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Independent Evan McMullin Leads Trump In New Utah Poll

Elections 2016

Independent candidate Evan McMullin is at the top of a new poll out of Utah, a state that hasn’t gone for a Democrat since 1964: Independent presidential candidate Evan McMullin is leading in Utah, according to an Emerson College Polling Society survey released Wednesday. McMullin is favored by 31 percent of likely voters in the […]

Trump Only Leading By Three Points In Texas

Elections 2016

As if the news out of Arizona weren’t bad enough, new polling out of Texas gives Donald Trump only a slim lead in Texas, which hasn’t gone for a Democrat in a Presidential election since 1976: Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has one of his slimmest leads yet over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in Texas, […]

Clinton Up Four Points In New Arizona Poll


With the lone exception of Bill Clinton in 1996, Arizona hasn’t gone for a Democrat since 1948. That streak could end this year.

With Three Weeks To Go, Clinton’s Momentum Appears To Be Surging

Trump Clinton

With twenty-one days to go until Election Day, things are looking very good for Hillary Clinton.

Trump In Danger In Deeply Red Utah?


Donald Trump is facing potential trouble in a state that has gone for a Democrat only twice since the end of World War II.

Clinton Keeps Pulling Ahead Heading Into Second Presidential Debate

First Presidential Debate 2016

As we head into the second Presidential debate, Hillary Clinton looks to be in very good shape.

Even If Trump Loses, Trumpism Will Remain A Powerful Force In The GOP

Elephants Fighting

Even if Donald Trump loses next month, the political forces inside the GOP he tapped into are likely to remain very powerful.

With Five Weeks To Go, Clinton Appears To Have Momentum

First Presidential Debate 2016

With five weeks to go, the momentum in the race is moving decidedly in Hillary Clinton’s favor.

Presidential Race Remains Tight Heading Into First Debate

Trump Clinton

With just hours before the first debate, and six weeks until Election Day, the race for President remains tight.

Presidential Race Continues To Tighten With Seven Weeks To Go

Trump Clinton

With just forty-nine days left in the campaign, and less than a week before the first debate, the race for President is tighter than ever.

Despite Historic Success, Gary Johnson Struggles To Qualify For Presidential Debates

Gary Johnson

Gary Johnson is doing better than any third-party candidate in twenty years, but that doesn’t mean he’s likely to get an invitation to the upcoming Presidential debates.

Even Trump’s Supporters Don’t Believe Mexico Would Pay For Trump’s Border Wall


Apparently, even people who support Donald Trump don’t believe his claim that he can get Mexico to pay for his border wall.

With Eight Weeks To Go, A Tighter Race But It’s Still Advantage Clinton

Trump Clinton

The election is now fifty-six days away and, while the race is tighter than it has been, it’s still one in which Hillary Clinton has seemingly all the advantages.

With Nine Weeks To Go, Clinton’s Post-Convention Bounce Seems To Have Disappeared

Trump Clinton

It’s the traditional start of the campaign season, and the race for President is getting close, at least at the national level.

Latino Voters Really Don’t Like Donald Trump, And That’s Hurting The GOP As A Whole

Latino Vote T-Shirts

Another poll shows that Latino voters are set to reject Donald Trump in record numbers, and now they’re turning against the GOP.

Ten Weeks Out: The Presidential Race Tightens A Bit, But Clinton Still Leads

Trump Clinton

With ten weeks to go ,there’s been some tightening in the polls but Hillary Clinton continues to maintain a commanding lead in the race for the White House.

John McCain Faces Primary, General Election Challenge In The Era Of Trump

John McCain

John McCain is bidding for a sixth term in office, with a challenge from the right in tomorrow’s primary and Donald Trump at the top of the ticket in November.

Most Americans Oppose Trump’s Positions On Immigration And Border Wall, Poll Finds


Sorry Donald Trump, but most Americans believe that people here illegally deserve a path to citizenship and oppose building a border wall.

Keeping Control Of The Senate Just Got More Difficult For Republicans

Capitol Building

GOP control of Indiana’s Senate seat appears to be in jeopardy, and that will have serious implications for the battle to control the Senate.

Clinton Is Crushing Trump Among Younger Voters, And The GOP Is Paying The Price

Trump And GOP Elephant

America’s largest voting bloc is heavily turned off by Donald Trump, and that is posing long-term problems for Republicans in general.

Clinton Continues To Show That Virginia Probably Isn’t A Swing State This Year

Virginia Flag Map

Another poll confirms that Virginia is firmly in the pocket of Hillary Clinton.

Another Round Of Battleground Polls Puts Clinton In The Lead

Trump Clinton

Donald Trump’s path to 270 Electoral Votes is becoming less likely by the day.

Trump Barely Leading In South Carolina?

South Carolina Flag

A new poll shows Donald Trump barely winning in a state that should be solidly red.

