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Latino Voters Really, Really, Really Don’t Like Donald Trump

A new poll from Univision finds that Donald Trump isn’t very well liked by Latino voters:

Hispanic voters overwhelmingly disapprove of Donald Trump’s controversial comments on illegal immigration, according to a new Univision poll.

Seventy-nine percent of Hispanic voters polled find Trump’s comments offensive, and 71 percent hold an unfavorable view of Trump.

While a majority of those polled say they don’t think Trump’s comments represent his party, Trump and Florida Gov. Jeb Bush trail Hillary Clinton badly among Hispanic voters.

Clinton would win 64 percent of Hispanic voters over Bush in a hypothetical matchup. That includes a five-point lead in Bush’s home state of Florida, a 42-point lead in Nevada, a 14-point lead in North Carolina and a 46-point lead in Colorado — all swing states.

She’d fare even better in a matchup against Trump, where she wins the Hispanic vote by a 70 to 16 percentage point margin.

(…)

GOP presidential candidates have seen their share of the growing demographic fall in recent elections.

President George W. Bush won 40 percent of the Hispanic vote in 2004, but in 2012 GOP candidate Mitt Romney won just 27 percent compared to President Obama’s 71 percent.

Only 18 percent of Hispanic voters identify as Republicans, according to the Univision poll, compared to 57 percent who identify as Democrats.

Bush is still the leading GOP vote-getter among Hispanics — 38 percent support him, while 22 percent back Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.) and 12 percent support Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas).

The results come as Trump’s rhetoric continues to dominate the news cycle. He’s doubled down on comments from his presidential launch, where he said that many Mexican immigrants coming to America illegally are “rapists” and criminals. He rallied in Arizona last weekend with Maricopa Sheriff Joe Arpaio, who’s faced criticism over his treatment of undocumented immigrants.

Trump’s comments reportedly prompted Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus to ask him to tone down the rhetoric.

Most of the GOP field has criticized Trump’s remarks, and the Univision poll finds that just 14 percent of Hispanics believe that the comments reflect the feelings of the Republican Party, while 61 percent believe Trump is only speaking for himself.

That last part, I suppose, is good news for Republicans in that they don’t appear to be being harmed by Trump’s remarks, at least not yet. Of course, that doesn’t mean that the GOP doesn’t have its own problems with Latino voters that go well beyond Donald Trump but that’s an entirely different issue. In any case, this would at least seem to put the lie to Trump’s prediction that he will win the Latino vote in 2016.

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About Doug Mataconis
Doug holds a B.A. in Political Science from Rutgers University and J.D. from George Mason University School of Law. He joined the staff of OTB in May, 2010 and also writes at Below The Beltway. Follow Doug on Twitter | Facebook

Comments

  1. Pete S says:

    the Univision poll finds that just 14 percent of Hispanics believe that the comments reflect the feelings of the Republican Party,

    I suspect this will change if Mr. Trump’s polling numbers with Republicans continue to improve. It’s one thing to make these stupid remarks as a fringe candidate, it is different altogether to make them as a leading candidate and improve your position by doing so.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 9 Thumb down 0

  2. michael reynolds says:

    @Pete S:

    I think the problem will be that Hispanic voters will soon see that Trump’s positions are indeed the GOP’s positions.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 8 Thumb down 1

  3. stonetools says:

    OTOH, white racist voters really, really like Trump. So he can take solace in that.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 8 Thumb down 0

  4. PJ says:

    The Democratic Convention is about a year and and a week away, and there are some pesky primaries before it, but at the convention, Clinton should pick Julian Castro as her VP nominee.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0

  5. Andre Kenji de Sousa says:

    My Girlfriend, that does not read in English nor follow American Politics, thinks that Trump is disgusting. She always says that she can´t stand that man.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 5 Thumb down 0

  6. gVOR08 says:

    @PJ: Good choice. But I suspect the Republicans will continue to give Hillary all the help she needs with Hispanics.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 1

  7. Pete S says:

    @michael reynolds: Absolutely. The Republican Party really needed his support to crater after he started talking about immigration, not improve.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 0

  8. Ron Beasley says:

    Latino Voters Really, Really, Really Don’t Like Donald Trump

    Surprise Surprise – NOT.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 1

  9. Andrew P says:

    There are beautiful Hispanics and there are horrible Hispanics. Same goes for Whites, Blacks, Asians. This is obvious to all of us. It is completely reasonable for someone to say that we should keep foreign criminals out of this country. There are plenty of White, Black, Hispanic criminal LEGAL citizens already. Why would anyone want to add more? Furthermore, this is a Republic of laws. Illegal immigration is exactly that, illegal. There is a process to be followed in becoming a citizen. It should be followed and enforced, simple as that. Don’t inject race into the issue and focus on the rule of law, that benefits all of us, and reducing the number of criminals, illegal or legal that rape and murder us citizens.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 10

  10. An Interested Party says:

    It is completely reasonable for someone to say that we should keep foreign criminals out of this country.

    Indeed…it’s a pity Trump didn’t say that rather than what he did say…

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 4 Thumb down 1

  11. Deserttrek says:

    the spanish language networks want poor stupid spanish only viewers .. they are no different than the slave masters like jesse jackson and al sharpton

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 2