Palin Leads GOP 2012 Field, But Loses To Obama In New Poll
A new Quinnipiac Poll shows once again the disconnect that exists between attitudes toward Sarah Palin inside the Republican Party, and in the public as a whole:
President Barack Obama does not deserve a second term, American voters say 49 – 43 percent, and he is in a statistical dead heat with possible Republican challengers Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. President Obama leads Sarah Palin 48 – 40 percent.
Romney, Huckabee, Palin and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich are bunched together when Republican voters are asked who they prefer for the GOP’s 2012 presidential nomination, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey finds.
In trial heats for 2012, former Massachusetts Gov. Romney receives 45 percent to 44 percent for Obama, while the president gets 46 percent to 44 percent for Mr. Huckabee. Matched against Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, a virtual unknown to most voters, the president leads 45 – 36 percent.
“At this point, former Alaska Gov. Palin runs the worst against President Obama. Daniels is essentially a generic Republican because of his anonymity to most voters. Obama only gets 45 percent against him while he gets 48 percent against Ms. Palin,” said Brown. “She is very unpopular among independents and although she recently said she thought she could defeat Obama, the data does not now necessarily support that assertion.”
“Unlike Daniels, who is a political unknown to most Americans, virtually all voters have formed an opinion about Palin and that opinion is not encouraging for her candidacy.”
Ms. Palin is viewed the most negatively by the American people of the possible Republican candidates in 2012. She is viewed unfavorable by 51 percent of voters and favorably by 36 percent. Among independents, the key swing voting bloc, she has a negative 54 – 33 percent favorability rating.
Huckabee gets a 41 – 25 percent favorability rating and Romney gets a 38 – 26 percent score. Former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich gets a negative 30 – 43 percent score.
The numbers for the GOP nomination are as follows:
- Palin 19%
- Romney 18%
- Huckabee 17%
- Gingrich 15%
- Pawlenty 6%
- Daniels 2%
- Barbour 2%
- Thune 2%
- SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1%
- WLDN’T VOTE(VOL) 1%
- DK/NA 17%
So, again, the most popular candidate inside the GOP is the least popular with the public as a whole. This is a dichotomy that can only lead to electoral disaster.