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Sabato Predicts Electoral College Landslide for Clinton

sabato-20160622

Donald Trump has a steep hill to climb to reverse a quarter century trend.

Senate Rejects Post-Orlando Gun Control Efforts

Guns And Bullets

As expected, the Senate rejected four gun control measures introduced in the wake of the attack in Orlando.

Donald Trump’s Numbers Are Historically Bad

Donald Trump Shrug

It’s still early in the cycle, but Donald Trump’s poll numbers are already historically bad.

Americans Really, Really, Really Don’t Like Donald Trump

Donald Trump Shrug

A new poll shows that public opinion about Donald Trump is at the lowest point its been since he entered the race. That bodes poorly for Trump, and for the the political party that has chosen to nominate him for President.

Gary Johnson Hits 12% In Latest Fox News Poll

GOP Presidential Candidates Debate In Orlando Ahead Of Florida Straw Poll

Libertarian Party Presidential nominee Gary Johnson is doing quite well in the polls, when pollsters bother to include him.

Clinton Holds Slight Lead Over Trump As General Election Race Begins

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton has a slight lead in national polling over Donald Trump as the battle for the White House really begins.

Release Of Inspector General’s Report Indicates Hillary’s Email Woes Likely To Continue

Hillary Clinton Blackberry

The Clinton campaign probably thought the email story was behind them. The new report from the State Department’s Inspector General shows just how wrong they were about that.

Yes, The Trump/Clinton Polls Are Tightening. No, It Doesn’t Mean Much Of Anything

Donald Trump Hillary Clinton

Several recent polls have shown the race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton tightening, but it likely means far less than the media hype makes it sound like.

Vast Majority Of Native Americans Not Offended By ‘Redskins’ Name, New Poll Claims

Washington Redskins Helmet

A new poll indicates that the argument that the name “Redskins” is disparaging is not an accurate statement of how Native Americans themselves feel about the issue.

Support For Same-Sex Marriage Continues To Rise, Hits A Record 61%

Gay Marriage Wedding Cake Two Women

Nearly one year after the Supreme Court’s historic decision, public support for same-sex marriage continues to rise even among groups that were previously strongly opposed to it.

A Reminder About Polling

Elections 2016

As we begin to head into General Election season, a few things to remember about the avalanche of polls to come.

Voters Don’t Seem To Care About The Political Fight Over Vacant Supreme Court Seat

Supreme Court Issues Multiple Rulings

It may be the talk of Washington, but the political fight over Justice Scalia’s vacant Supreme Court seat does not seem to be something voters care very much about.

Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton Likely To Do Very Well In Mid-Atlantic Primaries

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With voters in five states set to go to the polls, both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are likely to make significant progress toward their quest for a majority of delegates in their respective contests.

Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Both Viewed Very Badly Outside The GOP

Donald Trump Ted Cruz

The two men most likely to win the Republican nomination aren’t very well liked outside the Republican Party.

Everybody Hates Donald

Donald Trump Shrug

A new poll finds that Donald Trump is really, really disliked by voters, but it’s unclear how much that will matter going forward.

Growing Acrimony In The Race For The Democratic Nomination

Clinton Sanders Debate

Even as the outcome becomes more certain, Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton seem to be attacking each other with increasing acrimony.

Trump, Cruz Battle Down To The Wire In Wisconsin

Donald Trump Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz and Donald Trump are locked in battle in a primary that could decide whether or not Donald Trump can get a majority of delegates prior to the GOP Convention.

Signs That The Stop Trump Movement Is Working In Wisconsin?

Donald Trump Speaking Closeup

There are some signs of hope out of Wisconsin for those trying to stop Donald Trump.

Conservatives Keep Up Pressure On Senate GOP To Hold The Line On SCOTUS Nominee

Merrick Garland Supreme Court Nomination

Conservatives are doing all they can to make sure Merrick Garland does not get either a hearing or a vote in the Senate, and it’s working.

Another Senator Defects On “No Hearings, No Votes” As Public Opposition Rises

Merrick Garland Supreme Court Nomination

Another Republican Senator has broken ranks and called for hearings on the nomination of Merrick Garland, as another poll shows most Americans support hearings as well.

Republican Delegate Math Continues To Heavily Favor Donald Trump

Donald Trump Ted Cruz John Kasich

Looking at the delegate math, Donald Trump’s path to victory seems to be becoming clearer by the day.

Most Americans Oppose GOP’s “No Hearings, No Votes” Position On Garland Nomination

Merrick Garland Supreme Court Nomination

It increasingly appears that the GOP is on the losing side of the argument over whether to hold hearings and a vote on the nomination of Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court.

Trump Still Leading The GOP Race After Rubio Withdrawal

Donald Trump Ted Cruz John Kasich

One week after Marco Rubio left the race, Donald Trump’s hold on the lead in the GOP Presidential race seems as solid as ever.

As Obama Arrives In Havana, Poll Finds Most Americans Support His Opening To Cuba

Air Force One Havana

With President Obama becoming the first American President to visit Cuba in 88 years, a new poll finds majority support for his changes in Cuba policy.

Super Tuesday Part Two Looking Very Good For Donald Trump

Twelfth Republican Debate

Less than twenty-four hours before voting starts, Donald Trump looks to do very well on what is arguably the most important day of the campaign.

Fewer Insults, At Least Some Substance, At Twelfth Republican Debate

Twelfth Republican Debate

Given the stakes headed into the latest version of ‘Super Tuesday,’ last night’s Republican debate was surprisingly subdued.

Senate GOP Remains United On Denying Consideration To Obama SCOTUS Nominee

Scalia Seat SCOTUS

The President could nominate someone to fill the vacancy created by Antonin Scalia’s death as soon a next week, but Republicans in the Senate remain firmly committed to their decision to deny the as yet unnamed nominee any consideration.