Wisconsin Unlikely To Go Republican In 2016

Wisconsin Welcome Sign

Republican hopes that Wisconsin might go Republican this year seem to be slipping away.

Trump Polling Worse Among African-Americans Than Any Republican Since Barry Goldwater

Donald Trump Shrug

Donald Trump’s support among African-Americans is at historic lows, and seems unlikely to recover.

More Bad News For Trump From State-Level Polling

2016 Election Buttons

New polling from the states has good news for Hillary Clinton, and an even less plausible path to 270 for Donald Trump.

Virginia Not Exactly Looking Like A Battleground State

Virginia Flag Map

The Old Dominion seems like it’s going to be even more firmly Democratic in 2016.

Another Poll Brings More Bad News For Trump

Trump Clinton

The first round of post-convention polls is now complete, and it’s not looking good for The Donald.

Clinton Starting To Gain Ground In States Romney Won in 2012

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton 2

In a sign of just how bad the trends are right now for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton is gaining ground in states that Mitt Romney won four years ago.

Donald Trump’s Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Week

Donald Trump Speaking

It’s been a bad week for Donald Trump, something he can ill-afford with less than 100 days left until Election Day.

Donald Trump’s Electoral Map Isn’t Growing, It’s Shrinking

Trump Clinton

Post-convention polling at the state level holds some bad news for the Trump campaign.

Hillary Clinton Gets Her Post-Convention Bounce, Takes Back The Lead In The Polls

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton 2

Hillary Clinton appears to be doing very well in the wake of the first round of post-convention polls.

Donald Trump’s Path To Potential Victory Is Already Narrowing

Trump Clinton

Looking at the Electoral College, it’s already apparent that Donald Trump’s campaign faces a daunting, perhaps impossible, path to victory.

Conventions Helped Trump More, Even Though His Was Awful and Hers Wasn’t

2016 Election Buttons

The one with the better convention seems to have lost ground over the last two weeks.

Trump Leads Clinton After Convention Bounce

Trump Convention Speech

The worst convention in history has given Trump a yuuge bounce.

Could Crazy Donald Trump Actually Win The Presidency?


While a Clinton landslide seems obvious after the dumpster fire of a Republican convention, the race is close.

Pre-Convention Polls Show Clinton Leading, Johnson Rising, Major Party Candidates Hated

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton 2

A look at the state of the race before the two party conventions begin.

Majority Disapprove Of Decision Not To Charge In Clinton Email Case

Clinton CFR Speech

A new poll suggests that the decision not to bring charges related to her use of a private email server will likely have only a minimal impact on Hillary Clinton’s campaign.

New Poll Finds Strong Support For Enhanced Background Checks For Gun Sales

Guns And Bullets

A new poll finds strong public support for enhanced background checks and barring people on Federal watch lists from purchasing weapons.

Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump In Seven Battleground States

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton 2

Hillary Clinton holds solid leads over Donald Trump in seven battleground states.

A Lesson In Polling


One result from the new NBC News poll shows us how important it is to pay attention to how poll questions are phrased.

Donald Trump’s Bad June Shows Up In The Polls

Donald Trump Speaking

Donald Trump has had a bad June, and it’s showing in the poll numbers.

Sabato Predicts Electoral College Landslide for Clinton


Donald Trump has a steep hill to climb to reverse a quarter century trend.

Senate Rejects Post-Orlando Gun Control Efforts

Guns And Bullets

As expected, the Senate rejected four gun control measures introduced in the wake of the attack in Orlando.

Donald Trump’s Numbers Are Historically Bad

Donald Trump Shrug

It’s still early in the cycle, but Donald Trump’s poll numbers are already historically bad.

Americans Really, Really, Really Don’t Like Donald Trump

Donald Trump Shrug

A new poll shows that public opinion about Donald Trump is at the lowest point its been since he entered the race. That bodes poorly for Trump, and for the the political party that has chosen to nominate him for President.

Gary Johnson Hits 12% In Latest Fox News Poll

GOP Presidential Candidates Debate In Orlando Ahead Of Florida Straw Poll

Libertarian Party Presidential nominee Gary Johnson is doing quite well in the polls, when pollsters bother to include him.

Clinton Holds Slight Lead Over Trump As General Election Race Begins

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton has a slight lead in national polling over Donald Trump as the battle for the White House really begins.

Release Of Inspector General’s Report Indicates Hillary’s Email Woes Likely To Continue

Hillary Clinton Blackberry

The Clinton campaign probably thought the email story was behind them. The new report from the State Department’s Inspector General shows just how wrong they were about that.

Yes, The Trump/Clinton Polls Are Tightening. No, It Doesn’t Mean Much Of Anything

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton

Several recent polls have shown the race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton tightening, but it likely means far less than the media hype makes it sound like.

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