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House Lawsuit Against Obama Hits Another Snag

Obama-Boehner-sour-2

At this rate, it’s unlikely the House will file any kind of lawsuit against President Obama until 2015, assuming it ever files anything.

Slipping Support Among Key Groups, And Obama’s Job Approval, Have Democrats Worried

Election 2014

Important numbers in recent polling suggest big problems for Democrats on Tuesday.

The Phony Populism Of Politicians

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Politicians on both sides of the aisle like to tell people they’re just “average Americans,” but they’re lying and the American people seem to have figured out that they’re lying.

Rand Paul’s Foreign Policy Ideas Present An Opportunity For the GOP

Rand Paul Filibuster

Kentucky Senator Rand Paul continues to challenge Republican orthodoxy on foreign policy, and that’s a good thing.

Virginia GOP Senate Candidate Using Redskins Name Controversy In Hail Mary Ad Campaign

Washington Redskins Helmet

Republican Senate candidate Ed Gillespie picked an odd issue on which to start his closing argument to Virginia voters.

Do I Need An ID To Vote? It Depends What State You Live In

Voter ID Required Sign

The Washington Post has this handy chart to tell you if you need identification to vote, and what kind you might need: (click to enlarge)   Given all the press coverage the issue has received, I was somewhat surprised to see that the number of states where identification is a voting requirement is relatively small, […]

Washington State Voters Set To Approve Universal Background Checks For Gun Purchases

Gun Flag

Two gun control initiatives will be on the ballot for voters in Washington State, but its the one that would expand background checks that looks likely to win: Do you want expanded background checks for gun purchases? Do you not want expanded background checks for gun purchases? Those two competing questions will be on the ballot […]

Jimmy Carter To The Right Of Dick Cheney On Same-Sex Marriage?

gaymarriage

Former President Jimmy Carter sounds more like a Republican than a Democrat on same-sex marriage these days: Former President Jimmy Carter said in an interview published Sunday that decisions on same-sex marriage should be left up to the states. “I don’t think that the government ought to ever tell the church to marry people, if […]

Pat Roberts Engages In Gitmo Fearmongering To Win Re-Election

Guantanamo Bay Camp Entrance

Facing a tough re-election battle, Kansas Senator Pat Roberts is engaging in abject fearrmongering.

With One Week To Go, The Midterms Are Looking Good For the GOP

Election 2014

Things are looking good for the GOP to take over the Senate, but there are still several right races that could tip the balance one way or the other.

Reince Priebus And Debbie Wasserman Schultz Prove Why You Should Never Watch Sunday Morning “News” Shows

us-politics

The two major party chairpersons appeared on CNN’s State of the Union and proceeded to act like a bunch of three year old kids fighting on the playground: A CNN “State Of The Union” debate on the midterm elections between Republican National Committee Chair Reince Priebus and Democratic National Committee Chair Rep. Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (D-FL) quickly devolved […]

In Many States, It’s A Midterm Election In Name Only

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In many states, there aren’t really any races at all this year even if both parties have candidates on the ballot.

Mississippi Supreme Court Rules Against Chris McDaniel In Dispute Over GOP Senate Primary

Chris McDaniel

The most bizarre race of 2014 is finally over.

Martha Coakley Seems To Be Blowing Another Big Election In Massachusetts

Election 2014

Back in 2010, Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley was seen as the almost inevitable next Senator from Massachusetts. She was, of course, running to replace the late Senator Ted Kennedy, who had died in the summer of 2009, and she had the support of key members of the Kennedy family and, of course, the top […]

Jeanne Shaheen: No Need To Come Campaign For Me, Mr. President

Election 2014

Jeanne Shaheen isn’t exactly eager for President Obama to come campaign for her: Pushed Thursday night on whether she would want President Barack Obama to campaign with her as she seeks a second term, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) said it doesn’t make sense and Obama is “exactly where he needs to be” — in Washington. […]

Voters Still Not Caring Very Much About The Midterms, And That’s No Surprise

Election 2014

Polls continue to show that most Americans are largely tuning the midterms out.

