;last throes&quot; right at that moment will look really smart. I don&#039;t think this is that moment.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Joyner works blue! I like it! (I wrote about this yesterday, noting the flypaper angle and also the vagueness of Vines' language. That is, he doesn't even say that Zarko and the Terror Tourists are <em>physically departing Iraq</em>. It seems, essentially, to be ore Last Throes talk.</p>
<p>Maybe some day it really will be the last throes. And whoever is saying "last throes" right at that moment will look really smart. I don't think this is that moment.</p>
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		<title>By: mike</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79159</link>
		<dc:creator>mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Apr 2006 01:38:47 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Didn&#039;t Westmoreland say something similar about winning right before the Tet offensive? I am not sure if I want to believe these politicians, I mean Generals (or is there a difference anymore)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Didn't Westmoreland say something similar about winning right before the Tet offensive? I am not sure if I want to believe these politicians, I mean Generals (or is there a difference anymore)</p>
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		<title>By: Conservative Outpost</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79158</link>
		<dc:creator>Conservative Outpost</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Apr 2006 01:37:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79158</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Saturday Roundup...&lt;/strong&gt;

From &#039;round the sphere this evening... - Stop the ACLU looks at PETA&#039;s Staged Crucifixion at a Cathedral On Good Friday - Michelle Malkin tips us to a great way many people are letting illegal alien advocating politicians know how......</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Saturday Roundup...</strong></p>
<p>From 'round the sphere this evening... - Stop the ACLU looks at PETA's Staged Crucifixion at a Cathedral On Good Friday - Michelle Malkin tips us to a great way many people are letting illegal alien advocating politicians know how......</p>
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		<title>By: Jon Henke</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79145</link>
		<dc:creator>Jon Henke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Apr 2006 17:28:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79145</guid>
		<description>Maybe this is true, maybe it isn&#039;t.  Maybe this is good, maybe it isn&#039;t.   I don&#039;t know.

But I&#039;m curious to see how the &quot;flypaper strategy&quot; people will react.  I mean, if our goal was to attract Al Qaeda to Iraq so we could fight them there -- and achieving that was a &quot;good thing&quot; -- then wouldn&#039;t this be a big setback?  I mean, assuming they actually &lt;em&gt;believed&lt;/em&gt; what they said about the flypaper strategy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Maybe this is true, maybe it isn't.  Maybe this is good, maybe it isn't.   I don't know.</p>
<p>But I'm curious to see how the "flypaper strategy" people will react.  I mean, if our goal was to attract Al Qaeda to Iraq so we could fight them there -- and achieving that was a "good thing" -- then wouldn't this be a big setback?  I mean, assuming they actually <em>believed</em> what they said about the flypaper strategy.</p>
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		<title>By: Mark</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79134</link>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Apr 2006 14:20:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79134</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;they have to be ecstatic that both George W. Bush and Tony Blair are doing poorly in the polls and even minor Coalition leaders like Italyâ��s Silvio Burlesconi have been defeated by their own electorate.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

This is debatable, no? If you believe the war in Iraq is helping the war on terror, then you probably agree. If you think it is hurting, then keeping Bush/Blair in power helps the terrorists.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>they have to be ecstatic that both George W. Bush and Tony Blair are doing poorly in the polls and even minor Coalition leaders like Italyâ��s Silvio Burlesconi have been defeated by their own electorate.</p></blockquote>
<p>This is debatable, no? If you believe the war in Iraq is helping the war on terror, then you probably agree. If you think it is hurting, then keeping Bush/Blair in power helps the terrorists.</p>
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		<title>By: A Blog For All</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-79132</link>
		<dc:creator>A Blog For All</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Apr 2006 14:15:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/2006/04/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/#comment-79132</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;Hoisting the White Flag? Not Quite...&lt;/strong&gt;

While I certainly hope this to be true, we cannot underestimate the durability of the insurgency and the tenacity of al Qaeda to hold on a while longer. If anything, now is the time to redouble efforts to stamp out the insurgency and al Qaeda element.....</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Hoisting the White Flag? Not Quite...</strong></p>
<p>While I certainly hope this to be true, we cannot underestimate the durability of the insurgency and the tenacity of al Qaeda to hold on a while longer. If anything, now is the time to redouble efforts to stamp out the insurgency and al Qaeda element.....</p>
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		<title>By: Where we're bound</title>
		<link>http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/archives/zarqawi_and_al_qaeda_conceding_defeat_in_iraq/comment-page-1/#comment-135731</link>
		<dc:creator>Where we're bound</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 1969 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&lt;!--%kramer-pre%--&gt;Zarqawi and al Qaeda Conceding Defeat in Iraq?&lt;!--%kramer-post%--&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!--%kramer-pre%-->Zarqawi and al Qaeda Conceding Defeat in Iraq?<!--%kramer-post%--></p>
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