Even More Moore-Jones
Steven L. Taylor
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Saturday, December 9, 2017
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1 comment
An analysis with maps and numbers via WaPo: What it would take for a Democrat to win Alabama.
About Steven L. Taylor
Steven L. Taylor is a Professor of Political Science and a College of Arts and Sciences Dean. His main areas of expertise include parties, elections, and the institutional design of democracies. His most recent book is the co-authored
A Different Democracy: American Government in a 31-Country Perspective. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of Texas and his BA from the University of California, Irvine. He has been blogging since 2003 (originally at the now defunct Poliblog).
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Not impossible for Jones to win, but highly unlikely…
Relatively high D turn-out and low R turn-out. Relatively large amount of defectors from R to D compared to previous elections. (Probably traditionally R voting women or disaffected white Protestants)
It is an off-year special election, so turn-out is the key factor.
I would hate to try to poll this election.