The Midterm Elections Will Be Over In 13 Days. Or Will They?

Election 2014

There’s at least a 50-50 chance we won’t know who controls the Senate until weeks after Election Day.

Republicans Have Little Incentive To Move Forward On Immigration Reform

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Despite conventional wisdom, there remains little incentive for the GOP to change its position on immigration reform.

Obama’s Diminished Standing Among Women Is Hurting Democrats In The Midterms

Gender Gap Politics

To a large degree, the Democratic Party’s supposed advantage among women voters appears to not exist this year.

Nearly $100 Million Spent On North Carolina Senate Race, And It’s Not Over Yet

North Carolina

The North Carolina Senate race between Senator Kay Hagan and Republican Thom Tillis is expected to break records for the amount of money spent on a single Senate race: From the Koch brothers and Art Pope to George Soros and Michael Bloomberg, wealthy donors are making North Carolina’s U.S. Senate race one of America’s first […]

Maine Yet Again Likely To Elect A Governor Who Most People Didn’t Vote For, And That’s Okay

Maine Governor's Debate

For the ninth time since 1974, the next Governor of Maine will likely be elected with less than 50% of the vote.

Midterm Polling Challenges

us-politics

Sam Wang:  Midterm National Senate Polling Error Is Five Times Larger Than In Presidential Years. Fundamentally, it is about the facts that a) turnout is harder to predict in midterms (and hence polling for likely voters is harder), and b) the general level of interest in midterms is simply lower (often radically lower) than in […]

Republican Ad In Nebraska House Race Brings Up Memories Of Willie Horton

Brad Ashford Nikko Jenkins Ad

Everything old is new again.

Alaska Governor’s Race Slipping From GOP Column

Election 2014

While 2014 is looking like a Republican year, the Alaska Governor’s race seems to be slipping away from Republican control: Things have been looking up in recent months for Alaska Senate nominee Dan Sullivan, whose position against Democratic Sen. Mark Begich has improved since his difficult primary ended. But the state’s other big-name Republican on […]

Rick Scott Delays Florida Governor’s Debate With Temper Tantrum Over Fan

Florida Governors Debate

Yesterday’s debate between Florida Governor Rick Scott and former Florida Governor Charlie Crist almost didn’t happen because, well, Rick Scott was upset about a fan: In one of the weirdest, and most Floridian moments in debate history, Wednesday night’s gubernatorial debate was delayed because Republican Governor Rick Scott refused to take the stage with Democratic challenger […]

Mary Landrieu: Against Medical Marijuana, In Favor Of Keg Stands

Landrieu Keg Stand

During last night’s Louisiana Senate debate, Senator Mary Landrieu came out against legalizing marijuana for medical purposes, while her chief Republican opponent, Congressman Bill Cassidy, who is an M.D., said he favors it: Yet in a surprising moment later in the debate, Cassidy said he would support the legalization of marijuana for medical treatment, while […]

DSCC Pulls Ads For Grimes In Kentucky

Grimes McConnell

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee will not be spending any money for television ads in the final three weeks of the campaign in Kentucky, a move that seems to send a signal about what national Democrats really think about the prospects for Alison Lundergan Grimes: The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has gone dark in Kentucky, […]

White House Won’t Name New Attorney General Until After Election

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The White House has announced that it will not announce a new pick for Attorney General until after the midterm elections: President Obama has decided to wait until after next month’s midterm elections to nominate a replacement for Attorney General Eric H. Holder Jr., White House officials said on Tuesday, effectively ensuring that the choice […]

Noncompetitive House Elections

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My ongoing crusade to spark thought and discussion on the quality of representation in the US Congress.

Texas Attorney General Makes A Particularly Silly Argument Against Same-Sex Marriage

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Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott has made an incredibly weak argument in favor of his state’s ban on same-sex marriage.

Democrats Starting To Worry About Turnout In The Midterms

Election 2014

Democrats are starting to worry that low turnout could turn a good year for the GOP into a very good year.

