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Maine Yet Again Likely To Elect A Governor Who Most People Didn’t Vote For, And That’s Okay

Maine Governor's Debate

For the ninth time since 1974, the next Governor of Maine will likely be elected with less than 50% of the vote.

Midterm Polling Challenges

us-politics

Sam Wang:  Midterm National Senate Polling Error Is Five Times Larger Than In Presidential Years. Fundamentally, it is about the facts that a) turnout is harder to predict in midterms (and hence polling for likely voters is harder), and b) the general level of interest in midterms is simply lower (often radically lower) than in […]

Republican Ad In Nebraska House Race Brings Up Memories Of Willie Horton

Brad Ashford Nikko Jenkins Ad

Everything old is new again.

Alaska Governor’s Race Slipping From GOP Column

Election 2014

While 2014 is looking like a Republican year, the Alaska Governor’s race seems to be slipping away from Republican control: Things have been looking up in recent months for Alaska Senate nominee Dan Sullivan, whose position against Democratic Sen. Mark Begich has improved since his difficult primary ended. But the state’s other big-name Republican on […]

Rick Scott Delays Florida Governor’s Debate With Temper Tantrum Over Fan

Florida Governors Debate

Yesterday’s debate between Florida Governor Rick Scott and former Florida Governor Charlie Crist almost didn’t happen because, well, Rick Scott was upset about a fan: In one of the weirdest, and most Floridian moments in debate history, Wednesday night’s gubernatorial debate was delayed because Republican Governor Rick Scott refused to take the stage with Democratic challenger […]

Mary Landrieu: Against Medical Marijuana, In Favor Of Keg Stands

Landrieu Keg Stand

During last night’s Louisiana Senate debate, Senator Mary Landrieu came out against legalizing marijuana for medical purposes, while her chief Republican opponent, Congressman Bill Cassidy, who is an M.D., said he favors it: Yet in a surprising moment later in the debate, Cassidy said he would support the legalization of marijuana for medical treatment, while […]

DSCC Pulls Ads For Grimes In Kentucky

Grimes McConnell

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee will not be spending any money for television ads in the final three weeks of the campaign in Kentucky, a move that seems to send a signal about what national Democrats really think about the prospects for Alison Lundergan Grimes: The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has gone dark in Kentucky, […]

White House Won’t Name New Attorney General Until After Election

white-house

The White House has announced that it will not announce a new pick for Attorney General until after the midterm elections: President Obama has decided to wait until after next month’s midterm elections to nominate a replacement for Attorney General Eric H. Holder Jr., White House officials said on Tuesday, effectively ensuring that the choice […]

Noncompetitive House Elections

election-voter-people

My ongoing crusade to spark thought and discussion on the quality of representation in the US Congress.

Texas Attorney General Makes A Particularly Silly Argument Against Same-Sex Marriage

law-scales-justice-flag

Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott has made an incredibly weak argument in favor of his state’s ban on same-sex marriage.

Democrats Starting To Worry About Turnout In The Midterms

Election 2014

Democrats are starting to worry that low turnout could turn a good year for the GOP into a very good year.

Federal Judge Strikes Down Texas Voter ID Law

Voter ID Required Sign

A victory for opponents of Voter ID in Texas, but it’s not likely to stand up on appeal.

Alison Lundergan Grimes Really Doesn’t Want To Admit She Voted For Obama

Grimes McConnell

Sometimes, being evasive in answering a question just makes a politician look silly. This is one of those times.

Supreme Court Blocks Wisconsin Voter ID Law, But Will Likely Uphold It In The End

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Opponents of Voter ID laws should not get too excited over the fact that the Supreme Court has stayed Wisconsin’s law from going into effect for now.

Wendy Davis’s Campaign Takes The Low Road

Wendy Davis Ad

The nastiest campaign ad of the 2014 cycle is here, and Wendy Davis should be ashamed of it.

A Cautionary Note About Polling Between Now And Election Day

Election 2014

Individual polls are likely to be volatile, so don’t pay too much attention to them.

