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The McMullin Factor


Via FiveThirtyEight:  Polls May Be Underestimating Evan McMullin’s Chances In Utah Utah is an unusual case. Polls are scarce there, the dynamic has changed quite quickly, and these factors can significantly affect polling results. Our model already excludes Utah polling that doesn’t poll McMullin at all, and that will remain our official approach. But unofficially, […]

It’s Two Weeks Until Election Day, And Things Are Looking Very Good For Hillary Clinton

Trump Clinton

Two weeks before Election Day, everything seems to be going Hillary Clinton’s way.

Polling Illiteracy


While not quite the great unskewing of argument past, here is an example of why non-experts need to avoid critiquing polling.

Trump Finally gets a Major Newspaper Endorsement


Via Salon:  Donald Trump’s KKK stamp of approval: The Klan gives a de facto endorsement to the Trump campaign on the front page of its newspaper . Says The Crusader: “Make American Great Again!” It is a slogan that has been repeatedly used by Donald Trump in his campaign for the presidency. You can see it on […]

A Night Of Comity Turns Bitter

Clinton Dolan Trump

What was supposed to be a night away from the campaign trail quickly turned partisan.

Final Presidential Debate Draws 71.6 Million Viewers

Third Presidential Debate

The final debate of 2016 didn’t draw as many viewers as the first Hillary v. Donald match-up, but it still drew a respectable number.

Third Presidential Debate Marked By Trump’s Refusal To Accept Election Result

Third Presidential Debate

For better or worse, the third Presidential debate will largely be remembered for one thing.

Independent Evan McMullin Leads Trump In New Utah Poll

Elections 2016

Independent candidate Evan McMullin is at the top of a new poll out of Utah, a state that hasn’t gone for a Democrat since 1964: Independent presidential candidate Evan McMullin is leading in Utah, according to an Emerson College Polling Society survey released Wednesday. McMullin is favored by 31 percent of likely voters in the […]

Trump Only Leading By Three Points In Texas

Elections 2016

As if the news out of Arizona weren’t bad enough, new polling out of Texas gives Donald Trump only a slim lead in Texas, which hasn’t gone for a Democrat in a Presidential election since 1976: Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has one of his slimmest leads yet over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in Texas, […]

Clinton Up Four Points In New Arizona Poll


With the lone exception of Bill Clinton in 1996, Arizona hasn’t gone for a Democrat since 1948. That streak could end this year.

John McCain Says Republicans Will Refuse To Confirm Any Clinton SCOTUS Nominee

Supreme Court Building

John McCain said that Senate Republicans will unite to block any Supreme Court appointment by a President Hillary Clinton.

With Three Weeks To Go, Clinton’s Momentum Appears To Be Surging

Trump Clinton

With twenty-one days to go until Election Day, things are looking very good for Hillary Clinton.

I Have no Idea why we Think Trump is a Misogynist… (2)


In regards to allegations of sexual assualt: “Believe me, she would not be my first choice, that I can tell you.  You don’t know. That would not be my first choice.” “When you looked at that horrible woman last night, you said, ‘I don’t think so.’ ” –Donald J. Trump.

I Have no Idea why we Think Trump is a Misogynist…


“Psychologists will tell you that some women want to be treated with respect. I tell friends who treat their wives magnificently, get treated like crap in return, ‘Be rougher and you’ll see a different relationship.’” “I have days where I think it’s great. And then I have days where, if I come home — and I […]

Trump Ignores Intel Experts

Donald Trump Shrug

More evidence that Trump would be a terrible president.

Second Presidential Debate Draws 66.5 Million Viewers

Trump Clinton Second Debate

Viewership for the second debate fell some twenty percent from the first debate, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that voter are losing interest.

Trump and our Constitutional Order


I would recommend the following essay by my good friend Michael Bailey, Associate Professor of Political Science at Berry College:  Enter Donald Trump. A basic taste: The Framers were war-hardened seasoned politicians who suffered no delusions about the real character of our human nature, and accordingly they built a Constitution designed to endure the rough and […]

George Will on Trump and the GOP


George Will, who has already left the Republican Party over the nomination of Trump has an eloquently scathing column on the current state of the election:  Donald Trump is the GOP’s chemotherapy. On the recent revelations and the GOP response thereto: the tape sent various Republicans, who until then had discovered nothing to disqualify Trump from […]

Paul Ryan Won’t Campaign For Donald Trump

Paul Ryan

Paul Ryan is abandoning the Trump campaign.

Second Debate Unlikely To Halt Clinton’s Momentum

Trump Clinton Second Debate

Last night’s debate was indeed the low point everyone anticipated it would be, but it seems unlikely to change the status quo.

Clinton Keeps Pulling Ahead Heading Into Second Presidential Debate

First Presidential Debate 2016

As we head into the second Presidential debate, Hillary Clinton looks to be in very good shape.

New Audio Reveals Trump Is Okay With Lewd Comments About His Daughter

Donald Trump Ivanka Trump

Predictably, the revelation of an audiotape in which he is recorded making lewd comments about women is leading to the revelation of other past comments by Donald Trump that are certain to become an issue in the coming days. This afternoon, for example, CNN is out with excerpts from Trump’s past appearances with Howard Stern […]

Mike Pence Is Really, Really Upset With Donald Trump

Donald Trump Mike Pence

Indiana Governor Mike Pence isn’t even trying to defend Donald Trump’s comments about women as set forth in a decade-old video and audio: My statement below: pic.twitter.com/92VYEAxIcl — Mike Pence (@mike_pence) October 8, 2016 Campaign reporters are saying that Pence and his people are beside themselves: A source close to Trump camp told me Pence […]

Republicans Abandon Trump Over Lewd Remarks

Donald Trump Shrug

Republicans are abandoning Donald Trump in droves after last night’s revelation of lewd remarks he made in 2005.

