Setting The Pre-Debate Benchmarks
This post is meant to be as much an experiment to test the impact of the 2012 Presidential Debates as anything else. My intention is to post updates like this before each of the scheduled Presidential and Vice-Presidential Debates and note any changes that have occurred.
So. first, we have the RealClearPoliticals National Poll Average, which as of tonight stands at +3.1 in the President’s favor, and trend lines that look like this:
Next, we have the RCP Electoral College Map Projection, which currently shows the President one Electoral Vote short of victory:
Now, let’s see how things change over the next three weeks or so.
I’m going to go way out on a limb and predict that Doug Mataconis, James Joyner, and Stephen L. Taylor will all declare Barack Obama the winner of tonight’s debate.
Obama is getting spanked. Don’t know whether it will move the polls but he’s getting his ass kicked.