Obama May Punt On Executive Action On Immigration, Even After The Election

Obama Immigration Protesters

Will the President back track on his promise of further action on immigration if the GOP wins the Senate?

A Surprise Brewing In South Dakota’s Senate Race?

Election 2014

Is former Senator Larry Pressler surging in his Independent bid to win back his old Senate seat?

About That Poll Showing Alison Lundergan Grimes Leading Mitch McConnell

Grimes McConnell

Could Alison Lundergran Grimes be surging? Maybe, but we’ll need more evidence to be sure.

Federal Appeals Court Upholds Wisconsin Voter ID Law

Voter ID Required Sign

An unsurprising decision from the Seventh Circuit Court of Appeals.

PoliSci Types: GOP to Take Senate in November

us-politics

Via TPM:  Political Scientists: November Is Still A Slam-Dunk For The GOP A new symposium of the 2014 midterm elections in PS: Political Science and Politics forecasts that GOP could gain a median of 5 or 6 Senate seats and about 14 in the House. Unlike other popular models, this doesn’t just measure polling or […]

If Republicans Win The Senate, They May Not Hold It For Very Long

Capitol Building

If the GOP wins the Senate in November, their majority could prove to be fleeting.

Another Poll Shows Greg Orman Has The Momentum In Kansas

Pat Roberts Greg Orman

A new poll in what is fast becoming one of the most interesting, and potentially most crucial, Senate races this year shows Independent Greg Orman leading three-term Senator Pat Roberts by his widest margin yet: Independent candidate Greg Orman has a ten point lead over incumbent Sen. Pat Roberts (R) with likely and registered voters […]

Ebola In The Age Of 24/7 News And A Broken Political Culture

Ebola Virus

Combining politics, an incessantly sensationalist news cycle, and a virus that scares a lot of people can’t end well.

What If Republicans Retake the Senate?

mitch-mcconnell-john-boehner

Could the GOP offer a positive governing agenda if they controlled Congress?

Another Poll Shows Pat Roberts In Trouble In Kansas

Pat Roberts Greg Orman

In a race that could determine control of the Senate next year, there’s another poll showing three-term Senator Pat Roberts trailing Independent candidate Greg Orman in Kansas: Independent Greg Orman is clinging to a narrow lead over Republican Sen. Pat Roberts, according to a new poll of the Kansas Senate race, a contest that could […]

Republicans Will Hold The House, And Are Likely To Add To Their Majority

Election 2014

While the battle for the Senate remains up in the air, the Republican majority in the House remains secure.

Supreme Court Allows Changes In Ohio Early Voting To Remain In Effect

Early-Voting1-570x4271

The Supreme Court has issued a stay that will allow changes to Ohio’s early voting law to remain in effect for this year’s election. That was the correct decision.

Battle For Senate Control Tipping Towards The GOP?

Election 2014

Two weeks after it seemed to be tightening, there are signs the battle for control of the Senate may be moving in the GOP’s direction.

Third-Party Candidates Poised To Play Big Role In Deciding Senate Control

Election 2014

Third-party candidates in several states could end up having a big say in the battle for control of the Senate.

The Next Attorney General And Lame Duck Sessions Of Congress

Capitol Dome

The next Attorney General will likely see their nomination taken up by Senators who will not be in office past December. That’s somewhat disturbing, but it’s become all too common in Washington.

Social Conservatives Campaign Against Republicans Who Endorsed Same-Sex Marriage

Elephants Fighting

Opponents of marriage equality clearly don’t like the idea of a “big tent” in the GOP on the issue.

Mitt Romney 2016? Maybe More Likely Than We’ve Been Thinking

mitt-romney-shirtsleeves

While it still seems unlikely that he’ll run, Mitt Romney does seem to be leaving the door open to a third run at the White House.

Justice Ginsburg Won’t Resign Because Obama Couldn’t Appoint A Good Replacement

ruth-bader-ginsburg-civvies

Once again, Justice Ginsburg is telling people she has no plans to resign, but her explanation is a bit different this time.

