Giuliani Overtakes McCain as GOP Frontrunner
I’ve just received an email from the folks at the political stock market Intrade with the subject: “Intrade Political Newsflash – Giuliani Has Just Overtaken McCain as Frontrunner for GOP Nomination!”
I couldn’t find a link online to the data [Update: LINK], but the email included this nifty graph of the trading results:

Then again, regular OTB readers know this is old news:
- Rudy Giuliani, Not John McCain, 2008 Republican Frontrunner (July 24, 2006)
For those who missed that one (for shame!) I reiterated it more recently:
- Clinton and Giuliani 2008 Frontrunners (January 18, 2007)
- Republican Frontrunner: McCain or Giuliani? (February 21, 2007)
I’m still not convinced that either man will emerge as the nominee but I agree with Michael Brandon McClellan that Giuliani has alienated the base less, despite almost certainly being further from them ideologically, than McCain.
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Archives December 2006 August 2006 June 2006 May 2006 April 2006 March 2006 February 2006 [IMG Outside The Beltway | OTB] Giuliani Overtakes McCain as GOP Frontrunner New Jersey Seeks to Move Presidential Primaries Carl Levin Calls for Attacks On Syria and Iran? Following Al Gore’s Example for Energy Use Defense Still Not Given the DNA Report Beltway Traffic Jam
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Talk about peaking too early.
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Rodney,
That sometimes happens to a man of a certain age.
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Uh, can you say “margin of error”?
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