Trump Holds Solid Leads In Florida And Ohio Polling

Donald Trump Speaking

Less than a week before what may be the most important week of the campaign, Donald Trump is in very good shape. Marco Rubio and John Kasich? Not so much.

Donald Trump, John Kasich Face Big Tests In Michigan

John Kasich Donald Trump

Both Donald Trump and Ohio Governor John Kasich face big tests in tomorrow’s Michigan primary.

Despite Winning Two Caucuses, ‘Super Saturday’ Was Mostly Bad News For Bernie Sanders

Clinton Sanders Debate

Bernie Sanders won two of the three Democratic contests last night, but he fell further behind in the delegate count any way and isn’t very far from being mathematically eliminated.

Majority Of Americans Want The Senate To Consider An Obama Nominee To SCOTUS

Scalia Seat SCOTUS

Another poll shows that most Americans would prefer that the vacancy on the Supreme Court be filled by President Obama than that it be left open for the next President to fill, but other factors make it unlikely the Senate will act.

Donald Trump Dominates Super Tuesday, Cruz And Rubio Say They’ll Continue To Fight On

Donald Trump Victory Nevada

As expected, Donald Trump dominated Super Tuesday, putting himself one step closer to becoming the Republican nominee for President.

Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton Poised To Leave Opponents In The Dust On Super Tuesday

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It’s Super Tuesday, and both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are likely to go a long way toward securing the nominations of their respective parties.

New National Poll Finds No Evidence That Attacks From Rubio & Cruz Have Hurt Trump

Ted Cruz Donald Trump Marco Rubio

A new national poll suggests that the newly aggressive tone from Senators Rubio and Cruz has done nothing to stop Donald Trump’s momentum.

Clinton Has Massive Leads In Key Super Tuesday States, Polls Show

Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton

A series of new polls shows the extent to which last night’s results in South Carolina were very much a harbinger of how Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders stand to do on Super Tuesday, especially in the south: First up, there’s a new series of battleground polls from CBS News that shows Clinton with the […]

Trump, Cruz Well Positioned Heading Into Super Tuesday, Rubio Not So Much

Tenth Republican Debate Rubio Trump Cruz

Donald Trump is positioned to do very well on Super Tuesday, while Ted Cruz should win his home state. Marco Rubio, meanwhile, seems to be struggling to maintain his relevance.

Ted Cruz Faces A Test In Texas

Ted Cruz Flag Background

On Tuesday, Ted Cruz’s campaign faces what amounts to a do-or-die battle in Texas.

Latino Voters Really, Really Dislike Donald Trump

Donald Trump Shrug

A new poll shows Donald Trump with historically low support for a Republican from Latino voters. That’s a recipe for electoral disaster.

Is Bernie Sanders Finally Coming To Realize He Can’t Possibly Win The Nomination?

Clinton Sanders Debate

With the Democratic race headed into territory where Hillary Clinton is heavily favored, Bernie Sanders may finally be coming to realize that he can’t possibly win the Democratic nomination.

Nevada Hoping To Avoid Another Chaotic Caucus

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Tonight’s Nevada Caucuses could be as chaotic as the floor of a Vegas casino, but Donald Trump seems to be in position to score another win.

South Carolina Could Decide The Fate Of Several Republicans

Ninth Republican Debate

Tonight’s results in South Carolina could have a significant impact on the race going forward. (Plus, a projection)

Americans Divided Over Who Should Name Scalia’s Replacement, Obama Or Next POTUS

Scalia Seat SCOTUS

Two new polls show that Americans are basically split equally on the question of who should appoint the Justice that will replace Antonin Scalia on the Supreme Court.

Hillary Clinton’s South Carolina Firewall Is Holding

Hillary Clinton Pointing

Hillary Clinton still has a massive lead in South Carolina, and in the Super Tuesday states that follow.

Trump Holds Massive Lead In Nevada Poll

Trump Nixon V

While the new CNN/ORC poll shows Bernie Sanders giving Hillary Clinton a real contest in Nevada, the same poll shows that Donald Trump is running away with the race on the Republican side: The Republican side seems set for less suspense when that party holds caucuses on Tuesday, February 23. The poll finds businessman Donald […]

Bernie Sanders Within One Point Of Hillary Clinton In Nevada

Bernie Sanders Speaking

Another state, another Sanders surprise that is likely to raise questions about Hillary Clinton’s campaign.

Post-Debate Polls Continue To Show Trump Leading In South Carolina

Trump Debate

Donald Trump appears headed for another victory in South Carolina’s primary.

Trump, Clinton Continue With Double Digits Lead In South Carolina

Elections 2016

A new poll from CBS News and YouGov shows that Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton continue to hold solid leads in South Carolina. First up, the Republicans, who hold their South Carolina primary on Saturday: The CBS News Battleground Tracker poll shows that Donald Trump keeps a large lead in South Carolina, bolstered by support […]

Who Wants Michael Bloomberg To Run For President? Practically Nobody

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As Michael Bloomberg flirts with the idea of running for President, a poll finds very little enthusiasm for the idea.

Two-Thirds Of New Hampshire Republicans Support Donald Trump’s Muslim Immigration Ban

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As if to further demonstrate just how fair off the rails the GOP has gotten, Donald Trump’s unconstitutional, wrong-headed, racist notions are supported by wide majorities in the party that still claims to the by the “Party of Lincoln.”

A Look At The Final New Hampshire Polls, Plus Projections

Elections 2016

Unless the polls are very wrong, it looks to be a good night for Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump. Beyond that, there’s a lot that’s still up in the air.

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