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Keeping Control Of The Senate Just Got More Difficult For Republicans

Capitol Building

GOP control of Indiana’s Senate seat appears to be in jeopardy, and that will have serious implications for the battle to control the Senate.

Clinton Is Crushing Trump Among Younger Voters, And The GOP Is Paying The Price

Trump And GOP Elephant

America’s largest voting bloc is heavily turned off by Donald Trump, and that is posing long-term problems for Republicans in general.

Clinton Continues To Show That Virginia Probably Isn’t A Swing State This Year

Virginia Flag Map

Another poll confirms that Virginia is firmly in the pocket of Hillary Clinton.

Another Round Of Battleground Polls Puts Clinton In The Lead

Trump Clinton

Donald Trump’s path to 270 Electoral Votes is becoming less likely by the day.

Trump Barely Leading In South Carolina?

South Carolina Flag

A new poll shows Donald Trump barely winning in a state that should be solidly red.

Wisconsin Unlikely To Go Republican In 2016

Wisconsin Welcome Sign

Republican hopes that Wisconsin might go Republican this year seem to be slipping away.

Trump Polling Worse Among African-Americans Than Any Republican Since Barry Goldwater

Donald Trump Shrug

Donald Trump’s support among African-Americans is at historic lows, and seems unlikely to recover.

More Bad News For Trump From State-Level Polling

2016 Election Buttons

New polling from the states has good news for Hillary Clinton, and an even less plausible path to 270 for Donald Trump.

Virginia Not Exactly Looking Like A Battleground State

Virginia Flag Map

The Old Dominion seems like it’s going to be even more firmly Democratic in 2016.

Another Poll Brings More Bad News For Trump

Trump Clinton

The first round of post-convention polls is now complete, and it’s not looking good for The Donald.

Clinton Starting To Gain Ground In States Romney Won in 2012

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton 2

In a sign of just how bad the trends are right now for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton is gaining ground in states that Mitt Romney won four years ago.

Donald Trump’s Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Week

Donald Trump Speaking

It’s been a bad week for Donald Trump, something he can ill-afford with less than 100 days left until Election Day.

Donald Trump’s Electoral Map Isn’t Growing, It’s Shrinking

Trump Clinton

Post-convention polling at the state level holds some bad news for the Trump campaign.

Hillary Clinton Gets Her Post-Convention Bounce, Takes Back The Lead In The Polls

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton 2

Hillary Clinton appears to be doing very well in the wake of the first round of post-convention polls.

Donald Trump’s Path To Potential Victory Is Already Narrowing

Trump Clinton

Looking at the Electoral College, it’s already apparent that Donald Trump’s campaign faces a daunting, perhaps impossible, path to victory.

Conventions Helped Trump More, Even Though His Was Awful and Hers Wasn’t

2016 Election Buttons

The one with the better convention seems to have lost ground over the last two weeks.

Trump Leads Clinton After Convention Bounce

Trump Convention Speech

The worst convention in history has given Trump a yuuge bounce.

Could Crazy Donald Trump Actually Win The Presidency?

538-electoral-map-20160723

While a Clinton landslide seems obvious after the dumpster fire of a Republican convention, the race is close.

Pre-Convention Polls Show Clinton Leading, Johnson Rising, Major Party Candidates Hated

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton 2

A look at the state of the race before the two party conventions begin.

Majority Disapprove Of Decision Not To Charge In Clinton Email Case

Clinton CFR Speech

A new poll suggests that the decision not to bring charges related to her use of a private email server will likely have only a minimal impact on Hillary Clinton’s campaign.

New Poll Finds Strong Support For Enhanced Background Checks For Gun Sales

Guns And Bullets

A new poll finds strong public support for enhanced background checks and barring people on Federal watch lists from purchasing weapons.

Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump In Seven Battleground States

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton 2

Hillary Clinton holds solid leads over Donald Trump in seven battleground states.

A Lesson In Polling

Polling

One result from the new NBC News poll shows us how important it is to pay attention to how poll questions are phrased.

Donald Trump’s Bad June Shows Up In The Polls

Donald Trump Speaking

Donald Trump has had a bad June, and it’s showing in the poll numbers.

Sabato Predicts Electoral College Landslide for Clinton

sabato-20160622

Donald Trump has a steep hill to climb to reverse a quarter century trend.

Senate Rejects Post-Orlando Gun Control Efforts

Guns And Bullets

As expected, the Senate rejected four gun control measures introduced in the wake of the attack in Orlando.

Donald Trump’s Numbers Are Historically Bad

Donald Trump Shrug

It’s still early in the cycle, but Donald Trump’s poll numbers are already historically bad.

Americans Really, Really, Really Don’t Like Donald Trump

Donald Trump Shrug

A new poll shows that public opinion about Donald Trump is at the lowest point its been since he entered the race. That bodes poorly for Trump, and for the the political party that has chosen to nominate him for President.