Federal Judge Strikes Down Texas Voter ID Law

Voter ID Required Sign

A victory for opponents of Voter ID in Texas, but it’s not likely to stand up on appeal.

Alison Lundergan Grimes Really Doesn’t Want To Admit She Voted For Obama

Grimes McConnell

Sometimes, being evasive in answering a question just makes a politician look silly. This is one of those times.

Supreme Court Blocks Wisconsin Voter ID Law, But Will Likely Uphold It In The End

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Opponents of Voter ID laws should not get too excited over the fact that the Supreme Court has stayed Wisconsin’s law from going into effect for now.

Wendy Davis’s Campaign Takes The Low Road

Wendy Davis Ad

The nastiest campaign ad of the 2014 cycle is here, and Wendy Davis should be ashamed of it.

A Cautionary Note About Polling Between Now And Election Day

Election 2014

Individual polls are likely to be volatile, so don’t pay too much attention to them.

Obama May Punt On Executive Action On Immigration, Even After The Election

Obama Immigration Protesters

Will the President back track on his promise of further action on immigration if the GOP wins the Senate?

A Surprise Brewing In South Dakota’s Senate Race?

Election 2014

Is former Senator Larry Pressler surging in his Independent bid to win back his old Senate seat?

About That Poll Showing Alison Lundergan Grimes Leading Mitch McConnell

Grimes McConnell

Could Alison Lundergran Grimes be surging? Maybe, but we’ll need more evidence to be sure.

Federal Appeals Court Upholds Wisconsin Voter ID Law

Voter ID Required Sign

An unsurprising decision from the Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals.

PoliSci Types: GOP to Take Senate in November

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Via TPM:  Political Scientists: November Is Still A Slam-Dunk For The GOP A new symposium of the 2014 midterm elections in PS: Political Science and Politics forecasts that GOP could gain a median of 5 or 6 Senate seats and about 14 in the House. Unlike other popular models, this doesn’t just measure polling or […]

If Republicans Win The Senate, They May Not Hold It For Very Long

Capitol Building

If the GOP wins the Senate in November, their majority could prove to be fleeting.

Another Poll Shows Greg Orman Has The Momentum In Kansas

Pat Roberts Greg Orman

A new poll in what is fast becoming one of the most interesting, and potentially most crucial, Senate races this year shows Independent Greg Orman leading three-term Senator Pat Roberts by his widest margin yet: Independent candidate Greg Orman has a ten point lead over incumbent Sen. Pat Roberts (R) with likely and registered voters […]

Ebola In The Age Of 24/7 News And A Broken Political Culture

Ebola Virus

Combining politics, an incessantly sensationalist news cycle, and a virus that scares a lot of people can’t end well.

What If Republicans Retake the Senate?

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Could the GOP offer a positive governing agenda if they controlled Congress?

Another Poll Shows Pat Roberts In Trouble In Kansas

Pat Roberts Greg Orman

In a race that could determine control of the Senate next year, there’s another poll showing three-term Senator Pat Roberts trailing Independent candidate Greg Orman in Kansas: Independent Greg Orman is clinging to a narrow lead over Republican Sen. Pat Roberts, according to a new poll of the Kansas Senate race, a contest that could […]

Republicans Will Hold The House, And Are Likely To Add To Their Majority

Election 2014

While the battle for the Senate remains up in the air, the Republican majority in the House remains secure.

Supreme Court Allows Changes In Ohio Early Voting To Remain In Effect

Early-Voting1-570x4271

The Supreme Court has issued a stay that will allow changes to Ohio’s early voting law to remain in effect for this year’s election. That was the correct decision.

Battle For Senate Control Tipping Towards The GOP?

Election 2014

Two weeks after it seemed to be tightening, there are signs the battle for control of the Senate may be moving in the GOP’s direction.

Third-Party Candidates Poised To Play Big Role In Deciding Senate Control

Election 2014

Third-party candidates in several states could end up having a big say in the battle for control of the Senate.

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