Giuliani Eyes New York Governor Bid

Rudy Giuliani is likely to run for the governorship of New York, should there be another sudden vacancy. In the latest twist in New York politics, Rudy Giuliani is eyeing a run for governor in a special election this fall should Gov. Paterson be forced to resign, sources say. A top adviser to the former mayor, who pulled the plug ...

McCain’s Giuliani Bounce

John McCain has been the primary beneficiary of Rudy Giuliani's exit from the race, the latest Gallup national tracking poll shows. John McCain continues to be the primary beneficiary of Rudy Giuliani's recent exit from the Republican race for president. The percentage of Republican primary voters nationwide favoring McCain for the nomination rose from 39% in interviews conducted Jan. 29-30, to ...

Schwarzenegger, Giuliani and McCain Republicans

RealClearPolitics' John McIntyre reminds us that the 2004 convention gave President Bush a large bounce in the polls, while the Democratic convention did next to nothing for John Kerry. He's got an interesting theory on why that was: Who did Karl Rove and the GOP strategists chose to put front and center on prime-time television for the American people? ...

The End of 9/11 Politics?

Ben Smith and David Paul Kuhn argue that Rudy Giuliani's poor showing in this campaign "seems also to mark the beginning of the end of a period in Republican politics that began on Sept. 11, 2001." "There's a paradox for Rudy," said former Nebraska Sen. Bob Kerrey, who was a member of the 9/11 Commission. "One of the things he ...

Florida Primary Postmortem

The victories of John McCain and Hillary Clinton in Florida last night presage what will happen in next week's Super Duper Tuesday contests and have significantly reshaped the race. Polls and Predictions Compared to Final Results The polls finally got one right, correctly predicting the winners and the order of finish of all challengers with uncanny accuracy. The final RealClearPolitics ...

Giuliani To Endorse McCain

Mark Halperin: "SOURCES: Giuliani expected to endorse McCain, as early as Wednesday — in Los Angeles or Simi Valley." Various others have speculated on this endorsement this evening, including Bill Bennett. ABC News' Jake Tapper and Rick Klein have independent confirmation: Rudy Giuliani will board a plane to California on Wednesday morning, as planned. But, sources tell ABC ...

Florida Primary Results: McCain, Clinton Win

Hardly any of the vote is in yet but, thus far, it's tracking the pre-election polls nicely: Democrats: Clinton 25,116 58% 0 Obama 9,072 21% 0 Edwards 7,151 17% 0 Kucinich 411 1% 0 Republicans: McCain 12,180 29% 0 Romney 11,874 28% 0 Giuliani 7,625 18% 0 Huckabee 7,470 18% 0 Thompson 1,465 4% 0 Paul 1,302 3% 0 Hunter 121 0% 0 Note: Polls don't close in the panhandle until 8 Eastern. Source: ABC News UPDATE (2004): ABC and CNN have gone ahead and projected Hillary Clinton the winner. Shocker. With 19% in: Clinton 252,623 48% 0 Winner Obama 153,993 30% 0 Edwards 72,142 14% 0 Kucinich 5,066 1% 0 The Republican side is too close to call, except that there will be no ...

Florida Primary Predictions

Yes, it's that time again: trying to make predictions in a political season that's largely defying predictability. Polls are open today in Florida, the last primary state before next week's Super Tuesday extravaganza, and it's an important contest, at least on the GOP side. As for the Democrats, it'll be a complete shock if Hillary Clinton doesn't win the ...

Rudy Giuliani to Drop Out if He Doesn’t Win Florida?

Rudy Giuliani is likely to end his presidential campaign if he doesn't win today's Florida primary, Andrew Malcolm reports for the LAT. Rudy Giuliani appears to be pondering an end to his long pursuit of the Republican presidential nomination. In a meeting in the back of his chartered plane en route to St. Petersburg, Fla., a short while ago, the ...

Super Tuesday Not So Super?

While nearly two dozen states moved their primaries to February 5th in order to have a say in choosing the party nominees for president, the so-called Super Duper Tuesday will likely not be decisive, an AP analysis suggests. The race for delegates is so close in both parties that it is mathematically impossible for any candidate to lock up the ...

Everybody Hates Mitt

While the Republican field is doing a reasonably good job of adhering to Ronald Reagan's 11th Commandment, they're all willing to make an exception for Mitt Romney, Michael Luo reports for the NYT. With so much attention recently on the sniping between Senators Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama on the Democratic side, the almost visceral scorn directed at ...

Paul Beats Romney in Louisiana, Trails Dropout Thompson

The first part of the headline is what the Ronulans want you to take away from the results of last night's Louisiana Republican Caucuses, where in actuality the rump of Fred Thompson's state organization was able to secure backing for a "pro-life uncommitted" slate of delegates; delegates pledged to John McCain (who had no active precinct organization) did the best ...

Giuliani in Florida Freefall

Rudy Giuliani, despite putting all his eggs in his Florida basket, has dropped to third place in two recent polls (one conducted before Fred Thompson's withdrawal, one after) even after considering the former poll's whopping 5.1-point 95% confidence margin, suggesting that Rudy's strategy of saturating the state with ads before any elections elsewhere had taken place has seriously backfired as ...

Does Losing Focus the Attention?

One of the key points I meant to address but failed to in my earlier response to Steve Bainbridge is this: Mason Colley quipped that “Victory brings obliviousness; defeat, attentiveness.” [...] Just as the Israelis had to be punished for listening to the 10 fearful spies, the GOP needs to be punished for having been seduced by Bush and DeLay. Just ...

McCain Leads Giuliani in New York

As if more evidence were needed of the perils of Rudy Giuliani's "big state strategy," a new Siena College poll has him trailing John McCain in his home state of New York. “In a stunning turnaround, John McCain has turned a 33-point deficit with Republican voters in December into a 12-point lead over Rudy Giuliani today,” said Steven Greenberg, Siena ...