Gary Johnson Hits 12% In Latest Fox News Poll

GOP Presidential Candidates Debate In Orlando Ahead Of Florida Straw Poll

Libertarian Party Presidential nominee Gary Johnson is doing quite well in the polls, when pollsters bother to include him.

Clinton Holds Slight Lead Over Trump As General Election Race Begins

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton has a slight lead in national polling over Donald Trump as the battle for the White House really begins.

Release Of Inspector General’s Report Indicates Hillary’s Email Woes Likely To Continue

Hillary Clinton Blackberry

The Clinton campaign probably thought the email story was behind them. The new report from the State Department’s Inspector General shows just how wrong they were about that.

Yes, The Trump/Clinton Polls Are Tightening. No, It Doesn’t Mean Much Of Anything

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton

Several recent polls have shown the race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton tightening, but it likely means far less than the media hype makes it sound like.

Vast Majority Of Native Americans Not Offended By ‘Redskins’ Name, New Poll Claims

Washington Redskins Helmet

A new poll indicates that the argument that the name “Redskins” is disparaging is not an accurate statement of how Native Americans themselves feel about the issue.

Support For Same-Sex Marriage Continues To Rise, Hits A Record 61%

Gay Marriage Wedding Cake Two Women

Nearly one year after the Supreme Court’s historic decision, public support for same-sex marriage continues to rise even among groups that were previously strongly opposed to it.

A Reminder About Polling

Elections 2016

As we begin to head into General Election season, a few things to remember about the avalanche of polls to come.

Voters Don’t Seem To Care About The Political Fight Over Vacant Supreme Court Seat

Supreme Court Issues Multiple Rulings

It may be the talk of Washington, but the political fight over Justice Scalia’s vacant Supreme Court seat does not seem to be something voters care very much about.

Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton Likely To Do Very Well In Mid-Atlantic Primaries

Trump Clinton 2

With voters in five states set to go to the polls, both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are likely to make significant progress toward their quest for a majority of delegates in their respective contests.

Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Both Viewed Very Badly Outside The GOP

Donald Trump Ted Cruz

The two men most likely to win the Republican nomination aren’t very well liked outside the Republican Party.

Everybody Hates Donald

Donald Trump Shrug

A new poll finds that Donald Trump is really, really disliked by voters, but it’s unclear how much that will matter going forward.

Growing Acrimony In The Race For The Democratic Nomination

Clinton Sanders Debate

Even as the outcome becomes more certain, Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton seem to be attacking each other with increasing acrimony.

Trump, Cruz Battle Down To The Wire In Wisconsin

Donald Trump Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz and Donald Trump are locked in battle in a primary that could decide whether or not Donald Trump can get a majority of delegates prior to the GOP Convention.

Signs That The Stop Trump Movement Is Working In Wisconsin?

Donald Trump Speaking Closeup

There are some signs of hope out of Wisconsin for those trying to stop Donald Trump.

Conservatives Keep Up Pressure On Senate GOP To Hold The Line On SCOTUS Nominee

Merrick Garland Supreme Court Nomination

Conservatives are doing all they can to make sure Merrick Garland does not get either a hearing or a vote in the Senate, and it’s working.

Another Senator Defects On “No Hearings, No Votes” As Public Opposition Rises

Merrick Garland Supreme Court Nomination

Another Republican Senator has broken ranks and called for hearings on the nomination of Merrick Garland, as another poll shows most Americans support hearings as well.

Republican Delegate Math Continues To Heavily Favor Donald Trump

Donald Trump Ted Cruz John Kasich

Looking at the delegate math, Donald Trump’s path to victory seems to be becoming clearer by the day.

Most Americans Oppose GOP’s “No Hearings, No Votes” Position On Garland Nomination

Merrick Garland Supreme Court Nomination

It increasingly appears that the GOP is on the losing side of the argument over whether to hold hearings and a vote on the nomination of Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court.

Trump Still Leading The GOP Race After Rubio Withdrawal

Donald Trump Ted Cruz John Kasich

One week after Marco Rubio left the race, Donald Trump’s hold on the lead in the GOP Presidential race seems as solid as ever.

As Obama Arrives In Havana, Poll Finds Most Americans Support His Opening To Cuba

Air Force One Havana

With President Obama becoming the first American President to visit Cuba in 88 years, a new poll finds majority support for his changes in Cuba policy.

Super Tuesday Part Two Looking Very Good For Donald Trump

Twelfth Republican Debate

Less than twenty-four hours before voting starts, Donald Trump looks to do very well on what is arguably the most important day of the campaign.

Fewer Insults, At Least Some Substance, At Twelfth Republican Debate

Twelfth Republican Debate

Given the stakes headed into the latest version of ‘Super Tuesday,’ last night’s Republican debate was surprisingly subdued.

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