Even If Trump Loses, Trumpism Will Remain A Powerful Force In The GOP

Elephants Fighting

Even if Donald Trump loses next month, the political forces inside the GOP he tapped into are likely to remain very powerful.

Obama Approval up to 55%


Via CNN:  Obama approval hits new high President Barack Obama’s approval rating stands at 55% in a new CNN/ORC poll, the highest mark of his second term, and matching his best at any time since his first year in office. The new rating outpaces his previous second-term high — reached just after a Democratic convention […]

Feel Free To Skip Tonight’s Vice-Presidential Debate, Because It’s Not Going To Matter

Mike Pence Tim Kaine

Nothing that happens tonight during the Vice-Presidential debate is likely to matter, so feel free to skip it.

With Five Weeks To Go, Clinton Appears To Have Momentum

First Presidential Debate 2016

With five weeks to go, the momentum in the race is moving decidedly in Hillary Clinton’s favor.

Trump Pushing Asian American Voters Into Democratic Camp

Hillary Clinton, Judy Chu

Donald Trump appears to be pushing voters from America’s fastest growing minority group into the Democratic camp.

On the Potential Global Consequences of a Trump Presidency

Donald Trump Victory

The reputation of the US matters in global affairs.

First Clinton v. Trump Debate Sets Record At 81 Million Viewers

First Presidential Debate 2016

Last night’s Presidential debate drew a record number of viewers: The first general election debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump averaged nearly 81 million viewers, according to data from Nielsen, making it the most watched presidential debate in modern history. Until last night, the most-watched debate in history was the 1980 debate between Jimmy […]

Clinton And Trump Clash In First Presidential Debate

First Presidential Debate 2016

It wasn’t exactly Lincoln-Douglas but, in the end, Hillary Clinton clearly outperformed Donald Trump last night.

Watching Tonight’s Debate Guide For Cord Cutters

2016 Election Buttons

If you’re among that growing group of people who have cut the cord to their cable television provider, there are still ways to catch the debate if you’re so inclined. With the proper antenna, you can watch on any of the over-the-air networks and PBS or, you can check out the live-streaming services that will […]

Presidential Race Remains Tight Heading Into First Debate

Trump Clinton

With just hours before the first debate, and six weeks until Election Day, the race for President remains tight.

Ted Cruz Proves His Political Opportunism Is More Important Than His Conscience

Trump Cruz Debate

In which Ted Cruz endorses the guy who called his wife ugly and said his father was involved in the Kennedy assassination.

No, Immigrants Aren’t Taking Your Job


A new study debunks an old idea.

George H.W. Bush Reportedly Voting For Hillary Clinton

Bush 41 Hillary

According to one report, the GOP’s longest living former President plans to vote for a Democrat this fall.

Presidential Race Continues To Tighten With Seven Weeks To Go

Trump Clinton

With just forty-nine days left in the campaign, and less than a week before the first debate, the race for President is tighter than ever.

RNC Chairman Threatens Punishment For Former Candidates Refusing To Endorse Trump

Fighting Elephants Two

The GOP civil war continues…..

Third Party Candidates Excluded From Presidential, Vice-Presidential Debate


Once again, the debate commission controlled by the two major parties is excluding third-party candidates from the Presidential debates.

Trump’s Campaign Says He Now Believes Obama Was Born In The U.S.


Donald Trump’s campaign is apparently finally acknowledging reality, although its claim that birtherism originated with the Clinton campaign in 2008 does not comport with the facts.

Even Trump’s Supporters Don’t Believe Mexico Would Pay For Trump’s Border Wall


Apparently, even people who support Donald Trump don’t believe his claim that he can get Mexico to pay for his border wall.

With Eight Weeks To Go, A Tighter Race But It’s Still Advantage Clinton

Trump Clinton

The election is now fifty-six days away and, while the race is tighter than it has been, it’s still one in which Hillary Clinton has seemingly all the advantages.

Clinton Health Scare Raises Questions

Clinton Stumble

Clinton stumbles and leaves an event early, leading to the news that her campaign has been withholding health information from the press.

The Minimum Wage


The minimum wage has been a big part of this year’s election cycle, mainly due to Bernie Sander’s campaign and his idea of a national minimum wage. There has been lots of discussion of this, but most of it is just, well, bad. There are really two things that one can point to as to why wages above the market wage can be good.

Donald Trump’s Disturbing, Disqualifying Love Affair With Vladimir Putin

Putin Smirk

Donald Trump’s admiration and praise for the dictatorial leader of Russia should be sufficient reason to disqualify him from being President of the United States.

Republicans Vow To Continue Investigations Even If Hillary Clinton Wins The White House

United States Capitol Building, Washington, D.C. Aerial

House Republicans are vowing to continue their investigations even if Hillary Clinton wins the White House.

Libertarians Are to Blame for Donald Trump’s Racialized Rhetoric?


The idea that Donald Trump has gotten his racialized rhetoric from libertarians is simply errant nonsense. The libertarian view, broadly speaking, is not defined by Murray Rothbard, Llewellyn Rockwell, and Ron Paul and those who share their views. This is but a small and even fringe group of what could be called the libertarian community.

Trump Campaign Raised $90 Million In August


Falling short of the market set by Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump’s campaign announced that he raised $90 million in August: Together with his joint committees, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump raised $90 million in August, according to a CNN report. Trump’s fundraising total represents a $10 million increase from his July total but still trailed […]

With Nine Weeks To Go, Clinton’s Post-Convention Bounce Seems To Have Disappeared

Trump Clinton

It’s the traditional start of the campaign season, and the race for President is getting close, at least at the national level.

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