Most Americans Don’t Care Very Much About Who Controls Congress

United States Capitol Building, Washington, D.C. Aerial

A majority of Americans don’t care very much who controls Congress.

Bob Dole Tries To Rescue GOP In Kansas As Another Poll Shows Pat Roberts Losing

Kansas Flag

With Pat Roberts’ Senate campaign, not to mention the rest of the GOP statewide ticket, in serious trouble, former Senator Bob Dole is heading home to try to save things: It has been a rough two-and-a-half weeks for Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts, a three-term Republican facing his toughest fight for re-election since arriving in Washington […]

From the “You Can’t Make this Stuff up” File

us-politics

Via Yellowhammer News:  Ala. congressional candidate posts video of himself sitting on the toilet

Kansas Supreme Court Rules Democratic Candidate’s Name Must Be Removed From Senate Ballot

law-gavel-lights

The Kansas Supreme Court may have just upended the battle for control of the U.S. Senate

Americans View Both Major Parties Equally, Which Probably Helps The GOP

us-politics-republicans-democrats

The GOP has bounced back significantly from the lows it experienced after last year’s government shutdown.

Good News For GOP, Bad News For Obama In Latest CBS/New York Times Poll

Obama Sad Presser

President Obama hits new job approval lows, while the GOP seems poised for success in November,

Obamacare Fading As A 2014 Campaign Issue

Healthcare Gov

The Affordable Care Act is playing almost no role in the midterm elections.

We May Not Know Who Controls The Senate Until January

Election 2014

A number of factors unique to 2014 make it likely that control of the Senate could be up in the air for months after Election Day.

Kansas Supreme Court Appears Prepared To Allow Democrat Chad Taylor To Get Off Ballot

Kansas Flag

Kansas’s highest court heard argument today in a legal dispute that could play a huge role in deciding who controls the Senate after November 4th.

Race For Senate Control Tightening

Election 2014

Republicans still have an advantage, but Democrats seem to be holding their own in the battle for Senate control.

7th Circuit Allows Wisconsin Voter ID To Stay In Effect

Voter-ID-Pin

A set back for opponents of Voter ID in Wisconsin.

Mark Sanford Surfaces Again

Mark Sanford

South Carolina Congressman Mark Sanford, who ended his time as Governor of that state amid controversy after disappearing for days without explanation to visit a mistress in Argentina and then made a seemingly unlikely comeback last year by being elected to his old Congressional seat, is back in the news: Representative Mark Sanford, whose extramarital […]

Kansas Democrat Files Lawsuit To Get Off Ballot

Kansas Flag

Kansas Democratic Senate nominee Chad Taylor really doesn’t want to be on the ballot in November: Chad Taylor, the Democrat attempting to drop out of the Kansas Senate race, filed a petition with the state Supreme Court on Tuesday to remove his name from the ballot and block state officials from printing ballots with his […]

Republican Senate Candidate Backs Same-Sex Marriage In New Ad

Election 2014

Monica Wehby, the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon, comes out in favor of same-sex marriage in a new ad: A Republican Senate candidate in Oregon will unveil a television commercial Tuesday that highlights her support for gay marriage — a reflection of the rapidly shifting politics of the issue. Monica Wehby, a pediatric neurosurgeon, […]

First Poll Shows Pat Roberts Trailing Independent Candidate In Kansas

Kansas Flag

Less than a week after Democratic nominee Chad Taylor announced his withdrawal from the race for Pat Roberts’s Senate seat, the first new poll of the race shows the veteran Republican Senator trailing Independent candidate Greg Orman: After a monumental shake-up last week in which the Democratic nominee attempted to drop out of the Kansas Senate […]

Federal Judge Voids Changes In Ohio Early Voting Law In A Troubling Decision

Early-Voting1-570x4271

A Federal Judge in Ohio has issued a very troubling ruling on that state’s early voting law.

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